Macroeconomic and Investing, The Macro Compass

Alfonso Peccatiello (Alf)

Macroeconomic and Investing

The Macro Compass

Actionable investment ideas and unique global macro insights. From the desk of a former Head of $20 bn Investment Portfolio straight to your inbox.

Actionable Investment Ideas

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Powell’s remarks in the Wall Street Journal interview this week were quite interesting, and markets seem to have noticed: we have seen quite some wild moves, but again the most relevant price action is happening under the surface.</li><li>In such a choppy market environment, systematic risk management techniques and a data-driven investment approach are key to tell the forest from the trees and reduce drawdowns in your portfolio.</li><li>Powell played the hawkish horn again, and markets are reacting in quite some interesting ways.</li></ul>

Powell’s remarks in the Wall Street Journal interview this week were quite interesting, and markets seem to have noticed: we have seen quite some wild moves, but again the most relevant price action is happening under the surface.In such a choppy market environment, systematic risk management techniques and a data-driven investment approach are key to tell the forest from the trees and reduce drawdowns in your portfolio.Powell played the hawkish horn again, and markets are reacting in quite some interesting ways.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Following panic selling that we have outlined over the past month, we finally saw panic buying last Friday in the form of 92% upside volume on the NYSE.</li>
<li>There is hope that this panic buying could signal a major bottom, but we still need to see more confirmation before declaring that the low is in.</li>
<li>We are watching the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) and the steep RS uptrends on Utilities (XLU) and Staples (XLP) for more confirmation that a major low is in place. Details below.</li>
</ul>


Following panic selling that we have outlined over the past month, we finally saw panic buying last Friday in the form of 92% upside volume on the NYSE.
There is hope that this panic buying could signal a major bottom, but we still need to see more confirmation before declaring that the low is in.
We are watching the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) and the steep RS uptrends on Utilities (XLU) and Staples (XLP) for more confirmation that a major low is in place. Details below.


Panic Buying Achieved, Waiting for More Confirmation of a Bottom;Buying Staples & Auto Dealers/Parts

Independent Research, Cryptocurrencies, Carbono Insights

Carbono Insights

Independent Research, Cryptocurrencies

Advisory Firm Specialized in Cryptocurrencies

Carbono is an advisory firm specialized in cryptocurrencies that helps clients navigate the economic and financial innovations derived from the rise of digital assets. Our investment fund, Abacus Carbono, is designed to be an on ramp for investors interested in cryptocurrencies and projects born under the crypto-economy principles.

Crypto

<ul><li>The marketing world is probably one of the earliest adopters of new technological trends, albeit often for the wrong reasons.</li><li>But there is a lot in store for those brands that a ready to dig a little deeper. Web 3 is an ultra noisy, ultra-competitive sector, where the marketer’s toolkit has expanded thanks to tokens and their ability to disrupt the companies’ and clients’ roles</li><li>When created with honesty and common sense, a project's token can have a lot of uses: they are fundraising tools, help distribute revenue, and fuel decentralized governance</li></ul>

The marketing world is probably one of the earliest adopters of new technological trends, albeit often for the wrong reasons.But there is a lot in store for those brands that a ready to dig a little deeper. Web 3 is an ultra noisy, ultra-competitive sector, where the marketer’s toolkit has expanded thanks to tokens and their ability to disrupt the companies’ and clients’ rolesWhen created with honesty and common sense, a project's token can have a lot of uses: they are fundraising tools, help distribute revenue, and fuel decentralized governance

<ul><li>The Ronin Network was Axie’s response to Ethereum’s low speed and high transaction fees</li><li>Ethereum’s scalability issues came in the way, so Axie built their own blockchain: the Ronin Network was created as an Ethereum’s sidechain to help speed up transactions</li><li>Ronin was one of the main improvements responsible for the subsequent boom that led Axie to onboard hundreds of thousands of players and become a milestone in crypto history</li></ul>

The Ronin Network was Axie’s response to Ethereum’s low speed and high transaction feesEthereum’s scalability issues came in the way, so Axie built their own blockchain: the Ronin Network was created as an Ethereum’s sidechain to help speed up transactionsRonin was one of the main improvements responsible for the subsequent boom that led Axie to onboard hundreds of thousands of players and become a milestone in crypto history

Turning a $623M Exploit into a Lesson in Crypto Building Blocks

Crypto in Sports, Sporting Crypto

Sporting Crypto

Crypto in Sports

Breaking down the intersection between Sports and Crypto

Intersection Between Sports and Crypto

<ul><li>NFTs are a gamechanger for content creators, artists, musicians and will have even more awesome use cases in the future that we can’t even comprehend right now</li><li>Celebrities are bad at launching NFTs</li><li>Sports stars seem to be even worse than your average celebrity when it comes to dropping NFT projects</li></ul>

NFTs are a gamechanger for content creators, artists, musicians and will have even more awesome use cases in the future that we can’t even comprehend right nowCelebrities are bad at launching NFTsSports stars seem to be even worse than your average celebrity when it comes to dropping NFT projects

Sporting Crypto: Is There Product Market Fit for Athlete NFTs?

United States

Ethereum is an open-source, public, blockchain-based distributed computing platform featuring smart contract (scripting) functionality. It provides a decentralized Turing-complete virtual machine, the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM), which can execute scripts using an international network of public nodes. Ethereum also provides a cryptocurrency token called "ether", which can be transferred between accounts and used to compensate participant nodes for computations performed. "Gas", an internal transaction pricing mechanism, is used to mitigate spam and allocate resources on the network.

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Let The Macro Polar Stars Guide You

Powell’s remarks in the Wall Street Journal interview this week were quite interesting, and markets seem to have noticed: we have seen quite some...

Alfonso Peccatiello (Alf)

Panic Buying Achieved, Waiting for More Confirmation of a Bottom;Buying Staples & Auto Dealers/Parts

We finally saw panic buying last Friday in the form of 92% upside volume on the NYSE. There is hope that this panic buying could signal that a...

Vermilion Research

Airdrops as the Ultimate Marketing Tool

The marketing world is probably one of the earliest adopters of new technological trends, albeit often for the wrong reasons. But there is a lot in...

Carbono Insights

Turning a $623M Exploit into a Lesson in Crypto Building Blocks

The Ronin Network was Axie’s response to Ethereum’s low speed and high transaction fees. Ethereum’s scalability issues came in the way, so Axie...

Carbono Insights

Sporting Crypto: Is There Product Market Fit for Athlete NFTs?

NFTs are a gamechanger for content creators, artists, musicians and will have even more awesome use cases in the future that we can’t even...

Sporting Crypto

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