Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Equity Bottom-Up

Woodside Energy Group Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>ADX Energy (HHR AU)C; Target price of AS0.07 per share: Farm-in transaction at Welchau provides validation for the prospect – Kepis &amp; Pobe Financial Group (KPFG) is acquiring 20% in the Welchau Farmin Area in return for funding 50% of the cost of the exploration well (EUR3.8 mm gross).</li><li>KPFG has also the option to acquire a further 20% in the Farmin Area in return for funding a further 50% of the cost of the well (100% in total).</li><li>Block Energy (BOE LN): SLB not exercising option – SLB will not exercise its right to acquire 108 mm shares in Block Energy.</li></ul>

ADX Energy (HHR AU)C; Target price of AS0.07 per share: Farm-in transaction at Welchau provides validation for the prospect – Kepis &amp; Pobe Financial Group (KPFG) is acquiring 20% in the Welchau Farmin Area in return for funding 50% of the cost of the exploration well (EUR3.8 mm gross).KPFG has also the option to acquire a further 20% in the Farmin Area in return for funding a further 50% of the cost of the well (100% in total).Block Energy (BOE LN): SLB not exercising option – SLB will not exercise its right to acquire 108 mm shares in Block Energy.

<ul><li>Chariot (CHAR LN) C; Target price of £0.55 per share: Meeting with management: Operations on track – The Anchois project continues to make progress towards FID in early 2023.</li><li>We understand that the banking syndicate is likely to include Moroccan banks and that debt could represent 70% of the overall cost of the project to first gas.</li><li>GeoPark (GPRK US)C; Target price of US$31 per share – 3Q22 production had already been reported.</li></ul>

Chariot (CHAR LN) C; Target price of £0.55 per share: Meeting with management: Operations on track – The Anchois project continues to make progress towards FID in early 2023.We understand that the banking syndicate is likely to include Moroccan banks and that debt could represent 70% of the overall cost of the project to first gas.GeoPark (GPRK US)C; Target price of US$31 per share – 3Q22 production had already been reported.

<ul><li>ADX Energy (ADX AU) C; Target price of A$0.060 per share: Good production rate at Anshof.</li><li>Busy months ahead – Commercial production at Anshof-3 has started at a stable rate of 100 bbl/d (80 bbl/d net to ADX).</li><li>Equinor (EQNR NO): 3Q22 results, increased dividend distribution, additional share buyback – Adjusted net earnings over the period were US$6.7 bn with 2,021 mboe/d production.</li></ul>

ADX Energy (ADX AU) C; Target price of A$0.060 per share: Good production rate at Anshof.Busy months ahead – Commercial production at Anshof-3 has started at a stable rate of 100 bbl/d (80 bbl/d net to ADX).Equinor (EQNR NO): 3Q22 results, increased dividend distribution, additional share buyback – Adjusted net earnings over the period were US$6.7 bn with 2,021 mboe/d production.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In last week's Int'l Compass (Aug. 18) we discussed that global equities are going through a bottoming process, but that the real test will come during the eventual pullback.</li>
<li>We are getting the pullback now, but so far, there has yet to be any failed breakouts among the indexes discussed over the past month -- a positive sign.</li>
<li>Worth noting- <em>further</em> breakout attempts have failed on some of the leading market indexes, notably the Nasdaq 100 and India's SENSEX, but they remain well-above their breakout levels from July.</li>
</ul>


In last week's Int'l Compass (Aug. 18) we discussed that global equities are going through a bottoming process, but that the real test will come during the eventual pullback.
We are getting the pullback now, but so far, there has yet to be any failed breakouts among the indexes discussed over the past month -- a positive sign.
Worth noting- further breakout attempts have failed on some of the leading market indexes, notably the Nasdaq 100 and India's SENSEX, but they remain well-above their breakout levels from July.


Pullback Underway; Buy Ideas: Energy, Materials, Japan/India Motor Vehicles, Japan Health Care

<ul>
<li>We see the S&amp;P 500 as trading within a downtrend channel; as long as it remains within this channel, our intermediate to long-term outlook is bearish at the index level.</li>
<li>With that said, the S&amp;P 500 is currently testing support within the downtrend channel, and we are on watch for a potential bear market rally.</li>
<li>We will need to see a bullish reversal of the 1-month downtrend (currently at 4030-4050) to have confidence that a tradeable bounce is underway, with the potential for more.</li>
</ul>


We see the S&amp;P 500 as trading within a downtrend channel; as long as it remains within this channel, our intermediate to long-term outlook is bearish at the index level.
With that said, the S&amp;P 500 is currently testing support within the downtrend channel, and we are on watch for a potential bear market rally.
We will need to see a bullish reversal of the 1-month downtrend (currently at 4030-4050) to have confidence that a tradeable bounce is underway, with the potential for more.


S&P 500 Downtrend Channel Intact & Testing Support; Buy Ideas Within Energy & Biotech

Norway

Equinor ASA operates as an energy company. The Company develops oil, gas, wind, and solar energy projects, as well as focuses on offshore operations and exploration services. Equinor serves customers worldwide.

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Equinor (EQNR NO)

Auctus on Friday - 02/12/2022

KPFG has also the option to acquire a further 20% in the Farmin Area in return for funding a further 50% of the cost of the well (100% in total).

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 11/11/2022

Chariot (CHAR LN) C; Target price of £0.55 per share: Meeting with management: Operations on track – The Anchois project continues to make progress...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 28/10/2022

Equinor (EQNR NO): 3Q22 results, increased dividend distribution, additional share buyback – Adjusted net earnings over the period were US$6.7 bn...

Auctus Advisors

Pullback Underway; Buy Ideas: Energy, Materials, Japan/India Motor Vehicles, Japan Health Care

Pullback Underway; Problem: U.S. Dollar $DXY, Global 10-Yr Sovereign Yields, and Commodities All on the Rise Again; Actionable Themes: Energy,...

Vermilion Research

S&P 500 Downtrend Channel Intact & Testing Support; Buy Ideas Within Energy & Biotech

The $SPX is trading within a downtrend channel; as long as it remains within this channel, our intermediate to long-term outlook is bearish at the...

Vermilion Research

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