Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C; target price of C$0.95 per share: Transformational acquisition in Indonesia – Criterium is delivering on its plans by acquiring Mont D’Or Petroleum with long life and high netback production of 1,050 bbl/d and 4.7 mmbbl 2P reserves across 2 PSCs in Indonesia (Tungkal in South Sumatra and West Salawati in Southwest Papua).</li><li>With important spare capacity in existing infrastructure and very low drilling costs (US 5 mm per well) at Tungkal, Criterium plans to increase production by ~50% by the end of 1Q24 and to ~3 mbbl/d by YE25 within cashflow.</li><li>Tethys Oil (TETY SS)C; target price of SEK120 per share: Production update in Oman – Production from Blocks3 &amp; 4 was 8,995 bbl/d in May.</li></ul>

Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C; target price of C$0.95 per share: Transformational acquisition in Indonesia – Criterium is delivering on its plans by acquiring Mont D’Or Petroleum with long life and high netback production of 1,050 bbl/d and 4.7 mmbbl 2P reserves across 2 PSCs in Indonesia (Tungkal in South Sumatra and West Salawati in Southwest Papua).With important spare capacity in existing infrastructure and very low drilling costs (US 5 mm per well) at Tungkal, Criterium plans to increase production by ~50% by the end of 1Q24 and to ~3 mbbl/d by YE25 within cashflow.Tethys Oil (TETY SS)C; target price of SEK120 per share: Production update in Oman – Production from Blocks3 &amp; 4 was 8,995 bbl/d in May.

Providing investors with a balanced perspective, Massif Capital

Massif Capital Research

Providing investors with a balanced perspective

Massif Capital

Research focused on providing investors with a balanced perspective on the environmental and economic realities of achieving a carbon-neutral economy for businesses within the Energy, Basic Materials and Industrial industries.

The Massif Capital Real Asset Strategy is a global long/short equity strategy built around bottom-up stock picking. We are focused on creating a portfolio of businesses from within the Energy, Basic Materials and Industrial sectors that balance the environmental and economic realities of achieving a carbon-neutral economy.

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Frequent readers of our blog posts and research papers likely are well acquainted with our underlying philosophy that commodity prices alone do not provide a compelling rationale for investing in real asset businesses</li>
<li>Instead, as a result of decomposing the returns of individual real assets businesses, we have found that these stocks often exhibit a broader range of return drivers</li>
<li>One such driver is political risk.</li>
</ul>


Frequent readers of our blog posts and research papers likely are well acquainted with our underlying philosophy that commodity prices alone do not provide a compelling rationale for investing in real asset businesses
Instead, as a result of decomposing the returns of individual real assets businesses, we have found that these stocks often exhibit a broader range of return drivers
One such driver is political risk.


Political Risk and Investing: Seeking Opportunity Amidst Disruption

<ul><li>ADX Energy (ADX AU)C: Target price of A$0.100 per share: 1Q23 in line with expectations.</li><li>In March net production from Anshof has increased to 94 bbl/d.</li><li>Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C; target price of A$0.50 per share: Better than expected performance.</li></ul>

ADX Energy (ADX AU)C: Target price of A$0.100 per share: 1Q23 in line with expectations.In March net production from Anshof has increased to 94 bbl/d.Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C; target price of A$0.50 per share: Better than expected performance.

<ul><li>ADX Energy (ADX AU) C ; Target price of A$0.10 per share: Drilling news flow.</li><li>Production growth. Value. – 2023 is expected to be a busy and transformational year for ADX.</li><li>The company plans to grow gross production at Anshof (4.2 mmbbl net 2P reserves) to almost 1,000 bbl/d with two new wells by YE23. </li></ul>

ADX Energy (ADX AU) C ; Target price of A$0.10 per share: Drilling news flow.Production growth. Value. – 2023 is expected to be a busy and transformational year for ADX.The company plans to grow gross production at Anshof (4.2 mmbbl net 2P reserves) to almost 1,000 bbl/d with two new wells by YE23. 

<ul><li>Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN) C; Target price of A$0.50 per share: Good well results in Colombia – The RCE-3 well flowed naturally at rates equivalent to 2,000 bbl/d gross for four hours after unloading kill fluid.</li><li>Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C; Target price of A$0.50 per share: High condensate yield in the Montney and lower costs – The Calima #2’s peak 24 hour condensate rate was 396 bbl/d at a rate of 3.4 mmcf/d gas.</li><li>YE22 production was 53 mboe/d with 90% of oil production evacuated through the Amukpe to Escravos pipeline rather than the Trans Forcados.</li></ul>

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN) C; Target price of A$0.50 per share: Good well results in Colombia – The RCE-3 well flowed naturally at rates equivalent to 2,000 bbl/d gross for four hours after unloading kill fluid.Calima Energy (CE1 AU)C; Target price of A$0.50 per share: High condensate yield in the Montney and lower costs – The Calima #2’s peak 24 hour condensate rate was 396 bbl/d at a rate of 3.4 mmcf/d gas.YE22 production was 53 mboe/d with 90% of oil production evacuated through the Amukpe to Escravos pipeline rather than the Trans Forcados.

Norway

Equinor ASA operates as an energy company. The Company develops oil, gas, wind, and solar energy projects, as well as focuses on offshore operations and exploration services. Equinor serves customers worldwide.

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Equinor (EQNR NO)

Auctus on Friday - 16/06/2023

Tethys Oil (TETY SS)C; target price of SEK120 per share: Production update in Oman – Production from Blocks3 & 4 was 8,995 bbl/d in May.

Auctus Advisors

Political Risk and Investing: Seeking Opportunity Amidst Disruption

Frequent readers of our blog posts and research papers likely are well acquainted with our underlying philosophy that commodity prices alone do...

Massif Capital Research

Auctus on Friday - 05/05/2023

ADX Energy (ADX AU)C: Target price of A$0.100 per share: 1Q23 in line with expectations.In March net production from Anshof has increased to 94 bbl/d.

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 17/03/2023

ADX Energy (ADX AU) C ; Target price of A$0.10 per share: Drilling news flow. Production growth. Value. – 2023 is expected to be a busy and...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 03/03/2023

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN) C; Target price of A$0.50 per share: Good well results in Colombia – The RCE-3 well flowed naturally at rates...

Auctus Advisors

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