External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<div><div><div><div><ul><li><strong>Demand Outlook in RE</strong>: The Management believes that the newly launched Hunter 350 at attractive pricing will aid volume growth in future, attracting price sensitive customers who like RE brand and also those who want a bike with ease in maneuverability.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li><strong>Margin Outlook</strong>: With softening commodity prices and ease in chip supply, margins are likely to improve and the management believes no further price hikes shall be required in the near term.</li></ul><div><div><div><div><ul><li><strong>VECV Business</strong>: VECV’s total volumes stood at 17.5K units up 3x YoY on a low base, but dropped by 13% QoQ in Q1FY23.</li></ul></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Demand Outlook in RE: The Management believes that the newly launched Hunter 350 at attractive pricing will aid volume growth in future, attracting price sensitive customers who like RE brand and also those who want a bike with ease in maneuverability.Margin Outlook: With softening commodity prices and ease in chip supply, margins are likely to improve and the management believes no further price hikes shall be required in the near term.VECV Business: VECV’s total volumes stood at 17.5K units up 3x YoY on a low base, but dropped by 13% QoQ in Q1FY23.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Eicher Motors - Fairly Valued, Rerating Needs Volume Growth Outperformance

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>This is now the third Int'l Compass/third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes experiencing bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals.</li>
<li>Importantly, all of the previously mentioned indexes are holding above their breakout levels (i.e., there has yet to be any failed breakouts).</li>
<li>Now, the U.S. dollar (DXY) is starting to show early signs of topping. We continue to believe that global equities are going through a bottoming process.</li>
</ul>


This is now the third Int'l Compass/third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes experiencing bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals.
Importantly, all of the previously mentioned indexes are holding above their breakout levels (i.e., there has yet to be any failed breakouts).
Now, the U.S. dollar (DXY) is starting to show early signs of topping. We continue to believe that global equities are going through a bottoming process.


U.S. Dollar Topping?; Bullish Reversals Continue; Ideas in Growth/Cyclicals, Financials

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>With green shoots in the underlying PV and CV segments, the Indian vehicle financing disbursals (FY22: ~US$ 42bn) is poised to ride a secular 15%+ CAGR over the next 4 years</li><li>New PV financing (US$ 20bn; +17% CAGR) is benefitting from rising premiumisation; yet remains thin on profitability due to elevated competitive intensity, especially in salaried class</li><li>Used car financing (US$ 4bn; +32% CAGR) is emerging as a sunrise sector, offering potential for high growth as well as high profitability (&gt;2% ROA), benefitting from rising formalisation and increasing finance penetration</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

With green shoots in the underlying PV and CV segments, the Indian vehicle financing disbursals (FY22: ~US$ 42bn) is poised to ride a secular 15%+ CAGR over the next 4 yearsNew PV financing (US$ 20bn; +17% CAGR) is benefitting from rising premiumisation; yet remains thin on profitability due to elevated competitive intensity, especially in salaried classUsed car financing (US$ 4bn; +32% CAGR) is emerging as a sunrise sector, offering potential for high growth as well as high profitability (&gt;2% ROA), benefitting from rising formalisation and increasing finance penetrationContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Vehicle Financing - Secular Opportunity Meets Cyclical Tailwinds

Ishares Global Consumer Disc / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We are seeing some positive signals that suggest the lows for this bear market may have already been established, or at the very least, that downside is limited from here.</li>
<li>Still, YTD downtrends remain intact on the global MSCI equity indexes, and we need to see reversals of their downtrends in order to get more constructive at the index level.</li>
<li>Cyclical Growth Sectors continue to gain momentum and we are upgrading the MSCI ACWI Technology, Consumer Discretionary, and Communication Services Sectors from underweight to market weight. Add exposure.</li>
</ul>


We are seeing some positive signals that suggest the lows for this bear market may have already been established, or at the very least, that downside is limited from here.
Still, YTD downtrends remain intact on the global MSCI equity indexes, and we need to see reversals of their downtrends in order to get more constructive at the index level.
Cyclical Growth Sectors continue to gain momentum and we are upgrading the MSCI ACWI Technology, Consumer Discretionary, and Communication Services Sectors from underweight to market weight. Add exposure.


Positive Signals; Growth Sectors Gaining Momentum; Buy Ideas Within Global Growth Sectors

<div><ul><li>Q1 margin pressure likely to be lower than earlier envisaged - We refrain from comparing YoY numbers, given the low base of last year and, hence, compare numbers on a QoQ basis for all companies.</li><li><p>Outliers expected within our coverage universe in Q1 - <span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">We expect M&amp;M to be the best performer in Q1, with an estimated 41% growth in earnings QoQ.</span></p></li><li><p><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">Q1 estimates for ancillaries - </span><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">At the moment, we only have two ancillary companies under coverage.</span></p></li></ul></div><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Q1 margin pressure likely to be lower than earlier envisaged - We refrain from comparing YoY numbers, given the low base of last year and, hence, compare numbers on a QoQ basis for all companies.Outliers expected within our coverage universe in Q1 - We expect M&amp;M to be the best performer in Q1, with an estimated 41% growth in earnings QoQ.Q1 estimates for ancillaries - At the moment, we only have two ancillary companies under coverage.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Autos - Margin Pressure to Be Lower than Earlier Envisaged

India

Eicher Motors Ltd. manufactures light commercial vehicles which are sold domestically and are also exported to other countries. Eicher Motors also manufactures two-wheelers and automotive gears.

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Eicher Motors (EIM IN)

Eicher Motors - Fairly Valued, Rerating Needs Volume Growth Outperformance

Eicher Motors Ltd (Eicher) Q1FY23 performance was broadly in line with our estimates with outperformance on the margin front

Axis Direct

U.S. Dollar Topping?; Bullish Reversals Continue; Ideas in Growth/Cyclicals, Financials

This is now the third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes with bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals,...

Vermilion Research

Vehicle Financing - Secular Opportunity Meets Cyclical Tailwinds

With green shoots in the underlying PV and CV segments, the Indian vehicle financing disbursals (FY22: ~US$ 42bn) is poised to ride a secular 15%+...

HDFC Securities

Positive Signals; Growth Sectors Gaining Momentum; Buy Ideas Within Global Growth Sectors

Starting to see positive signals that suggest downside is limited from here. Still, we need to see reversals of YTD downtrends on $ACWI $ACWX $EFA...

Vermilion Research

Autos - Margin Pressure to Be Lower than Earlier Envisaged

We refrain from comparing YoY numbers, given the low base of last year and, hence, compare numbers on a QoQ basis for all companies.

HDFC Securities

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