Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We have screened for APAC (ex-China) healthcare companies using their respective Smart Score, a compound score for a company indicating its overall outlook based on key factors.</li>
<li>Smart Score screens the stock based on five major components including value, dividends, growth, resilience, and momentum. It also provides a cumulative score, which puts equal weightage on each parameter.  </li>
<li>Parameters used to screen the stocks: market cap≥ $800M and smart score≥ 3.5. We have seen stocks having high smart score has strong growth prospects and qualify for investment proposition.</li>
</ul>


We have screened for APAC (ex-China) healthcare companies using their respective Smart Score, a compound score for a company indicating its overall outlook based on key factors.
Smart Score screens the stock based on five major components including value, dividends, growth, resilience, and momentum. It also provides a cumulative score, which puts equal weightage on each parameter.  
Parameters used to screen the stocks: market cap≥ $800M and smart score≥ 3.5. We have seen stocks having high smart score has strong growth prospects and qualify for investment proposition.


Top APAC (Ex-China) Investment Worthy Healthcare Companies Using Smartkarma’s Smart Score Screener

New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm, Forsyth Barr

Forsyth Barr

New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm

We are proud to be a New Zealand owned firm, with 21 offices throughout the country and over 300 employees. We assist personal, institutional and corporate clients providing a full range of investment services.

Forsyth Barr is a foundation New Zealand Exchange firm (NZX) and accredited market participant. We have been confirmed by the Financial Markets Authority as a Qualifying Financial Entity (QFE).

Research is the cornerstone of our advice. We have one of New Zealand's leading teams of analysts. Our global affiliations ensure comprehensive research coverage of all major investment markets.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>With the first four months of trading already released, it is unlikely that EBOS Group's (EBO) 1H24 result will surprise.</li><li>We expect it to be a typically solid result. Key focus areas are: (1) cost out initiatives in light of the pending Chemist Warehouse (CW) contract loss (or at least commentary on the outlook), (2) pharmacy industry dynamics, and (3) M&amp;A outlook/strategy in light of the considered Greencross deal in November.</li></ul>

With the first four months of trading already released, it is unlikely that EBOS Group's (EBO) 1H24 result will surprise.We expect it to be a typically solid result. Key focus areas are: (1) cost out initiatives in light of the pending Chemist Warehouse (CW) contract loss (or at least commentary on the outlook), (2) pharmacy industry dynamics, and (3) M&amp;A outlook/strategy in light of the considered Greencross deal in November.

EBOS Group - 1H24 Preview — Costs & Chemist Warehouse

<ul><li>EBOS Group's (EBO) 1Q24 ASM trading update was broadly in line with our expectations, showing a solid start to FY24.</li><li>1Q24 organic EBITDA growth of ~+8% is consistent with 2H23, and the update is further evidence that EBO has entered its new phase of organic growth more akin to historical levels (mid to high single digits), rather than sustaining its growth rates over the past three years.</li><li>Consistent with history, no full year guidance was provided and given the in line trading update we leave our earnings estimates unchanged. </li></ul>

EBOS Group's (EBO) 1Q24 ASM trading update was broadly in line with our expectations, showing a solid start to FY24.1Q24 organic EBITDA growth of ~+8% is consistent with 2H23, and the update is further evidence that EBO has entered its new phase of organic growth more akin to historical levels (mid to high single digits), rather than sustaining its growth rates over the past three years.Consistent with history, no full year guidance was provided and given the in line trading update we leave our earnings estimates unchanged. 

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back on the 11th December 2023, pharmacy distributor <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a> announced a "transformational merger" - in effect a reverse takeover - with mega chain Chemist Warehouse (CWG).</li>
<li>In <a href="https://skr.ma/qWWUZ," target="_blank" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU): Chemist Warehouse's Reverse Takeover</a> I flagged pushback from ACCC; but on balance thought the merger should still get up.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/travis-lundy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:25" rel="noopener">Travis Lundy</a> struck a more tentative tone in <a href="https://skr.ma/Q9Kv1," target="_blank" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare: ASX200 Inclusion Now, MUCH More Squeezy Fun Later. Maybe... </a>Rightfully so it seems. The ACCC has now raised competition concerns. </li>
</ul>


Back on the 11th December 2023, pharmacy distributor Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU) announced a "transformational merger" - in effect a reverse takeover - with mega chain Chemist Warehouse (CWG).
In Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU): Chemist Warehouse's Reverse Takeover I flagged pushback from ACCC; but on balance thought the merger should still get up.

Travis Lundy struck a more tentative tone in Sigma Healthcare: ASX200 Inclusion Now, MUCH More Squeezy Fun Later. Maybe... Rightfully so it seems. The ACCC has now raised competition concerns. 


Sigma/Chemist Warehouse Merger: ACCC Has (Many) Issues

<ul>
<li>Privately-Held Chemist Warehouse’s (CWG) “transformational merger” with pharmaceutical wholesaler and franchisor <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a> will result in CWG's shareholders holding 85.75% of the merged company. </li>
<li>CWG shareholders will receive A$700mn in cash plus new Sigma shares. Sigma will also undertake a $400mn equity raising to fund working capital needs.</li>
<li>Sigma has the backing of its largest shareholder HMC. The risk to completion pivots off ACCC approval. </li>
</ul>


Privately-Held Chemist Warehouse’s (CWG) “transformational merger” with pharmaceutical wholesaler and franchisor Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU) will result in CWG's shareholders holding 85.75% of the merged company. 
CWG shareholders will receive A$700mn in cash plus new Sigma shares. Sigma will also undertake a $400mn equity raising to fund working capital needs.
Sigma has the backing of its largest shareholder HMC. The risk to completion pivots off ACCC approval. 


Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU): Chemist Warehouse's Reverse Takeover

New Zealand

EBOS Group Limited supplies and distributes medical consumable products and equipment to the hospital and primary care sectors of the New Zealand and Australian healthcare markets. The Company's products include diagnostic instruments, surgical instruments and prosthesis, feminine protection, anesthetic equipment, and other consumer products.

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Ebos Group Ltd (EBO NZ)

Top APAC (Ex-China) Investment Worthy Healthcare Companies Using Smartkarma’s Smart Score Screener

We have screened APAC (ex-China) healthcare companies with market cap≥$800M using Smartkarma’s Smart Score and picked up 2 investable ideas by...

Tina Banerjee

EBOS Group - 1H24 Preview — Costs & Chemist Warehouse

With the first four months of trading already released, it is unlikely that EBOS Group's (EBO) 1H24 result will surprise. We expect it to be a...

Forsyth Barr

EBOS Group - 101st AGM — On Script

Consistent with history, no full year guidance was provided and given the in line trading update we leave our earnings estimates unchanged.

Forsyth Barr

Sigma/Chemist Warehouse Merger: ACCC Has (Many) Issues

Sigma's valuation appeared rich when I last wrote on this back in December. It still is. Regulatory risk is now very apparent. I'd still be...

David Blennerhassett

Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU): Chemist Warehouse's Reverse Takeover

Sigma's shares resumed this morning after raising $178mn from institutional partners to support its merger with Chemist Warehouse – and are up 41%...

David Blennerhassett

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