Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>If stocks close above the appraisal prices on the 10th, NPS will support the merger; otherwise, they’ll abstain to secure their appraisal rights.</li>
<li>Due to cancellation risk hitting the ceiling, NPS will likely exercise half its position and start buybacks after the results.</li>
<li>With both stocks heavily weighted in KOSPI 200, NPS is likely to opt for a tight buyback window, boosting chances for upward price action on Doosan's shares in that period.</li>
</ul>


If stocks close above the appraisal prices on the 10th, NPS will support the merger; otherwise, they’ll abstain to secure their appraisal rights.
Due to cancellation risk hitting the ceiling, NPS will likely exercise half its position and start buybacks after the results.
With both stocks heavily weighted in KOSPI 200, NPS is likely to opt for a tight buyback window, boosting chances for upward price action on Doosan's shares in that period.


Flow Dynamics from NPS Exercising Appraisal Rights on Doosan Merger

<ul>
<li>The big question is how to cash in on the dissenters' rights spread for Robotics. The main concern is cancellation risk, but the FSS doesn’t seem too negative on approval.</li>
<li>To sustain nuclear momentum, Enerbility needs heavy borrowing for facility investments, requiring a lower debt ratio. Offloading debt-heavy Bobcat is a move shareholders might support.</li>
<li>With NPS unlikely to ignore the government's nuclear push, Robotics' spread could narrow quickly. Despite cancellation risk and no hedge, the remaining juice makes an outright position worth considering.</li>
</ul>


The big question is how to cash in on the dissenters' rights spread for Robotics. The main concern is cancellation risk, but the FSS doesn’t seem too negative on approval.
To sustain nuclear momentum, Enerbility needs heavy borrowing for facility investments, requiring a lower debt ratio. Offloading debt-heavy Bobcat is a move shareholders might support.
With NPS unlikely to ignore the government's nuclear push, Robotics' spread could narrow quickly. Despite cancellation risk and no hedge, the remaining juice makes an outright position worth considering.


Doosan’s Tweaked Restructuring Play: My Take on Hitting Robotics' 13% Spread

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Doosan Robotics  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-robotics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36816:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Robotics (DOOSANROBO KS)</a> is looking to raise up to US$314m in its Korean IPO. </li>
<li>Doosan Robotics (DR) manufactures and sells collaborative robots (Cobots). The firm’s product portfolio primarily includes different series of robot arms as well as its coffee module. </li>
<li>In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance and undertook a peer comparison. In this note, we talk about valuation.</li>
</ul>



Doosan Robotics (DOOSANROBO KS) is looking to raise up to US$314m in its Korean IPO. 
Doosan Robotics (DR) manufactures and sells collaborative robots (Cobots). The firm’s product portfolio primarily includes different series of robot arms as well as its coffee module. 
In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance and undertook a peer comparison. In this note, we talk about valuation.


Doosan Robotics IPO - Thoughts on Valuation - A Punt at Best, a Crash at Worst

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>We discuss the end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 39 stocks in Korea in October 2024, among which four are in KOSPI and 35 are in KOSDAQ.</li>
<li>These 39 stocks on average could be subject to further selling pressures in October and could underperform relative to the market.</li>
<li>The top three market cap stocks including those of which at least 1% of outstanding shares could be sold in October are Korea Zinc, Doosan Robotics, and Kolon TissueGene. </li>
</ul>


We discuss the end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 39 stocks in Korea in October 2024, among which four are in KOSPI and 35 are in KOSDAQ.
These 39 stocks on average could be subject to further selling pressures in October and could underperform relative to the market.
The top three market cap stocks including those of which at least 1% of outstanding shares could be sold in October are Korea Zinc, Doosan Robotics, and Kolon TissueGene. 


End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 39 Companies in Korea in October 2024

<ul>
<li>On 29 August, the Doosan Group announced that it is cancelling the merger between Doosan Robotics (454910 KS) and Doosan Bobcat Inc (241560 KS).</li>
<li>However, the plan to split Doosan Enerbility into a newco and then merge Doosan Bobcat with the newco will remain in place.</li>
<li>Doosan Group is still trying to complete the first two portions of reorganization (Split of Doosan Enerbility and Merger Swap Between Doosan Enerbility and Doosan Robotics), resulting in continued uncertainty.  </li>
</ul>


On 29 August, the Doosan Group announced that it is cancelling the merger between Doosan Robotics (454910 KS) and Doosan Bobcat Inc (241560 KS).
However, the plan to split Doosan Enerbility into a newco and then merge Doosan Bobcat with the newco will remain in place.
Doosan Group is still trying to complete the first two portions of reorganization (Split of Doosan Enerbility and Merger Swap Between Doosan Enerbility and Doosan Robotics), resulting in continued uncertainty.  


Doosan Group Cancels Plans to Merge Doosan Robotics and Doosan Bobcat

South Korea

Doosan Robotics Inc. develops and manufactures industrial equipment. The Company manufactures robots, linear actuation devices, automated production equipment, and other products. Doosan Robotics conducts businesses in South Korea.

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Doosan Robotics (454910 KS)

Flow Dynamics from NPS Exercising Appraisal Rights on Doosan Merger

This post dives into the flow dynamics triggered by NPS's conditional exercise of appraisal rights in the Doosan merger.

Sanghyun Park

Doosan’s Tweaked Restructuring Play: My Take on Hitting Robotics' 13% Spread

This post breaks down Doosan’s revamped restructuring plan with Enerbility and Robotics, and shares my take on how to play Robotics' 13% spread on...

Sanghyun Park

Doosan Robotics IPO - Thoughts on Valuation - A Punt at Best, a Crash at Worst

Doosan Robotics (DOOSANROBO KS) is looking to raise up to US$314m in its Korean IPO. comparison. In this note, we talk about valuation.

Ethan Aw

End of Mandatory Lock-Up Periods for 39 Companies in Korea in October 2024

We discuss the end of the mandatory lock-up periods for 39 stocks in Korea in October 2024, among which four are in KOSPI and 35 are in KOSDAQ.

Douglas Kim

Doosan Group Cancels Plans to Merge Doosan Robotics and Doosan Bobcat

Most minority investors have a Negative view of this entire Doosan Group reorganization. We would stay away from Doosan Robotics, Doosan...

Douglas Kim

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