Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> has suffered a continuous sell-off for the past 3 weeks. The index is deeply oversold, our model predicts an imminent reversal.</li>
<li>The reversal could lift the index to the 8091-8208 price area, but the index may start to fall again after that.</li>
<li>As posted by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/brian-freitas" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:4091" rel="noopener">Brian Freitas</a> there has been 7 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200</a> (index rebalance), read his insight for further details on this.</li>
</ul>


The S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) has suffered a continuous sell-off for the past 3 weeks. The index is deeply oversold, our model predicts an imminent reversal.
The reversal could lift the index to the 8091-8208 price area, but the index may start to fall again after that.
As posted by Brian Freitas there has been 7 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (index rebalance), read his insight for further details on this.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 2 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX50 Index, 2 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index, 7 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX200 Index</a> and 11 adds/ 7 deletes for the S&amp;P/ASX300 Index.</li>
<li>There is a huge increase in the number of index shares for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a>, triggering passive buying of nearly A$1.4bn at the close on 21 March.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes across all indices. Positioning varies across stocks and there could be some big movers over the next few days.</li>
</ul>


There are 2 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX50 Index, 2 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index, 7 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX200 Index and 11 adds/ 7 deletes for the S&amp;P/ASX300 Index.
There is a huge increase in the number of index shares for Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU), triggering passive buying of nearly A$1.4bn at the close on 21 March.
The adds have outperformed the deletes across all indices. Positioning varies across stocks and there could be some big movers over the next few days.


S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (Mar 2025): SIG Is the BIG One; Changes Galore Across Indices

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The ADDs/DELs for the ASX index family for the March 2025 index rebal event were announced after market close on Friday 7th March 2025.</li>
<li>There are 22 ADDs and 18 DELs collectively for ASX 50, ASX 100, ASX 200, and ASX 300.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a final look at the flow expectations for each of these index changes.</li>
</ul>


The ADDs/DELs for the ASX index family for the March 2025 index rebal event were announced after market close on Friday 7th March 2025.
There are 22 ADDs and 18 DELs collectively for ASX 50, ASX 100, ASX 200, and ASX 300.
In this insight, we take a final look at the flow expectations for each of these index changes.


Quiddity ASX Mar25 Results: Multiple Surprises; High Short Buildup for DELs; Rare Successful Trade

<ul>
<li>There could be ad hoc change for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> prior to the announcement of the changes at the March rebalance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arcadium-lithium-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40438:1" rel="noopener">Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU)</a> could stop trading next week following the acquisition by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rio-tinto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13:1" rel="noopener">Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU)</a>. The Royal Court of Jersey could sanction the scheme on 5 March.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mesoblast-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:769:1" rel="noopener">Mesoblast (MSB AU)</a> is a high probability inclusion to the index, followed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digico-infrastructure-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44091:1" rel="noopener">DigiCo Infrastructure REIT (DGT AU)</a>. The stock that misses out will be added at the regular rebalance. </li>
</ul>


There could be ad hoc change for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) prior to the announcement of the changes at the March rebalance.

Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU) could stop trading next week following the acquisition by Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU). The Royal Court of Jersey could sanction the scheme on 5 March.

Mesoblast (MSB AU) is a high probability inclusion to the index, followed by DigiCo Infrastructure REIT (DGT AU). The stock that misses out will be added at the regular rebalance. 


ASX200 Index AdHoc Rebalance Preview: Mesoblast (MSB) Could Replace Arcadium Lithium (LTM) Next Week

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goodman-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:959:1" rel="noopener">Goodman Group (GMG AU)</a> is looking to raise around US$2.5bn to partly fund its data centre expansion plans.</li>
<li>Goodman’s shares have performed exceptionally well over the past year, driven by its pivot towards data centers.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Goodman Group (GMG AU) is looking to raise around US$2.5bn to partly fund its data centre expansion plans.
Goodman’s shares have performed exceptionally well over the past year, driven by its pivot towards data centers.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Goodman Group Placement - Large Deal, Doesn’t Seem Well Flagged, Not Particularly Exciting

Australia

DigiCo Infrastructure REIT operates as a digital infrastructure real estate investment trust. The Trust owns and develops data centers and related infrastructures assets for the communications, energy, transportation, and utility industries.

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DigiCo Infrastructure REIT (DGT AU)

S&P/ASX 200 Index Outlook Post-Rebalance

The recently rebalanced ASX 200 index is in oversold territory. Our model predicts an imminent reversal and relief rally to the 8091-8208 range,...

Nico Rosti

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (Mar 2025): SIG Is the BIG One; Changes Galore Across Indices

There are 40 constituent changes across the indices. SIG is an add to 2 indices and also an upweight in 2 others - so big buying. The adds have...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity ASX Mar25 Results: Multiple Surprises; High Short Buildup for DELs; Rare Successful Trade

Since 18th February 2025, the LONGs (Expected ADDs) have outperformed the SHORTs (Expected DELs) by 3.82%. However, there is extreme short buildup...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

ASX200 Index AdHoc Rebalance Preview: Mesoblast (MSB) Could Replace Arcadium Lithium (LTM) Next Week

Arcadium Lithium could stop trading next week. Mesoblast could be added to the ASX200 Index. There is a lot for passive trackers to buy and...

Brian Freitas

Goodman Group Placement - Large Deal, Doesn’t Seem Well Flagged, Not Particularly Exciting

Goodman Group (GMG AU) is looking to raise around US$2.5bn to partly fund its data centre expansion plans. In this note, we talk about the deal...

Sumeet Singh

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S&P/ASX 200 Index Outlook Post-Rebalance

The recently rebalanced ASX 200 index is in oversold territory. Our model predicts an imminent reversal and relief rally to the 8091-8208 range,...

Nico Rosti

S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (Mar 2025): SIG Is the BIG One; Changes Galore Across Indices

There are 40 constituent changes across the indices. SIG is an add to 2 indices and also an upweight in 2 others - so big buying. The adds have...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity ASX Mar25 Results: Multiple Surprises; High Short Buildup for DELs; Rare Successful Trade

Since 18th February 2025, the LONGs (Expected ADDs) have outperformed the SHORTs (Expected DELs) by 3.82%. However, there is extreme short buildup...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

ASX200 Index AdHoc Rebalance Preview: Mesoblast (MSB) Could Replace Arcadium Lithium (LTM) Next Week

Arcadium Lithium could stop trading next week. Mesoblast could be added to the ASX200 Index. There is a lot for passive trackers to buy and...

Brian Freitas

Goodman Group Placement - Large Deal, Doesn’t Seem Well Flagged, Not Particularly Exciting

Goodman Group (GMG AU) is looking to raise around US$2.5bn to partly fund its data centre expansion plans. In this note, we talk about the deal...

Sumeet Singh

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (Mar 2025): SIG Is the BIG One; Changes Galore Across Indices