Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bikaji-foods-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36502:1" rel="noopener">Bikaji Foods (BIKAJI IN)</a>, an ethnic snacks company, is looking to raise approximately US$107m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>Its product range includes six principal categories: bhujia, namkeen, packaged sweets, papad, western snacks as well as other snacks which primarily include gift packs, frozen food, mathri range and cookies.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the company's past performance.</li>
</ul>



Bikaji Foods (BIKAJI IN), an ethnic snacks company, is looking to raise approximately US$107m in its India IPO.
Its product range includes six principal categories: bhujia, namkeen, packaged sweets, papad, western snacks as well as other snacks which primarily include gift packs, frozen food, mathri range and cookies.
In this note, we look at the company's past performance.


Bikaji Foods International IPO - Spicy Snacks

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jubilant-foodworks-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:986:1" rel="noopener">Jubilant Foodworks (JUBI IN)</a> is India’s largest food service company. In hindsight, CEO's exit in March 2022 under a high inflationary environment was just "NOISE".</li>
<li>Industry drivers are favourable, JUBI's renewed focus on growth, additional brands and a new CEO, all put JUBI back on track to deliver robust growth. </li>
<li>Currently trading at 68.5x NTM, JUBI is available at a 22% discount compared to it's 3Y mean, considering the growth prospects discussed below, this discount is attractive.</li>
</ul>



Jubilant Foodworks (JUBI IN) is India’s largest food service company. In hindsight, CEO's exit in March 2022 under a high inflationary environment was just "NOISE".
Industry drivers are favourable, JUBI's renewed focus on growth, additional brands and a new CEO, all put JUBI back on track to deliver robust growth. 
Currently trading at 68.5x NTM, JUBI is available at a 22% discount compared to it's 3Y mean, considering the growth prospects discussed below, this discount is attractive.


Jubilant Foodworks (JUBI IN) | Discount Is Attractive

<ul>
<li>YTD <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sapphire-foods-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34951:1" rel="noopener">Sapphire Foods (SAPPHIRE IN)</a> has delivered 10.5% vs <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/devyani-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33519:1" rel="noopener">Devyani International (DEVYANI IN)</a> which has delivered 7.9% and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jubilant-foodworks-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:986:1" rel="noopener">Jubilant Foodworks (JUBI IN)</a> which has delivered -16.43%  (Relative to NIFTY).</li>
<li>On an NTM basis, SAPPHIRE at 58x trades 30% cheaper compared to DEVYANI, and only 16% cheaper than JUBI.</li>
<li>The business performance is poor, the worst capital allocation among peers is not expected to change materially in the near term warranting attention to YTD outperformance. </li>
</ul>


YTD Sapphire Foods (SAPPHIRE IN) has delivered 10.5% vs Devyani International (DEVYANI IN) which has delivered 7.9% and Jubilant Foodworks (JUBI IN) which has delivered -16.43%  (Relative to NIFTY).
On an NTM basis, SAPPHIRE at 58x trades 30% cheaper compared to DEVYANI, and only 16% cheaper than JUBI.
The business performance is poor, the worst capital allocation among peers is not expected to change materially in the near term warranting attention to YTD outperformance. 


Sapphire Foods (SAPPHIRE IN) | Outperformance Not Justified

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>This is now the third Int'l Compass/third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes experiencing bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals.</li>
<li>Importantly, all of the previously mentioned indexes are holding above their breakout levels (i.e., there has yet to be any failed breakouts).</li>
<li>Now, the U.S. dollar (DXY) is starting to show early signs of topping. We continue to believe that global equities are going through a bottoming process.</li>
</ul>


This is now the third Int'l Compass/third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes experiencing bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals.
Importantly, all of the previously mentioned indexes are holding above their breakout levels (i.e., there has yet to be any failed breakouts).
Now, the U.S. dollar (DXY) is starting to show early signs of topping. We continue to believe that global equities are going through a bottoming process.


U.S. Dollar Topping?; Bullish Reversals Continue; Ideas in Growth/Cyclicals, Financials

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nirmal Bang

Nirmal Bang

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

A Relationship Beyond Broking

Nirmal Bang, one of the leading stock broking companies in India, caters to retail and institutional clients by offering them a range of financial products and services, including equities, derivatives, commodities, currency derivatives, mutual funds, IPOs, insurance, depository services and PMS.

Nirmal Bang is drawn from a diversity of professional backgrounds, and blend of experience, skill and dedication is shared with its clients. Nirmal Bang emphasizes adequate, thorough research local and world-wide developments, balancing these with the astute discovery of intrinsic values, synergies and growth. The aim is simply to help the investors to maximize their returns.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>As of FY20, the Food Services industry in India was valued at Rs4.2tn and grew by 7- 8% over the prior 5 years.</li><li>FY21 was a forgettable year, as the sector was affected by restrictions on operating hours &amp; capacity, which shrunk the industry size by ~76%.</li><li>Around 26% of restaurants in India shut down permanently, with ~33% of the 7.4mn workforce losing their jobs...(continued).</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

As of FY20, the Food Services industry in India was valued at Rs4.2tn and grew by 7- 8% over the prior 5 years.FY21 was a forgettable year, as the sector was affected by restrictions on operating hours &amp; capacity, which shrunk the industry size by ~76%.Around 26% of restaurants in India shut down permanently, with ~33% of the 7.4mn workforce losing their jobs...(continued).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer Sector Update: Restructured Food Services Industry Looking at Good Potential Going Ahead

India

Devyani International Limited distributes groceries and related products. The Company operates franchisee business and chain of quick service restaurants. Devyani International serves customers in India.

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Devyani International (DEVYANI IN)

Bikaji Foods International IPO - Spicy Snacks

Bikaji Foods (BIKAJI IN), an ethnic snacks company, is looking to raise approximately US$107m in its India IPO. In this note, we look at the...

Sumeet Singh

Jubilant Foodworks (JUBI IN) | Discount Is Attractive

Jubilant Foodworks (JUBI IN) is India’s largest food service company. Industry drivers are favourable, with a renewed focus on growth, additional...

Pranav Bhavsar

Sapphire Foods (SAPPHIRE IN) | Outperformance Not Justified

Sapphire Foods's business performance is poor, the worst capital allocation among peers is not expected to change materially in the near term...

Pranav Bhavsar

U.S. Dollar Topping?; Bullish Reversals Continue; Ideas in Growth/Cyclicals, Financials

This is now the third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes with bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals,...

Vermilion Research

Consumer Sector Update: Restructured Food Services Industry Looking at Good Potential Going Ahead

Consumer Sector Update Expert Meeting Update Restructured Food Services industry looking at good potential going ahead We recently hosted...

Nirmal Bang

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