SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

Yangzijiang Shipbuilding / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions spanning Oct 4 to Oct 10, with S$211 million of net institutional inflow, adding to the preceding five sessions of S$50 million net inflow.</li><li>Leading the net institutional inflow over the five sessions through to Oct 10 were DBS Group Holdings, Seatrium, Hongkong Land Holdings, Wilmar International, iFAST Corporation, Genting Singapore, SATS, Sembcorp Industries, Singapore Exchange and Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust.</li><li>Its 1HFY24 (ended June 30) net profit of S$0.3 million compared to a net profit of S$0.4 million for 1HFY23.</li></ul>

Institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions spanning Oct 4 to Oct 10, with S$211 million of net institutional inflow, adding to the preceding five sessions of S$50 million net inflow.Leading the net institutional inflow over the five sessions through to Oct 10 were DBS Group Holdings, Seatrium, Hongkong Land Holdings, Wilmar International, iFAST Corporation, Genting Singapore, SATS, Sembcorp Industries, Singapore Exchange and Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust.Its 1HFY24 (ended June 30) net profit of S$0.3 million compared to a net profit of S$0.4 million for 1HFY23.

Substantial shareholder Thomas Clive Khoo takes his Zixin stake to above 9%

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We must recognize the wide variance in credit growth rates across Asian countries</li>
<li>There are critical implications for differences in net interest income growth and profit</li>
<li>Credit metrics also tend to move in tandem with loan growth rates, as does GDP growth</li>
</ul>


We must recognize the wide variance in credit growth rates across Asian countries
There are critical implications for differences in net interest income growth and profit
Credit metrics also tend to move in tandem with loan growth rates, as does GDP growth


Asian Banks - Wide Variance in Credit Growth, and in Delta of Growth Rates in Recent Months

<ul>
<li>There is a sharp and accelerating rise in deposits with Hong Kong's banks, likely from Mainland China in part</li>
<li>There is no offsetting lending volume, where loan growth remains still negative, not a positive combination for net interest income</li>
<li>The LDR for Hong Kong's banks is fast approaching the distressed levels seen during the Global Financial Crisis (GFC)</li>
</ul>


There is a sharp and accelerating rise in deposits with Hong Kong's banks, likely from Mainland China in part
There is no offsetting lending volume, where loan growth remains still negative, not a positive combination for net interest income
The LDR for Hong Kong's banks is fast approaching the distressed levels seen during the Global Financial Crisis (GFC)


HK Banks - Surging Deposits and Contracting Loans, Sees LDR Fall Toward GFC Levels

<ul><li>Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions spanning Sep 20 to 26, with S$54 million of net institutional outflow, reducing total net inflows from the 20 trading sessions spanning Aug 30 (which included MSCI Index rebalancing) through to Sep 26, to S$1.165 billion.</li><li>Leading the net institutional outflow over the five sessions through to Sep 26 were Singapore Telecommunications, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Holdings, CapitaLand Investment, Singapore Exchange, Mapletree Logistics Trust, Capitaland Ascendas REIT, City Developments, Jardine Cycle & Carriage, Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust and Mapletree Industrial Trust.</li><li>Between Sep 24 and 25, Raffles Medical Group executive chairman Loo Choon Yong acquired 2.15 million shares at S$0.89 per share.</li></ul>

Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions spanning Sep 20 to 26, with S$54 million of net institutional outflow, reducing total net inflows from the 20 trading sessions spanning Aug 30 (which included MSCI Index rebalancing) through to Sep 26, to S$1.165 billion.Leading the net institutional outflow over the five sessions through to Sep 26 were Singapore Telecommunications, Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Holdings, CapitaLand Investment, Singapore Exchange, Mapletree Logistics Trust, Capitaland Ascendas REIT, City Developments, Jardine Cycle & Carriage, Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust and Mapletree Industrial Trust.Between Sep 24 and 25, Raffles Medical Group executive chairman Loo Choon Yong acquired 2.15 million shares at S$0.89 per share.

Raffles Medical executive chairman expands interest; First REIT independent director cashes in

<ul><li>Institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions spanning Sep 13 to 19, with S$367 million of net institutional inflow, bringing total net inflows from the 15 trading sessions spanning Aug 30 (which included MSCI Index rebalancing) through to Sep 19, to S$1.2 billion.</li><li>Financial Services, Telecommunications, Industrials and REITs have led the net institutional inflow over the 15 sessions spanning Aug 30 to Sep 19.</li><li>Seatrium also bought back 1.17 million shares, taking the cumulative percentage of issued shares (excluding treasury shares) acquired on the current mandate to 0.37 per cent.</li></ul>

Institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions spanning Sep 13 to 19, with S$367 million of net institutional inflow, bringing total net inflows from the 15 trading sessions spanning Aug 30 (which included MSCI Index rebalancing) through to Sep 19, to S$1.2 billion.Financial Services, Telecommunications, Industrials and REITs have led the net institutional inflow over the 15 sessions spanning Aug 30 to Sep 19.Seatrium also bought back 1.17 million shares, taking the cumulative percentage of issued shares (excluding treasury shares) acquired on the current mandate to 0.37 per cent.

Institutions net buyers of Singapore stocks

Singapore

DBS Group Holdings Limited and its subsidiaries provide a variety of financial services.  The Company offers services including mortgage financing, lease and hire purchase financing, nominee and trustee, funds management, corporate advisory and brokerage .  DBS Group also acts as the primary dealer in Singapore government securities.

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DBS (DBS SP)

Substantial shareholder Thomas Clive Khoo takes his Zixin stake to above 9%

Institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions spanning Oct 4 to Oct 10, with S$211 million of net institutional...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Asian Banks - Wide Variance in Credit Growth, and in Delta of Growth Rates in Recent Months

There is a wide variance of domestic loan growth rates in Asian countries, one must be highly selective. There are implications for growth of net...

Daniel Tabbush

HK Banks - Surging Deposits and Contracting Loans, Sees LDR Fall Toward GFC Levels

Hong Kong's banks are seeing surge in deposits, likely from Mainland China, but this is not accompanied by loan growth, where this is in...

Daniel Tabbush

Raffles Medical executive chairman expands interest; First REIT independent director cashes in

Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions spanning Sep 20 to 26, with S$54 million of net institutional...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Institutions net buyers of Singapore stocks

Institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions spanning Sep 13 to 19, with S$367 million of net institutional...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)