Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Singapore domestic credit growth is expanding upward over several months, where there are positive implications for net interest income growth</li>
<li>Growth of local loans was negative YoY in past months last year, so the delta pick up of net interest income can be strong</li>
<li>Accelerating growth likely means better credit metrics, and this is what MAS data shows too; this means that credit costs can come in, improving profit growth</li>
</ul>


Singapore domestic credit growth is expanding upward over several months, where there are positive implications for net interest income growth
Growth of local loans was negative YoY in past months last year, so the delta pick up of net interest income can be strong
Accelerating growth likely means better credit metrics, and this is what MAS data shows too; this means that credit costs can come in, improving profit growth


Singapore Banks - Domestic Credit Growth Rising Substantially, Credit Cost May Follow With A Decline

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>The STI rallied 5.0% in the first half of July, with the broader Singapore stock market booking over S$400 million in net institutional inflow.</li><li>Among the STI constituents, DBS led the net institutional inflow over the 11 sessions, with inflow of S$118 million, reversing S$28 million of net institutional outflow in 1H24.</li><li>For the contingent of STI constituents that ranked among the 30 stocks with highest net institutional inflow over the 11 sessions, DBS Group Holdings booked the highest net institutional inflow of S$118 million.</li></ul>

The STI rallied 5.0% in the first half of July, with the broader Singapore stock market booking over S$400 million in net institutional inflow.Among the STI constituents, DBS led the net institutional inflow over the 11 sessions, with inflow of S$118 million, reversing S$28 million of net institutional outflow in 1H24.For the contingent of STI constituents that ranked among the 30 stocks with highest net institutional inflow over the 11 sessions, DBS Group Holdings booked the highest net institutional inflow of S$118 million.

Mid-July Market Movers: Stocks with the Highest Net Institutional Inflows

<ul><li>LMS Compliance directors augment interests OCBC led the buyback consideration tally for the abbreviated four-session week, acquiring 125 million shares at an average price of S$14.21 per share.</li><li>His total interest in Bonvests Holdings is 84.71 per cent.</li><li>His preceding acquisition was on Jun 11, with 11,300 shares purchased also at S$0.96 per share.</li></ul>

LMS Compliance directors augment interests OCBC led the buyback consideration tally for the abbreviated four-session week, acquiring 125 million shares at an average price of S$14.21 per share.His total interest in Bonvests Holdings is 84.71 per cent.His preceding acquisition was on Jun 11, with 11,300 shares purchased also at S$0.96 per share.

LMS Compliance directors augment interests

<ul><li>Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions through to May 16, with S$28.5 million of net institutional outflow, as 25 primary-listed companies conducted buybacks with a total consideration of S$32.5 million.</li><li>Leading the net institutional outflow over the five sessions were Seatrium, UMS Holdings, Singapore Airlines, Mapletree Logistics Trust, Wilmar International, DBS, AEM Holdings, Jardine Matheson Holdings, Jardine Cycle & Carriage and City Developments.</li><li>Between May 9 and 15, Raffles Medical Group executive chairman Loo Choon Yong acquired 2.6 million shares at an average price of S$1.03 per share.</li></ul>

Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions through to May 16, with S$28.5 million of net institutional outflow, as 25 primary-listed companies conducted buybacks with a total consideration of S$32.5 million.Leading the net institutional outflow over the five sessions were Seatrium, UMS Holdings, Singapore Airlines, Mapletree Logistics Trust, Wilmar International, DBS, AEM Holdings, Jardine Matheson Holdings, Jardine Cycle & Carriage and City Developments.Between May 9 and 15, Raffles Medical Group executive chairman Loo Choon Yong acquired 2.6 million shares at an average price of S$1.03 per share.

Wilmar and Raffles Medical chairmen continue buying spree

<ul><li>CapitaLand Investment (CLI) led the buyback consideration tally, buying back 17,055,700 shares at an average price of S$2.61 per share.</li><li>This brought the percentage of company shares bought back on the current mandate to 0.47 per cent.</li><li>The preceding year’s buyback mandate saw CLI buy back 03 per cent of its issued shares (excluding treasury shares) between Sep 28, 2023, and Jan 26, 2024.</li></ul>

CapitaLand Investment (CLI) led the buyback consideration tally, buying back 17,055,700 shares at an average price of S$2.61 per share.This brought the percentage of company shares bought back on the current mandate to 0.47 per cent.The preceding year’s buyback mandate saw CLI buy back 03 per cent of its issued shares (excluding treasury shares) between Sep 28, 2023, and Jan 26, 2024.

Wilmar, Raffles Medical chairs continue adding to stakes

Singapore

DBS Group Holdings Limited and its subsidiaries provide a variety of financial services.  The Company offers services including mortgage financing, lease and hire purchase financing, nominee and trustee, funds management, corporate advisory and brokerage .  DBS Group also acts as the primary dealer in Singapore government securities.

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DBS (DBS SP)

Singapore Banks - Domestic Credit Growth Rising Substantially, Credit Cost May Follow With A Decline

Domestic credit growth in Singaporeis uplifting for several months, the rate of growth acceleration in latest month, is strong. Positive...

Daniel Tabbush

Mid-July Market Movers: Stocks with the Highest Net Institutional Inflows

The STI rallied 5.0% in the first half of July, with the broader Singapore stock market booking over S$400 million in net institutional...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

LMS Compliance directors augment interests

LMS Compliance directors augment interests OCBC led the buyback consideration tally for the abbreviated four-session week, acquiring 125 million...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Wilmar and Raffles Medical chairmen continue buying spree

Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions through to May 16, with S$28.5 million of net institutional...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Wilmar, Raffles Medical chairs continue adding to stakes

CapitaLand Investment (CLI) led the buyback consideration tally, buying back 17,055,700 shares at an average price of S$2.61 per share. This...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)