SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Over the five trading sessions from Dec 6 to Dec 12, institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, leading to a net institutional outflow of S$104 million, reversing a quarter of the S$418 million net inflow over the preceding five sessions.</li><li>Stocks that led the net institutional outflow over the five sessions through to Dec 12 were DBS Group Holdings, Capitaland Investment, SATS, Singapore Exchange, Mapletree Industrial Trust, Capitaland Integrated Comm Trust, Genting Singapore, Capitaland Ascendas REIT, Singapore Telecommunications and Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust.</li><li>The five trading sessions saw more than 50 director interests and substantial shareholdings filed for close to 25 primary-listed stocks.</li></ul>

Over the five trading sessions from Dec 6 to Dec 12, institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, leading to a net institutional outflow of S$104 million, reversing a quarter of the S$418 million net inflow over the preceding five sessions.Stocks that led the net institutional outflow over the five sessions through to Dec 12 were DBS Group Holdings, Capitaland Investment, SATS, Singapore Exchange, Mapletree Industrial Trust, Capitaland Integrated Comm Trust, Genting Singapore, Capitaland Ascendas REIT, Singapore Telecommunications and Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust.The five trading sessions saw more than 50 director interests and substantial shareholdings filed for close to 25 primary-listed stocks.

<ul><li>The STI rallied 5.0% in the first half of July, with the broader Singapore stock market booking over S$400 million in net institutional inflow.</li><li>Among the STI constituents, DBS led the net institutional inflow over the 11 sessions, with inflow of S$118 million, reversing S$28 million of net institutional outflow in 1H24.</li><li>For the contingent of STI constituents that ranked among the 30 stocks with highest net institutional inflow over the 11 sessions, DBS Group Holdings booked the highest net institutional inflow of S$118 million.</li></ul>

The STI rallied 5.0% in the first half of July, with the broader Singapore stock market booking over S$400 million in net institutional inflow.Among the STI constituents, DBS led the net institutional inflow over the 11 sessions, with inflow of S$118 million, reversing S$28 million of net institutional outflow in 1H24.For the contingent of STI constituents that ranked among the 30 stocks with highest net institutional inflow over the 11 sessions, DBS Group Holdings booked the highest net institutional inflow of S$118 million.

Mid-July Market Movers: Stocks with the Highest Net Institutional Inflows

<ul><li>LMS Compliance directors augment interests OCBC led the buyback consideration tally for the abbreviated four-session week, acquiring 125 million shares at an average price of S$14.21 per share.</li><li>His total interest in Bonvests Holdings is 84.71 per cent.</li><li>His preceding acquisition was on Jun 11, with 11,300 shares purchased also at S$0.96 per share.</li></ul>

LMS Compliance directors augment interests OCBC led the buyback consideration tally for the abbreviated four-session week, acquiring 125 million shares at an average price of S$14.21 per share.His total interest in Bonvests Holdings is 84.71 per cent.His preceding acquisition was on Jun 11, with 11,300 shares purchased also at S$0.96 per share.

LMS Compliance directors augment interests

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

<ul>
<li>DBS is now guiding for no profit growth during FY24. This may end up missing with negative growth more statistically likely, in a worsening world. </li>
<li>Credit metrics are not particularly positive in today's release with SGD215m of credit costs compared with SGD72m in the preceding quarter. </li>
<li>If rate rises are done or nearly done, than the main positive delta of DBS earnings are also done or nearly done. Management guidance suggests as much too. </li>
</ul>


DBS is now guiding for no profit growth during FY24. This may end up missing with negative growth more statistically likely, in a worsening world. 
Credit metrics are not particularly positive in today's release with SGD215m of credit costs compared with SGD72m in the preceding quarter. 
If rate rises are done or nearly done, than the main positive delta of DBS earnings are also done or nearly done. Management guidance suggests as much too. 


DBS - 0% Growth Guidance for FY24 | Quarterly Credit Costs Surging | As Good as It Gets

<ul>
<li>There is no refuting the strong net interest income figures at DBS, although it seems toppy</li>
<li>DBS took credit costs/assets at 4bps in 2Q23 vs 13bps average during FY18, FY19 quarterly</li>
<li>There are not many banks that we can turn too with over 50% QoQ decline in credit costs</li>
</ul>


There is no refuting the strong net interest income figures at DBS, although it seems toppy
DBS took credit costs/assets at 4bps in 2Q23 vs 13bps average during FY18, FY19 quarterly
There are not many banks that we can turn too with over 50% QoQ decline in credit costs


DBS - Is This the Time To Take Provision Expenses at 70% Lower than Average?

Singapore

DBS Group Holdings Limited and its subsidiaries provide a variety of financial services.  The Company offers services including mortgage financing, lease and hire purchase financing, nominee and trustee, funds management, corporate advisory and brokerage .  DBS Group also acts as the primary dealer in Singapore government securities.

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DBS (DBS SP)

Tuan Sing CEO and director add to stakes

Over the five trading sessions from Dec 6 to Dec 12, institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, leading to a net institutional outflow of...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Mid-July Market Movers: Stocks with the Highest Net Institutional Inflows

The STI rallied 5.0% in the first half of July, with the broader Singapore stock market booking over S$400 million in net institutional...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

LMS Compliance directors augment interests

LMS Compliance directors augment interests OCBC led the buyback consideration tally for the abbreviated four-session week, acquiring 125 million...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

DBS - 0% Growth Guidance for FY24 | Quarterly Credit Costs Surging | As Good as It Gets

DBS is now guiding for 0% profit growth during FY24. The figures out today appear very much 'as good as they get.' Credit metrics are worsening,...

Daniel Tabbush

DBS - Is This the Time To Take Provision Expenses at 70% Lower than Average?

With July domestic credit growth turning negative at -3% YoY this is a new development, and the delta in Singapore credit growth downward has been...

Daniel Tabbush

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