SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, with a net outflow of S$117 million from Feb 28 to Mar 6.</li><li>DBS Group Holdings led share buybacks with 700,000 shares at S$46.15 each, totaling S$39,960,047 across 23 companies.</li><li>Hong Leong Asia's Executive Chairman increased his stake to 1.29% by acquiring 767,000 shares at S$0.989 each.</li></ul>

Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, with a net outflow of S$117 million from Feb 28 to Mar 6.DBS Group Holdings led share buybacks with 700,000 shares at S$46.15 each, totaling S$39,960,047 across 23 companies.Hong Leong Asia's Executive Chairman increased his stake to 1.29% by acquiring 767,000 shares at S$0.989 each.

HLA Chair Kwek Leng Peck Increases Stake After 35% Rise in FY24 Net Profit

<ul><li>Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, with a net outflow of S$265 million from Feb 21-27, 2025.</li><li>DBS Group Holdings led share buybacks with 350,000 shares at S$46.73 each; total buybacks amounted to S$31,062,634.</li><li>Wilmar International's FY24 core net profit declined 26% to US$1.16 billion, with sales volume growth in most divisions.</li></ul>

Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, with a net outflow of S$265 million from Feb 21-27, 2025.DBS Group Holdings led share buybacks with 350,000 shares at S$46.73 each; total buybacks amounted to S$31,062,634.Wilmar International's FY24 core net profit declined 26% to US$1.16 billion, with sales volume growth in most divisions.

Buybacks Surge as Earnings Season Nears End

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

<ul>
<li>Granular data from DBS shows worsening credit metrics in Greater China and in Hong Kong. </li>
<li>We use DBS and other banks, as a window on credit metrics for China banks and HK local banks.</li>
<li>The NPL ratio for its HK business moved from 1.1% to 1.7% YoY, while Pillar 3 data shows sharp rise in New NPLs in 2H24</li>
</ul>


Granular data from DBS shows worsening credit metrics in Greater China and in Hong Kong. 
We use DBS and other banks, as a window on credit metrics for China banks and HK local banks.
The NPL ratio for its HK business moved from 1.1% to 1.7% YoY, while Pillar 3 data shows sharp rise in New NPLs in 2H24


DBS - Granular Disclosure Shows Aggressive Deterioration in HK and China. Look at Pillar 3 Also.

<ul><li>Over the five trading sessions from Dec 6 to Dec 12, institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, leading to a net institutional outflow of S$104 million, reversing a quarter of the S$418 million net inflow over the preceding five sessions.</li><li>Stocks that led the net institutional outflow over the five sessions through to Dec 12 were DBS Group Holdings, Capitaland Investment, SATS, Singapore Exchange, Mapletree Industrial Trust, Capitaland Integrated Comm Trust, Genting Singapore, Capitaland Ascendas REIT, Singapore Telecommunications and Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust.</li><li>The five trading sessions saw more than 50 director interests and substantial shareholdings filed for close to 25 primary-listed stocks.</li></ul>

Over the five trading sessions from Dec 6 to Dec 12, institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, leading to a net institutional outflow of S$104 million, reversing a quarter of the S$418 million net inflow over the preceding five sessions.Stocks that led the net institutional outflow over the five sessions through to Dec 12 were DBS Group Holdings, Capitaland Investment, SATS, Singapore Exchange, Mapletree Industrial Trust, Capitaland Integrated Comm Trust, Genting Singapore, Capitaland Ascendas REIT, Singapore Telecommunications and Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust.The five trading sessions saw more than 50 director interests and substantial shareholdings filed for close to 25 primary-listed stocks.

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Change in earnings estimate directions, especially when estimates start increasing after a long period of decline, are what we call "inflections". These, we believe, are the strongest share price catalysts. </li>
<li>We identify nine market-sectors across Asia ex Japan exhibiting upward earnings inflections. Four are from financials, two from telecoms and one each from utilities, consumer durables and industrials.</li>
<li>These market-sectors are from HK/China (3), Korea (1), ASEAN (5). Financials' domination indicates that a broader Asian macroeconomic recovery could be under way. Eight companies are primarily driving the upgrades.</li>
</ul>


Change in earnings estimate directions, especially when estimates start increasing after a long period of decline, are what we call "inflections". These, we believe, are the strongest share price catalysts. 
We identify nine market-sectors across Asia ex Japan exhibiting upward earnings inflections. Four are from financials, two from telecoms and one each from utilities, consumer durables and industrials.
These market-sectors are from HK/China (3), Korea (1), ASEAN (5). Financials' domination indicates that a broader Asian macroeconomic recovery could be under way. Eight companies are primarily driving the upgrades.


Asian Equities: Keep an Eye on These Earnings Inflections

Singapore

DBS Group Holdings Limited and its subsidiaries provide a variety of financial services.  The Company offers services including mortgage financing, lease and hire purchase financing, nominee and trustee, funds management, corporate advisory and brokerage .  DBS Group also acts as the primary dealer in Singapore government securities.

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DBS (DBS SP)

HLA Chair Kwek Leng Peck Increases Stake After 35% Rise in FY24 Net Profit

Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, with a net outflow of S$117 million from Feb 28 to Mar 6. DBS Group Holdings led share buybacks...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Buybacks Surge as Earnings Season Nears End

Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, with a net outflow of S$265 million from Feb 21-27, 2025. DBS Group Holdings led share buybacks...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

DBS - Granular Disclosure Shows Aggressive Deterioration in HK and China. Look at Pillar 3 Also.

Granular disclosure in newly released data from DBS shows major deterioration in credit metrics in Hong Kong and in China. Its Pillar 3 release...

Daniel Tabbush

Tuan Sing CEO and director add to stakes

Over the five trading sessions from Dec 6 to Dec 12, institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, leading to a net institutional outflow of...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Asian Equities: Keep an Eye on These Earnings Inflections

Earnings inflections, ie EPS est rising after long period of decline, are selectively underway in Asia. We identify 9 market-sectors - 3 from HK...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HLA Chair Kwek Leng Peck Increases Stake After 35% Rise in FY24 Net Profit

Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, with a net outflow of S$117 million from Feb 28 to Mar 6. DBS Group Holdings led share buybacks...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Buybacks Surge as Earnings Season Nears End

Institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, with a net outflow of S$265 million from Feb 21-27, 2025. DBS Group Holdings led share buybacks...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

DBS - Granular Disclosure Shows Aggressive Deterioration in HK and China. Look at Pillar 3 Also.

Granular disclosure in newly released data from DBS shows major deterioration in credit metrics in Hong Kong and in China. Its Pillar 3 release...

Daniel Tabbush

Tuan Sing CEO and director add to stakes

Over the five trading sessions from Dec 6 to Dec 12, institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, leading to a net institutional outflow of...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Asian Equities: Keep an Eye on These Earnings Inflections

​Earnings inflections, ie EPS est rising after long period of decline, are selectively underway in Asia. We identify 9 market-sectors - 3 from HK...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Earnings inflections, ie EPS est rising after long period of decline, are selectively underway in Asia. We identify 9 market-sectors - 3 from HK...