Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Oil is down dramatically from USD83.26 in April this year to USD67.37 now</li>
<li>DBS saw a surge in NPLs in FY16 from the oil price decline in that time</li>
<li>There appears to be some correlation between DBS and oil prices</li>
</ul>


Oil is down dramatically from USD83.26 in April this year to USD67.37 now
DBS saw a surge in NPLs in FY16 from the oil price decline in that time
There appears to be some correlation between DBS and oil prices


DBS - Beware of Oil Exposures like Last Time Oil Prices Declined

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>In the IPO space, Australia finally got its IPO counter ticking for the year with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/redox-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39847:1" rel="noopener">Redox (RDX AU)</a>.</li>
<li>On the placement front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/infratil-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:596:1" rel="noopener">Infratil Ltd (IFT NZ)</a> raised to increase its stake in One NZ. While <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/skymark-airlines-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20430:1" rel="noopener">Skymark Airlines (9204 JP)</a> will see a lockup expiry in the coming week.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
In the IPO space, Australia finally got its IPO counter ticking for the year with Redox (RDX AU).
On the placement front, Infratil Ltd (IFT NZ) raised to increase its stake in One NZ. While Skymark Airlines (9204 JP) will see a lockup expiry in the coming week.


ECM Weekly (11th June 2023) - Alibaba, Tencent, PDD, Redox, Amman, Kotak, Infratil, Skymark

Kotak Mahindra Bank / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>CPPIB aims to raise around US$750m via selling a 1.6% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kotak-mahindra-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:126:1" rel="noopener">Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN)</a>. </li>
<li>This is not the first time that CPPIB will be selling down some of its stake, the previous deal held up well.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


CPPIB aims to raise around US$750m via selling a 1.6% stake in Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN). 
This is not the first time that CPPIB will be selling down some of its stake, the previous deal held up well.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Kotak Placement - Has Sold Before, Stock Has Run-Up Recently but It Has Still Underperformed

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>In the IPO space, Indonesia appears to be the only market where sizeable deals are being done as Growatt and Olam Agri  laucnhes got pushed back.</li>
<li>On the placement front, there were only a few smaller deals that were lauched, apart from the selldown in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coal-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9117:1" rel="noopener">Coal India Ltd (COAL IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
In the IPO space, Indonesia appears to be the only market where sizeable deals are being done as Growatt and Olam Agri  laucnhes got pushed back.
On the placement front, there were only a few smaller deals that were lauched, apart from the selldown in Coal India Ltd (COAL IN). 


ECM Weekly (4th June 2023) - JD Ind, Alibaba, Growatt, Olam Agri, Coal India, Adani, Patanjali

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), RHB Invest

RHB Invest

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

RHB Investment Bank is one of the leading capital market players in Malaysia. Supported by an award-winning research team of experienced product specialists, RHB Group Investment Banking offers a full range of investment banking products and services covering primary markets, such as advisory (corporate & debt restructuring, mergers and acquisitions, takeovers), fundraising via both equity and debt instruments, and secondary markets including securities trading for both institutional and retail clients. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>We attended DBS’ Investor Day on 22 May 2023 where management shared their digital-led strategy in growth markets, how new businesses with potential have evolved from the previous Investor Day in 2017 and addressed some of the questions from investors and analysts.</li><li>Technology has transformed the way they manage with the use of a hybrid multi-cloud strategy with in-house infrastructure as a service.</li><li>Other business segments such as Consumer and SME, Private banking, Global transaction services, and Treasury markets have also benefited from the digital transformation.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We attended DBS’ Investor Day on 22 May 2023 where management shared their digital-led strategy in growth markets, how new businesses with potential have evolved from the previous Investor Day in 2017 and addressed some of the questions from investors and analysts.Technology has transformed the way they manage with the use of a hybrid multi-cloud strategy with in-house infrastructure as a service.Other business segments such as Consumer and SME, Private banking, Global transaction services, and Treasury markets have also benefited from the digital transformation.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

DBS Group - Dividends To Increase By S$0.24 Per Year

Singapore

DBS Group Holdings Limited and its subsidiaries provide a variety of financial services.  The Company offers services including mortgage financing, lease and hire purchase financing, nominee and trustee, funds management, corporate advisory and brokerage .  DBS Group also acts as the primary dealer in Singapore government securities.

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DBS (DBS SP)

DBS - Beware of Oil Exposures like Last Time Oil Prices Declined

Oil prices are down dramatically, where DBS is exposed. This may explain what appears to be a good correlation, oil and DBS. Credit costs can rise...

Daniel Tabbush

ECM Weekly (11th June 2023) - Alibaba, Tencent, PDD, Redox, Amman, Kotak, Infratil, Skymark

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Kotak Placement - Has Sold Before, Stock Has Run-Up Recently but It Has Still Underperformed

CPPIB aims to raise around US$750m via selling a 1.6% stake in Kotak Mahindra Bank (KMB IN). The previous selldown by CPPIB held up well.

Sumeet Singh

ECM Weekly (4th June 2023) - JD Ind, Alibaba, Growatt, Olam Agri, Coal India, Adani, Patanjali

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

DBS Group - Dividends To Increase By S$0.24 Per Year

Technology has transformed the way they manage with the use of a hybrid multi-cloud strategy with in-house infrastructure as a service.

RHB Invest

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