Director - Research, Consulting and Advisory, BondAdviser

Nicholas Yaxley

Director - Research, Consulting and Advisory

Australian bonds & fixed income research

BondAdviser

BondAdviser is the central reference point for intelligent information on Australian fixed income markets. We help you make informed decisions by providing unbiased research, transparent pricing data, analytics, portfolio tools and education.

BondAdviser has the broadest coverage of retail-accessible ASX-listed and over-the-counter Australian bonds and fixed income securities. We make it easy for you to review and compare investments before you place an order with your broker or dealer.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Bank hybrids have been issued in the Australian financial landscape for over 20 years in various forms. While drivers of performance have varied over this period, they are typically cyclical and have a recurring impact on security trading margins (albeit at different magnitudes). The focus of the article will be on what is technically known as an Additional Tier 1 capital security (hybrids), and our expectations for market drivers over the next twelve months and how hybrids will be impacted by supply &amp; demand, valuations, diverging monetary, and regulation.Hybrid investors need to be aware of the different drivers of market volatility (fundamental or technical) and appreciate how they may (or may not) influence margin movements.

Bank hybrids have been issued in the Australian financial landscape for over 20 years in various forms. While drivers of performance have varied over this period, they are typically cyclical and have a recurring impact on security trading margins (albeit at different magnitudes). The focus of the article will be on what is technically known as an Additional Tier 1 capital security (hybrids), and our expectations for market drivers over the next twelve months and how hybrids will be impacted by supply &amp; demand, valuations, diverging monetary, and regulation.Hybrid investors need to be aware of the different drivers of market volatility (fundamental or technical) and appreciate how they may (or may not) influence margin movements.

Liquidity and Technical Drivers of Hybrids

Asia's Leading Online Property Group, PropertyGuru

Bjorn Sprengers

Asia's Leading Online Property Group

PropertyGuru

PropertyGuru Pte Ltd owns and operates a real estate property information website. The Company offers facilities to search for condominiums, apartments, Housing and Development Board (HDB) flats, serviced apartments, houses, and commercial properties to rent and buy in Singapore.

In this insight, we run the numbers for the real estate market in Singapore’s city-fringe, and highlight some growth areas to take note of:<ul><li>More affordable than city centre homes and containing a great mix of locations, the RCR is popular with many home buyers and tenants.  </li><li>Transaction volumes are starting to pick up in the city fringe, even as prices continue to slide, suggesting that prices will likely bottom out soon.  </li><li>Rental volumes have continued climbing, even as competition and a weaker market have taken a toll on rental prices.  </li><li>Key growth areas in the RCR include Geylang, Little India and Paya Lebar</li></ul>

In this insight, we run the numbers for the real estate market in Singapore’s city-fringe, and highlight some growth areas to take note of:More affordable than city centre homes and containing a great mix of locations, the RCR is popular with many home buyers and tenants.  Transaction volumes are starting to pick up in the city fringe, even as prices continue to slide, suggesting that prices will likely bottom out soon.  Rental volumes have continued climbing, even as competition and a weaker market have taken a toll on rental prices.  Key growth areas in the RCR include Geylang, Little India and Paya Lebar

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

It continues to boggle the mind how high the level of bad loans at DBS HK is compared with all local banks and even with foreign banks like STAN HK. We look more closely at these two in tandem, where interesting differences emerge. The conclusion only supports our concerns about the underlying risk of DBS compared with the common perception.The NPL ratio of DBS Bank HK stands out in every context – in absolute terms and relative to peer banks. As at 1H16 it was 2.75%. There is limited 1H16 data…

It continues to boggle the mind how high the level of bad loans at DBS HK is compared with all local banks and even with foreign banks like STAN HK. We look more closely at these two in tandem, where interesting differences emerge. The conclusion only supports our concerns about the underlying risk of DBS compared with the common perception.The NPL ratio of DBS Bank HK stands out in every context – in absolute terms and relative to peer banks. As at 1H16 it was 2.75%. There is limited 1H16 data…

DBS HK Vs STAN HK: Major Risk Differences

There is plenty of corporate risk out there. We have seen this across several large economies in the way of meaningful corporate stress. In South Korea, the Hanjin Shipping bankruptcy has negative implications not only for Korean banks, but certainly other banks lending into this space. This will not be an isolated shipping stress; there will be more.  In China, Bohai Steel is in trouble, which reportedly has US$28.9 billion in overdue loans. The steel sector has hit several banks in Thailand…

There is plenty of corporate risk out there. We have seen this across several large economies in the way of meaningful corporate stress. In South Korea, the Hanjin Shipping bankruptcy has negative implications not only for Korean banks, but certainly other banks lending into this space. This will not be an isolated shipping stress; there will be more.  In China, Bohai Steel is in trouble, which reportedly has US$28.9 billion in overdue loans. The steel sector has hit several banks in Thailand…

Consumer Banks in Asia May Fare Better at a Time when Large Corporate Stresses Are Evident

APAC Investment Strategy, Animal Spirits Report, Quiddity Advisors

Paul M. Kitney, PhD

APAC Investment Strategy, Animal Spirits Report

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<h2>Executive Summary</h2><ul>
<li>This week, the Fed has behaved consistently with our macro roadmap by not raising rates yet but running the US economy "hot". Two implications: 1. Bullish for Emerging Markets. Our top pick is China; 2. JPY should remain flat to strong near term holding back an earnings recovery. We are constructive but near term: "Neutral" in DM and "Underweight" in APAC.</li>
<li>Our BOJ call (see below) was correct. Three implications: 1. Targeting of the yield curve is positive for financials. We like…</li>
</ul>

Executive Summary
This week, the Fed has behaved consistently with our macro roadmap by not raising rates yet but running the US economy "hot". Two implications: 1. Bullish for Emerging Markets. Our top pick is China; 2. JPY should remain flat to strong near term holding back an earnings recovery. We are constructive but near term: "Neutral" in DM and "Underweight" in APAC.
Our BOJ call (see below) was correct. Three implications: 1. Targeting of the yield curve is positive for financials. We like…


ANIMAL SPIRITS™ UPDATE: Japan Equity Market Outlook - BOJ, Fed & The Value Trap

Singapore

DBS Group Holdings Limited and its subsidiaries provide a variety of financial services.  The Company offers services including mortgage financing, lease and hire purchase financing, nominee and trustee, funds management, corporate advisory and brokerage .  DBS Group also acts as the primary dealer in Singapore government securities.

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DBS (DBS SP)

Liquidity and Technical Drivers of Hybrids

Bank hybrids have been issued in the Australian financial landscape for over 20 years in various forms. While drivers of performance have varied...

BondAdviser

Singapore Property: City-Fringe Living

In this insight, we run the numbers for the real estate market in Singapore’s city-fringe, and highlight some growth areas to take note of: More...

PropertyGuru

DBS HK Vs STAN HK: Major Risk Differences

It continues to boggle the mind how high the level of bad loans at DBS HK is compared with all local banks and even with foreign banks like STAN...

Daniel Tabbush

Consumer Banks in Asia May Fare Better at a Time when Large Corporate Stresses Are Evident

There is plenty of corporate risk out there. We have seen this across several large economies in the way of meaningful corporate stress. In South...

Daniel Tabbush

ANIMAL SPIRITS™ UPDATE: Japan Equity Market Outlook - BOJ, Fed & The Value Trap

Executive Summary This week, the Fed has behaved consistently with our macro roadmap by not raising rates yet but running the US economy "hot". Two...

Paul M. Kitney, PhD

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