IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Tata Technologies / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23700:1" rel="noopener">Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN)</a>, the largest India-based ER&amp;D service provider, seeks to raise US$350-375 million, which is lower than its previous target of US$600 million.</li>
<li>Tata Technologies is seeking a valuation of US$2.5 billion, which is 27.5% higher than the valuation <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tpg-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35361:1" rel="noopener">TPG Inc (TPG US)</a> acquired a 9.0% stake on 25 October.</li>
<li>The investment case rests on top-tier growth rates, strong core business, lower reliance on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinfast-auto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36550:1" rel="noopener">Vinfast (VFS US)</a>, high repeat rates, top-tier profitability, solid FCF profile and no debt. </li>
</ul>



Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN), the largest India-based ER&amp;D service provider, seeks to raise US$350-375 million, which is lower than its previous target of US$600 million.
Tata Technologies is seeking a valuation of US$2.5 billion, which is 27.5% higher than the valuation TPG Inc (TPG US) acquired a 9.0% stake on 25 October.
The investment case rests on top-tier growth rates, strong core business, lower reliance on Vinfast (VFS US), high repeat rates, top-tier profitability, solid FCF profile and no debt. 


Tata Technologies IPO: The Investment Case

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 13 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 14 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Some stocks are expected to be inclusions to global indices later this month while others are potential <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> and/or <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a> changes in March.</li>
<li>On average, the upward migrating stocks have outperformed the downward migrating stocks by close to 100% over the last 8 months. The passive flow can be used as an exit.</li>
</ul>


We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 13 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 14 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
Some stocks are expected to be inclusions to global indices later this month while others are potential NIFTY Index and/or Nifty Next 50 Index changes in March.
On average, the upward migrating stocks have outperformed the downward migrating stocks by close to 100% over the last 8 months. The passive flow can be used as an exit.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): HUGE Outperformance as Active and Passive Meet

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Hindustan Unilever: HUL’s revenue growth of 3.5% YoY was slow but in line with expectations</li><li>Volume growth was at 2% (HSIE 3%) and sustained a four-year CAGR at &lt;3%</li><li>Rural recovery has been slow despite price cuts and overall softening in the inflation</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Hindustan Unilever: HUL’s revenue growth of 3.5% YoY was slow but in line with expectationsVolume growth was at 2% (HSIE 3%) and sustained a four-year CAGR at &lt;3%Rural recovery has been slow despite price cuts and overall softening in the inflationContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Hindustan Unilever, ITC, UltraTech Cement

<ul><li>The big news is that not much has changed in the past few months</li><li>Most of the demand indicators are trailing 10-15% below levels at the beginning of the year and only slightly better than the July lows, the supply-side factors remain favourable, supporting operational resilience despite soft growth</li><li>In Q2FY24, the IT sector is expected to deliver a soft quarter, although Q2 has historically been a seasonally strong quarter.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The big news is that not much has changed in the past few monthsMost of the demand indicators are trailing 10-15% below levels at the beginning of the year and only slightly better than the July lows, the supply-side factors remain favourable, supporting operational resilience despite soft growthIn Q2FY24, the IT sector is expected to deliver a soft quarter, although Q2 has historically been a seasonally strong quarter.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Accenture reported strong Q4FY23 results, below street expectations on all financial and operational terms. Revenue for the quarter stood at $15.98 Bn, registering a growth of 3.6% YoY.</li><li>It registered GAAP EPS of $2.15 for the quarter while adjusted EPS stood at $2.71 reporting 9% YoY growth.</li><li>The company bagged new bookings at the $16.6 Bn, up 1% YoY. Managed Services book/bill was at 1.05x. Q4FY23 bookings are lower than the typical seasonal strength in Q4. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Accenture reported strong Q4FY23 results, below street expectations on all financial and operational terms. Revenue for the quarter stood at $15.98 Bn, registering a growth of 3.6% YoY.It registered GAAP EPS of $2.15 for the quarter while adjusted EPS stood at $2.71 reporting 9% YoY growth.The company bagged new bookings at the $16.6 Bn, up 1% YoY. Managed Services book/bill was at 1.05x. Q4FY23 bookings are lower than the typical seasonal strength in Q4. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Accenture - Skeptical Outlook For FY24; FY 25 May See a Strong Recovery

India

Intellect Design Arena Ltd is a financial technology firm. The Company caters to banks, insurance companies and other financial service firms.

Zensar Technologies Ltd. develops software and it also provides IT consulting and related services. The Company has expertise in key verticals of retail, manufacturing, logistics, financial services, telecom and utilities. Zensar offers end-to-end solutions across diverse technology platforms &industry domains through a Global Delivery Model, which delivers 24 X 7 services.

Newgen Software Technologies Limited provides IT services. The Company offers software development, document management system, workflow and process automation, business process, enterprise content, and customer communication management services. Newgen Software Technologies serves customers worldwide.

Tanla Platforms Limited develops and markets computer software.  The Company develops software for wireless communications.

AurionPro Solutions Limited provides software solutions and offshore information technology outsourcing services to banking, financial services, and technology companies.

Nucleus Software Exports Limited specializes in the development and production of software systems, in addition to the supply of various support and technical advisory services. The majority of the Group's products and services are centered towards the banking and financial services sectors.

Sasken Communication Technologies Ltd. is an embedded telecom solutions company that helps businesses across the telecom value chain accelerate product development life cycles. The Company works with terminal device manufacturers, network equipment manufacturers, semiconductor vendors and network operators on new product development and manufacturing.

ASM Technologies Ltd. offers computer software services.  The Company offers consulting, information technology and software testing services; develops enterprise, Internet and embedded systems applications; and offers networking and telecommunications services.

Subex Limited develops software products and provides software consulting services. The Company's products primarily focus on providing software solutions for clients in the telecommunications sector.

Financial Technologies (India) Ltd. offers financial services.  The Company creates financial markets for commodities, equities, currencies and bonds in emerging markets in Asia, Africa and the Middle East.

Kingdee International Software Group Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops and sells enterprise management software, e-commerce application software and middleware software.  The Company also provides internet-based services and setting up e-commerce platforms for enterprises. In addition, Kingdee provides solution consulting and technical support services.

Beijing Venustech Inc. provides a variety of information security products, information security services and information security solutions.  The Company's products and services are intrusion detection systems, intrusion prevention systems, firewalls, real-time monitoring and security management certification training services.

Jiangsu Hoperun Software Company Limited provides software outsourcing services for professional fields. The Company's main products include supply chain management software, intelligent terminal embedded software, and smart grid IT software outsourcing services.

Sapiens International Corporation N.V. is a global provider of information technology (IT) solutions. The Company's solutions modernize business processes and enable insurance organizations and other companies to adapt quickly to change. Sapiens modular solutions align IT with the business demands for speed, flexibility, and efficiency.

NCSOFT Corporation develops and markets on-line games that enable users to play over the Internet and computer software, such as web editing software.  The Company also designs and constructs databases, Intranet, and commercial Internet access systems.

Beijing E-Hualu Information Technology Co., Ltd operates big data information management system. The Company develops smart transportation system, information public safety system, health care system, and more. Beijing E-Hualu Information Technology offers services worldwide.

Beijing E-Hualu Information Technology (300212 CH)

Aisino Co., Ltd. manufactures electronic and telecommunication equipment, as well as provides system integration and other related services. The Company's products include anti-fraud tax control systems and IC cards.

RingCentral, Inc. is a provider of software-as-a-service, or SaaS, solutions for business communications. The Company offers a multi-user, enterprise-grade communications solution that enables customers and their employees to communicate via voice, text, HD video and web conferencing and fax, on multiple devices, including smartphones, tablets, PCs and desk phones.

Beijing Shiji Information Technology Co.,Ltd. develops and sells management information system software for the Hotel industry. The Company also provides IT system integration and IT technology support services.

Beijing Shiji Information Technology Co., Ltd. (002153 CH)

Beijing Shiji Information Technology Co., Ltd.

Newland Digital Technology Co.,Ltd. manufactures electronic transaction equipment. The Company produces point of sale terminals and other products. Newland Digital Technology also operates software development, real estate development, and other businesses.

Fujian Newland Computer Co, Ltd. (000997 CH)

Cyient Limited provides engineering services, data analytics, and data, networks and operations solutions. The Company offers its services to the aerospace and defense, energy, heavy machinery, consumer, medical utility, communications, semiconductor, and transportation industries around the world.

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Cyient Ltd (CYL IN)

Tata Technologies IPO: The Investment Case

The investment case rests on top-tier growth rates, strong core business, lower reliance on VinFast, high repeat rates, top-tier profitability,...

Arun George

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): HUGE Outperformance as Active and Passive Meet

We see 43 stocks migrating between different market cap segments in Jan. A lot of stocks will have passive flows from NIFTY, NIFTYJR and global...

Brian Freitas

HSIE Results Daily: Hindustan Unilever, ITC, UltraTech Cement

Hindustan Unilever: HUL’s revenue growth of 3.5% YoY was slow but in line with expectations. Volume growth was at 2% (HSIE 3%) and sustained a four...

HDFC Securities

IT Sector - Soft Q2, Status Quo Remains

Most of the demand indicators are trailing 10-15% below levels at the beginning of the year and only slightly better than the July lows

HDFC Securities

Accenture - Skeptical Outlook For FY24; FY 25 May See a Strong Recovery

Accenture reported strong Q4FY23 results, below street expectations on all financial and operational terms. Revenue for the quarter stood at $15.98...

Axis Direct

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