Economist

Richard Iley

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

One key lead indicator of future shale oil supply that should be on all investors' radar is the US's Energy Information  Administration (EIA)'s estimate of so-called 'drilled but uncompleted wells' a.k.a DUCs.<a href="https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=27932" target="_blank">The EIA started publishing the DUC data last September as part of its monthly Drilling Productivity Report (DRP)</a>. Data on DUC starts in late 2013. DUCs are wells that have been drilled by producers, but have not yet been made ready for production. The number of DUCs necessarily has…

One key lead indicator of future shale oil supply that should be on all investors' radar is the US's Energy Information  Administration (EIA)'s estimate of so-called 'drilled but uncompleted wells' a.k.a DUCs.The EIA started publishing the DUC data last September as part of its monthly Drilling Productivity Report (DRP). Data on DUC starts in late 2013. DUCs are wells that have been drilled by producers, but have not yet been made ready for production. The number of DUCs necessarily has…

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

CNOOC has been drifting lower while forming a descending formation that once mature is constructive for an intermediate rise. Near term weakness is outlined in the chart below as is the buy level for CNOOC. The macro bias will need more time to mature for a basing process in Q3. A tactical rise and back fill is the most probable scenario for CNOOC before a stronger rise in late 2017. This sequence is outlined below.Looking at WTI we see nice RSI support that we are working toward and a downside…

CNOOC has been drifting lower while forming a descending formation that once mature is constructive for an intermediate rise. Near term weakness is outlined in the chart below as is the buy level for CNOOC. The macro bias will need more time to mature for a basing process in Q3. A tactical rise and back fill is the most probable scenario for CNOOC before a stronger rise in late 2017. This sequence is outlined below.Looking at WTI we see nice RSI support that we are working toward and a downside…

Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

REAL-Economics.com

-The first consequences of Trump's trumpeting of his Alliance of the Sunnis have unfolded this week: the attempt by Saudi Arabia to blockade Qatar (which hosts the largest US military base in the region), and ISIS' attack on the Iranian parliament (and mausoleum of Ayatollah Khomeini). Although Qatar also subscribes to Wahhabi ideology, the Qataris irks the Saudis by allowing churches to be built and giving their Shias some freedom (and hence keeping communication lines open to Tehran), apart…

-The first consequences of Trump's trumpeting of his Alliance of the Sunnis have unfolded this week: the attempt by Saudi Arabia to blockade Qatar (which hosts the largest US military base in the region), and ISIS' attack on the Iranian parliament (and mausoleum of Ayatollah Khomeini). Although Qatar also subscribes to Wahhabi ideology, the Qataris irks the Saudis by allowing churches to be built and giving their Shias some freedom (and hence keeping communication lines open to Tehran), apart…

Trump's Alliance of the Sunnis: Anti-Iran or Anti-ISIS?

Macro & Asian equity Technical Strategies, BBSP Asia

Federico D'Inca

Macro & Asian equity Technical Strategies

BBSP Asia

<h2>USDCAD: Bearish below 1.3840 
</h2>Daily Key Elements The market is right below our long-term resistance 1.3840 found in multiple fractals. We expect a bearish reversal. Bearish below 1.3840 for a drop to 1.3570/1.3500 in the first instance then 1.3290.<h2>Light Crude Oil (NYMEX): Bullish above 44.00 
</h2>Daily Key Elements Market right above our 44.00 long-term support, will all key indicators advocating for a bullish reversal. Bullish above 44.00, target minimum 50.50 before 55.00 even 58.00....Conviction is ***…

USDCAD: Bearish below 1.3840  
Daily Key Elements The market is right below our long-term resistance 1.3840 found in multiple fractals. We expect a bearish reversal. Bearish below 1.3840 for a drop to 1.3570/1.3500 in the first instance then 1.3290.Light Crude Oil (NYMEX): Bullish above 44.00  
Daily Key Elements Market right above our 44.00 long-term support, will all key indicators advocating for a bullish reversal. Bullish above 44.00, target minimum 50.50 before 55.00 even 58.00....Conviction is ***…

Strong View Conviction for WTI Bullish and UsdCad Bearish

Energy Expert

Thierry Bros, PhD

Thierrybros.com

<div>At a time of low oil&amp;gas prices and with companies having cut CAPEX, it is important to check the disclosed proven reserves at the end of 2016 under US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) rules. With Brent having witnessed a further decrease from 52.3/b in 2015 to 43.7$/b it is more challenging for companies to book reserves.</div><ul><li>The worldwide Hydrocarbon Reserve/Production ratio (R/P) has been calculated using worldwide 2015 data as stated in the BP Statistical Review (2016 data will only be…</li></ul>

At a time of low oil&amp;gas prices and with companies having cut CAPEX, it is important to check the disclosed proven reserves at the end of 2016 under US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) rules. With Brent having witnessed a further decrease from 52.3/b in 2015 to 43.7$/b it is more challenging for companies to book reserves.The worldwide Hydrocarbon Reserve/Production ratio (R/P) has been calculated using worldwide 2015 data as stated in the BP Statistical Review (2016 data will only be…

2016 Oil&Gas Reserves: PetroChina Overtakes ExxonMobil for #3

United States

Crude oil is a naturally occurring, unrefined petroleum product composed of hydrocarbon deposits and other organic materials. Crude oil can be refined to produce usable products such as gasoline, diesel and various forms of petrochemicals. It is a nonrenewable resource, also known as a fossil fuel, which means that it can't be replaced naturally at the rate we consume it and is therefore a limited resource.

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Crude Oil (CL1 COM COMDTY)

Oil: DUC, You Sucker!

One key lead indicator of future shale oil supply that should be on all investors' radar is the US's Energy Information Administration (EIA)'s...

Richard Iley

CNOOC Buy Level Aligns with WTI Low

CNOOC has been drifting lower while forming a descending formation that once mature is constructive for an intermediate rise. Near term weakness is...

Thomas Schroeder

Trump's Alliance of the Sunnis: Anti-Iran or Anti-ISIS?

-The first consequences of Trump's trumpeting of his Alliance of the Sunnis have unfolded this week: the attempt by Saudi Arabia to blockade Qatar...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Strong View Conviction for WTI Bullish and UsdCad Bearish

USDCAD: Bearish below 1.3840 Daily Key ElementsThe market is right below our long-term resistance 1.3840 found in multiple fractals. We expect a...

BBSP Asia

2016 Oil&Gas Reserves: PetroChina Overtakes ExxonMobil for #3

At a time of low oil&gas prices and with companies having cut CAPEX, it is important to check the disclosed proven reserves at the end of 2016...

Thierry Bros, PhD

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