IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akm-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7206:1" rel="noopener">AKM Industrial (1639 HK)</a> scheme document is out with the court and EGM meeting on 22 June. The IFA considers the offer to be fair and reasonable. </li>
<li>The key condition is the scheme approval by at least 75% and rejection by &lt;10% of disinterested shareholders. Shareholders who hold blocking stakes have provided irrevocables.</li>
<li>At last close and for a 4 August payment, the gross and annualised spread to the offer is 1.1% and 6.2%, respectively. This is a done deal.</li>
</ul>


The AKM Industrial (1639 HK) scheme document is out with the court and EGM meeting on 22 June. The IFA considers the offer to be fair and reasonable. 
The key condition is the scheme approval by at least 75% and rejection by &lt;10% of disinterested shareholders. Shareholders who hold blocking stakes have provided irrevocables.
At last close and for a 4 August payment, the gross and annualised spread to the offer is 1.1% and 6.2%, respectively. This is a done deal.


AKM’s Scheme Document, Court Meeting on 22 June, IFA Opinion

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

China Huarong Asset Management / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see seven new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in June. One is already a part of Connect while five will be added to Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
<li>We see 19 potential changes to the HSCI in September. Seven of the deletions are on market cap, four on liquidity, and eight due to prolonged trading suspension.</li>
<li>Some of the potential deletions have large Southbound holdings and some of these could be trimmed over the next couple of months.</li>
</ul>


We see seven new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in June. One is already a part of Connect while five will be added to Southbound Stock Connect.
We see 19 potential changes to the HSCI in September. Seven of the deletions are on market cap, four on liquidity, and eight due to prolonged trading suspension.
Some of the potential deletions have large Southbound holdings and some of these could be trimmed over the next couple of months.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in June and September

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akm-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7206:1" rel="noopener">AKM Industrial (1639 HK)</a>’s privatisation offer from Alpha Luck and AKM Meadville of HK$1.8345 consists of a base offer (HK$1.82) and a final dividend (HK1.45 cent).</li>
<li>The pre-condition was fulfilled on 22 April. The latest date for the despatch of the scheme document has been extended to 10 June. </li>
<li>Shareholders with blocking stakes have previously provided irrevocables. At last close and for an early-August effective date, the gross and annualised spread to the offer is 3.1% and 10.7%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



AKM Industrial (1639 HK)’s privatisation offer from Alpha Luck and AKM Meadville of HK$1.8345 consists of a base offer (HK$1.82) and a final dividend (HK1.45 cent).
The pre-condition was fulfilled on 22 April. The latest date for the despatch of the scheme document has been extended to 10 June. 
Shareholders with blocking stakes have previously provided irrevocables. At last close and for an early-August effective date, the gross and annualised spread to the offer is 3.1% and 10.7%, respectively.


AKM Industrial’s Offer Risk/Reward – Pre-Condition Satisfied

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akm-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7206:1" rel="noopener">AKM Industrial (1639 HK)</a>’s privatisation offer from Alpha Luck and AKM Meadville of HK$1.8345 consists of a base offer (HK$1.82) and a final dividend (HK1.45 cents). </li>
<li>Approval from the State Administration of Foreign Exchange is the remaining pre-condition. The Court hearing of the petition for the sanction of the scheme is set for 19 July.</li>
<li>At last close and for a July end effective date, the gross and annualised spread to the total offer of HK$1.8345 is 3.6% and 11.2%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



AKM Industrial (1639 HK)’s privatisation offer from Alpha Luck and AKM Meadville of HK$1.8345 consists of a base offer (HK$1.82) and a final dividend (HK1.45 cents). 
Approval from the State Administration of Foreign Exchange is the remaining pre-condition. The Court hearing of the petition for the sanction of the scheme is set for 19 July.
At last close and for a July end effective date, the gross and annualised spread to the total offer of HK$1.8345 is 3.6% and 11.2%, respectively.


AKM Industrial’s Offer Spread Risk/Reward

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Yorkey Optical International Cayman / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yorkey-optical-international-cayman" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12407:1" rel="noopener"><strong>Yorkey Optical International Cayman (2788 HK)</strong></a>'s Scheme Document is now out, with the Court Meeting to be held on the 22 February.</li>
<li>
<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asia-optical-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11214:1" rel="noopener">Asia Optical (3019 TT)</a></strong> is offering HK$0.999/share, a 75.3% premium to the undisturbed close. David Webb has given an irrevocable undertaking to vote his shares in favour of the Scheme </li>
<li>This transaction is all stitched up. The Independent Financial Advisor considers the terms to be fair and reasonable. </li>
</ul>



Yorkey Optical International Cayman (2788 HK)'s Scheme Document is now out, with the Court Meeting to be held on the 22 February.

Asia Optical (3019 TT) is offering HK$0.999/share, a 75.3% premium to the undisturbed close. David Webb has given an irrevocable undertaking to vote his shares in favour of the Scheme 
This transaction is all stitched up. The Independent Financial Advisor considers the terms to be fair and reasonable. 


Yorkey Optical (2788 HK): Court Meeting On 22 Feb. IFA Says Fair

Hong Kong

Cowell e Holdings Inc, is a holding company, which operates electronics and optical components manufacturing entities. The products include camera modules, optical lens and prisms.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Cowell E Holdings (1415 HK)

AKM’s Scheme Document, Court Meeting on 22 June, IFA Opinion

At last close and for a 4 August payment, the gross and annualised spread to the offer is 1.1% and 6.2%, respectively. This is a done deal.

Arun George

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in June and September

We forecast 7 adds to the HSCI in June. For the September rebalance, we forecast 19 adds & 19 deletes (7 on mkt cap, 4 on liquidity, 8 on long...

Brian Freitas

AKM Industrial’s Offer Risk/Reward – Pre-Condition Satisfied

The pre-condition was fulfilled on 22 April. The scheme document will be out by 10 June. For an early-August effective date, the annualised spread...

Arun George

AKM Industrial’s Offer Spread Risk/Reward

Approval from the State Administration of Foreign Exchange is the remaining pre-condition. For a July end effective date, the annualised spread to...

Arun George

Yorkey Optical (2788 HK): Court Meeting On 22 Feb. IFA Says Fair

Trading at a 3.0%/18.3% gross/annualised spread. That looks like the right level. It may narrow a spread following the release of this Scheme Doc....

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)