Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets, SAV Markets

Shyam Devani

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets

Cross Asset Strategy

Is it still the time to be defensive on equities and have a notable allocation in Bonds as was described in the note from 11 May (see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/us-equities-time-to-get-defensive" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:51332" rel="noopener">US Equities: Time to Get Defensive</a>)?Whichever chart we look at across markets - whether in fixed income, commodities, foreign exchange, or equities - the signs are clear…stay long bonds (Treasuries) in this environment for the short term.

Is it still the time to be defensive on equities and have a notable allocation in Bonds as was described in the note from 11 May (see US Equities: Time to Get Defensive)?Whichever chart we look at across markets - whether in fixed income, commodities, foreign exchange, or equities - the signs are clear…stay long bonds (Treasuries) in this environment for the short term.

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

Metals and commodities plays have rallied nicely but show signs of a tactical exhaustive top and somewhat crowded positioning. A shakeout is in store as the USD finds a foot but is already in rally mode to a larger degree in Asia and bottoming in EM.WTI and platinum have broken key wedge supports and copper will pullback to macro trendline support.A risk off cycle combined with a USD bounce would inflect metals.

Metals and commodities plays have rallied nicely but show signs of a tactical exhaustive top and somewhat crowded positioning. A shakeout is in store as the USD finds a foot but is already in rally mode to a larger degree in Asia and bottoming in EM.WTI and platinum have broken key wedge supports and copper will pullback to macro trendline support.A risk off cycle combined with a USD bounce would inflect metals. 

After a period of correction and consolidation over the past few week, it is becoming clearer that a base could be forming on US 30 year yield.Key downside pivots at 2.20% were, and remain, important to watch. So far the supports are holding the market. Focus however is now shifting to the key level above at 2.32%, especially as many industrial metals have rallied.

After a period of correction and consolidation over the past few week, it is becoming clearer that a base could be forming on US 30 year yield.Key downside pivots at 2.20% were, and remain, important to watch. So far the supports are holding the market. Focus however is now shifting to the key level above at 2.32%, especially as many industrial metals have rallied.

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

As long as market dynamics remain largely positive and the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EM (EEM-US) indexes are above their respective intermediate-term support levels we believe a constructive outlook is warranted. To reiterate, support levels to watch include $90 on ACWI-US, $53 on ACWX-US, and $52 on EEM-US. Open the attached file to read our complete International Strategy document, and to find links to detailed comments and recommendations for each of our 12 Sectors.

As long as market dynamics remain largely positive and the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EM (EEM-US) indexes are above their respective intermediate-term support levels we believe a constructive outlook is warranted. To reiterate, support levels to watch include $90 on ACWI-US, $53 on ACWX-US, and $52 on EEM-US. Open the attached file to read our complete International Strategy document, and to find links to detailed comments and recommendations for each of our 12 Sectors.

Global Equity Strategy: Constructive Pullback; Overweight Value

Founder & CEO. Oil markets macro-analysis., Vanda Insights

Vandana Hari

Founder & CEO. Oil markets macro-analysis.

Vanda Insights

Vanda Insights is a Singapore-based boutique provider of intelligence on the global energy markets, launched in September 2016. The venture was born out of a desire to extract the signal from the noise in the complex and often volatile oil markets. Our succinct and clear macro analysis is relied upon by thousands of readers globally, including those doing business directly or indirectly in the physical commodity and derivatives markets; wealth managers; governments, regulatory bodies and think-tanks; as well as trade organizations and educational institutions.

Global Energy Markets

Commodities

Crude continued its breathless rally through the early part of last week, but ended with a sharp pullback on Friday. We inspect the three “Fs” in crude’s spectacular 18% surge through February – fundamentals, financial markets and froth – to gauge of their influence in the coming days and weeks.While the support from fundamentals looks solid, how might it be impacted by the OPEC/non-OPEC alliance's meeting on March 4 to decide on their production policy for April?Plus: Our view on the oil market this year makes us sceptical of the chorus of calls for a "commodities super cycle".

Crude continued its breathless rally through the early part of last week, but ended with a sharp pullback on Friday. We inspect the three “Fs” in crude’s spectacular 18% surge through February – fundamentals, financial markets and froth – to gauge of their influence in the coming days and weeks.While the support from fundamentals looks solid, how might it be impacted by the OPEC/non-OPEC alliance's meeting on March 4 to decide on their production policy for April?Plus: Our view on the oil market this year makes us sceptical of the chorus of calls for a "commodities super cycle". 

Weekly Oil Views: Crude's Incessant Rally Halts Just Before OPEC+ Meet. What Next?

United States

Copper is a chemical element with symbol Cu (from Latin: cuprum) and atomic number 29. It is a soft, malleable and ductile metal with very high thermal and electrical conductivity. A freshly exposed surface of pure copper has a reddish-orange color. It is used as a conductor of heat and electricity, as a building material and as a constituent of various metal alloys, such as Sterling silver used in jewelry, cupronickel used to make marine hardware and coins and constantan used in strain gauges and thermocouples for temperature measurement.

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Bonds: All Charts Lead to Me

As we look across financial markets, there is an increasing degree of conviction that higher [US] bond prices and lower yields are likely to be...

Shyam Devani

Crowded Commodities the Next Domino

Metals and commodities show signs of a tactical exhaustive top and somewhat crowded positioning. A shakeout is in store. A risk off cycle combined...

Thomas Schroeder

Bonds - Clear Levels to Watch

Having tested important pivots around 2.20%, we are now seeing a picture that points to higher yields again. Key levels in both directions are...

Shyam Devani

Global Equity Strategy: Constructive Pullback; Overweight Value

As long as the MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), and EM (EEM-US) indexes are above their respective intermediate-term support levels we...

Vermilion Research

Weekly Oil Views: Crude's Incessant Rally Halts Just Before OPEC+ Meet. What Next?

Crude's breathless rally to fresh pre-Covid highs ended with a sharp pullback on Friday. All eyes will be on the OPEC+ meeting this week -- will...

Vandana Hari

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