Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Copper prices were down slightly, WoW, by 0.3% YoY, as the effect of China's stimulus plan announcements waned, with investors viewing them more skeptically.</li>
<li>With 58% of the metal's demand arising from China, we expect the short-term malaise to be felt unless China makes punchier fiscal stimulus announcements soon. </li>
<li>We believe high-quality equities like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/southern-copper-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16279:1" rel="noopener">Southern Copper (SCCO US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ivanhoe-mines-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25338:1" rel="noopener">Ivanhoe Mines (IVN CN)</a> will continue to be resilient and prefer exposure to copper in those names.</li>
</ul>


Copper prices were down slightly, WoW, by 0.3% YoY, as the effect of China's stimulus plan announcements waned, with investors viewing them more skeptically.
With 58% of the metal's demand arising from China, we expect the short-term malaise to be felt unless China makes punchier fiscal stimulus announcements soon. 
We believe high-quality equities like Southern Copper (SCCO US) and Ivanhoe Mines (IVN CN) will continue to be resilient and prefer exposure to copper in those names.


Copper Tracker Oct 21st, 2024: The China Malaise Sets In

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day, Money of Mine

Money of Mine

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day

An ex-underground miner, an ex-investment banker, and an ex-equity research guy breaking down the mining news of the day. It's a bit of entertainment, information, and occasionally some alpha.

<ul><li>Hugh Mackay provides insights into the future of iron ore, copper, and steel dynamics</li><li>China's recent stimulus announcement and its impact on global commodity markets</li><li>Challenges faced by Chinese authorities in addressing deflation and household sector confidence.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Hugh Mackay provides insights into the future of iron ore, copper, and steel dynamicsChina's recent stimulus announcement and its impact on global commodity marketsChallenges faced by Chinese authorities in addressing deflation and household sector confidence.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

What China’s trajectory mean for commodities (Huw McKay)

<ul>
<li>After selling its coking coal business to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/glencore-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:764:1" rel="noopener">Glencore Plc (GLEN LN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/teck-resources-ltd-36dbdad5-1430-4d7a-8578-31bc50086f72" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33343:1" rel="noopener">Teck Resources (TECK US)</a> has pivoted to copper as its primary growth driver. </li>
<li>The 7.3 bn CAD cash (20% of Mkt cap) received from the sale of the coal business stake is being used for buybacks, debt repayment, and growth opportunities.  </li>
<li>The stock is cheap on an EV-EBITDA basis at 7.5x, but we are not too fond of the business's low ROCE. </li>
</ul>


After selling its coking coal business to Glencore Plc (GLEN LN), Teck Resources (TECK US) has pivoted to copper as its primary growth driver. 
The 7.3 bn CAD cash (20% of Mkt cap) received from the sale of the coal business stake is being used for buybacks, debt repayment, and growth opportunities.  
The stock is cheap on an EV-EBITDA basis at 7.5x, but we are not too fond of the business's low ROCE. 


Teck Resources (TECK US): The New Purish Copper Play In Town

<ul><li>Recent policy changes in China have sparked a surge in commodity prices and stock markets</li><li>China's focus on stimulating the real economy over asset prices sets them apart from Western policies</li><li>Chinese government has implemented measures such as interest rate cuts and lower bank reserve requirements to boost liquidity and investment</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Recent policy changes in China have sparked a surge in commodity prices and stock marketsChina's focus on stimulating the real economy over asset prices sets them apart from Western policiesChinese government has implemented measures such as interest rate cuts and lower bank reserve requirements to boost liquidity and investmentThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Data-Driven Commodity Research, The Commodity Report

The Commodity Report

Data-Driven Commodity Research

A unique newsletter about commodities and macro analysis in a weekly format.

<ul><li>Did China Just Trigger Commodity Markets?</li><li>China’s central bank last week announced a new stimulus package to the economy to curb the growth decline that is still going on.</li><li>Chinese stocks jumped and also “Chinese-linked commodity prices” like soy, copper and steel gained momentum as Governor Pan Gongsheng announced plans to lower borrowing costs and inject more funds into the economy, as well as to ease households' mortgage repayment burden.</li></ul>

Did China Just Trigger Commodity Markets?China’s central bank last week announced a new stimulus package to the economy to curb the growth decline that is still going on.Chinese stocks jumped and also “Chinese-linked commodity prices” like soy, copper and steel gained momentum as Governor Pan Gongsheng announced plans to lower borrowing costs and inject more funds into the economy, as well as to ease households' mortgage repayment burden.

Did China Just Trigger Commodity Markets?

United States

Copper is a chemical element with symbol Cu (from Latin: cuprum) and atomic number 29. It is a soft, malleable and ductile metal with very high thermal and electrical conductivity. A freshly exposed surface of pure copper has a reddish-orange color. It is used as a conductor of heat and electricity, as a building material and as a constituent of various metal alloys, such as Sterling silver used in jewelry, cupronickel used to make marine hardware and coins and constantan used in strain gauges and thermocouples for temperature measurement.

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Copper (COPPER COMDTY)

Copper Tracker Oct 21st, 2024: The China Malaise Sets In

We highlight our top picks in the copper space and news from the copper world as the investing world starts to get skeptical about China's stimulus...

Sameer Taneja

What China’s trajectory mean for commodities (Huw McKay)

Hugh Mackay discusses the impact of commodities on the economy, particularly in relation to China's recent stimulus package and challenges with...

Money of Mine

Teck Resources (TECK US): The New Purish Copper Play In Town

Building on our coverage in copper equities, we initiate on Teck Resources (TECK US). We explore its future growth prospects after selling its coal...

Sameer Taneja

Commodities Rip Higher on China Stimulus

China has implemented major measures to stimulate its struggling economy, which has led to strong performances in the Shanghai and Hong Kong stock...

Money of Mine

Did China Just Trigger Commodity Markets?

Did China Just Trigger Commodity Markets? China’s central bank last week announced a new stimulus package to the economy to curb the growth decline...

The Commodity Report

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