IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/origin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:797:1" rel="noopener">Origin Energy (ORG AU)</a>’s exclusivity agreement with Brookfield/EIG expired on 24 January. Brookfield/EIG is reportedly continuing its due diligence on its A$9.00 per share offer.</li>
<li>Time often kills deals. There is speculation that recent price caps would result in Brookfield/EIG walking away or trying to recut the deal terms. ACCC approval is also an overhang.</li>
<li>Peers' share prices have risen despite the price cap which weakens the case for a recut to the deal terms. Brookfield/EIG clearly want Origin as it twice bid against itself. </li>
</ul>



Origin Energy (ORG AU)’s exclusivity agreement with Brookfield/EIG expired on 24 January. Brookfield/EIG is reportedly continuing its due diligence on its A$9.00 per share offer.
Time often kills deals. There is speculation that recent price caps would result in Brookfield/EIG walking away or trying to recut the deal terms. ACCC approval is also an overhang.
Peers' share prices have risen despite the price cap which weakens the case for a recut to the deal terms. Brookfield/EIG clearly want Origin as it twice bid against itself. 


Origin Energy (ORG AU): Risk/Reward Profile

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>ConocoPhillips’ stock has continued its phenomenal bull run and continues to reach new highs as the company delivered a solid third quarter result surpassing Wall Street expectations in terms of revenues as well as earnings.</li><li>This is especially true for U.S. shale, where the rate of production increase across the board is being constrained by quickly rising costs and an exceedingly constrained supply.</li><li>The company is well-positioned to address these long-term supply challenges thanks to the depth and high quality of its unconventional U.S. inventory and broad global portfolio.</li></ul>

ConocoPhillips’ stock has continued its phenomenal bull run and continues to reach new highs as the company delivered a solid third quarter result surpassing Wall Street expectations in terms of revenues as well as earnings.This is especially true for U.S. shale, where the rate of production increase across the board is being constrained by quickly rising costs and an exceedingly constrained supply.The company is well-positioned to address these long-term supply challenges thanks to the depth and high quality of its unconventional U.S. inventory and broad global portfolio.

ConocoPhillips: Partnership With Qatar Energy & Other Developments

<ul><li>ConocoPhillips has had a dream run with its stock price climbing along with the rising oil prices.</li><li>The company delivered yet another all-around beat and also announced that it has initiated its oil production at the company’s Fiord West Kuparul reservoir in Alaska.</li><li>We provide the stock of ConocoPhillips with a ‘Hold’ rating with a revision in the target price.</li></ul>

ConocoPhillips has had a dream run with its stock price climbing along with the rising oil prices.The company delivered yet another all-around beat and also announced that it has initiated its oil production at the company’s Fiord West Kuparul reservoir in Alaska.We provide the stock of ConocoPhillips with a ‘Hold’ rating with a revision in the target price.

ConocoPhillips: Oil Production In Alaska & Other Drivers

Equity Capital Markets

<ul><li>ConocoPhillips has had a phenomenal run after the rise in crude oil prices and has more than doubled in value over the past couple of quarters.</li><li>Their regular return of funds to shareholders are also an optimum utilization of capital and inspiring shareholder confidence.</li><li>The crude oil outlook for 2022 remains positive and ConocoPhillips is well-positioned to gain momentum in the future.</li></ul>

ConocoPhillips has had a phenomenal run after the rise in crude oil prices and has more than doubled in value over the past couple of quarters.Their regular return of funds to shareholders are also an optimum utilization of capital and inspiring shareholder confidence.The crude oil outlook for 2022 remains positive and ConocoPhillips is well-positioned to gain momentum in the future.

ConocoPhillips.: Increased Drilling Activity

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We see the S&amp;P 500 as trading within a downtrend channel; as long as it remains within this channel, our intermediate to long-term outlook is bearish at the index level.</li>
<li>With that said, the S&amp;P 500 is currently testing support within the downtrend channel, and we are on watch for a potential bear market rally.</li>
<li>We will need to see a bullish reversal of the 1-month downtrend (currently at 4030-4050) to have confidence that a tradeable bounce is underway, with the potential for more.</li>
</ul>


We see the S&amp;P 500 as trading within a downtrend channel; as long as it remains within this channel, our intermediate to long-term outlook is bearish at the index level.
With that said, the S&amp;P 500 is currently testing support within the downtrend channel, and we are on watch for a potential bear market rally.
We will need to see a bullish reversal of the 1-month downtrend (currently at 4030-4050) to have confidence that a tradeable bounce is underway, with the potential for more.


S&P 500 Downtrend Channel Intact & Testing Support; Buy Ideas Within Energy & Biotech

United States

ConocoPhillips explores for, produces, transports and markets crude oil, natural gas, natural gas liquids, liquefied natural gas and bitumen on a worldwide basis.

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Conocophillips (COP US)

Origin Energy (ORG AU): Risk/Reward Profile

The risk-reward profile is favourable as the downside due to a deal break (-11% estimated decline) is lower than the upside (+23%) to the...

Arun George

ConocoPhillips: Partnership With Qatar Energy & Other Developments

ConocoPhillips’ stock has continued its phenomenal bull run and continues to reach new highs as the company delivered a solid third quarter result...

Baptista Research

ConocoPhillips: Oil Production In Alaska & Other Drivers

ConocoPhillips has had a dream run with its stock price climbing along with the rising oil prices. The company delivered yet another all-around...

Baptista Research

ConocoPhillips.: Increased Drilling Activity

ConocoPhillips has had a phenomenal run after the rise in crude oil prices and has more than doubled in value over the past couple of...

Baptista Research

S&P 500 Downtrend Channel Intact & Testing Support; Buy Ideas Within Energy & Biotech

The $SPX is trading within a downtrend channel; as long as it remains within this channel, our intermediate to long-term outlook is bearish at the...

Vermilion Research

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