Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Central banks have set the stage for the next inflationary wave by moving to an easing bias despite higher inflation</li>
<li>The Federal Reserve, the BoJ, the ECB and the SNB all tilt to easing</li>
<li>US deficit spending together with China and Germany exiting an industrial recession bode well for industrial commodities</li>
</ul>


Central banks have set the stage for the next inflationary wave by moving to an easing bias despite higher inflation
The Federal Reserve, the BoJ, the ECB and the SNB all tilt to easing
US deficit spending together with China and Germany exiting an industrial recession bode well for industrial commodities


Global Easing Combined with a Resumption of Industrial Growth Is a Good Set-Up for Commodities

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A shares were down small on the week. Larger caps down more. H-shares down more after a hard Friday.</li>
<li>Net SOUTHBOUND buying was +HK35.8bn after $21.4bn the week before. SOUTHBOUND has net bought every day since the end of Chinese New Year.</li>
<li>The flavour of SOUTHBOUND buying has been high-div SOEs for months and months. That is starting to change slightly. Tencent was the top net buy this week.</li>
</ul>


A shares were down small on the week. Larger caps down more. H-shares down more after a hard Friday.
Net SOUTHBOUND buying was +HK35.8bn after $21.4bn the week before. SOUTHBOUND has net bought every day since the end of Chinese New Year.
The flavour of SOUTHBOUND buying has been high-div SOEs for months and months. That is starting to change slightly. Tencent was the top net buy this week.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 22 Mar 2024); Strong Net Buying on Tencent and ETFs

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 15th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Bank Of China, Tencent, CNOOC, Zto Express, Kuaishou Technology, Anta Sports Products.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 15th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Bank Of China, Tencent, CNOOC, Zto Express, Kuaishou Technology, Anta Sports Products.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Mar 15th): BOC, Tencent, CNOOC, Zto Express, Kuaishou, Anta Sports

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 123.2% as of Mar 15th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.1ppt week-on-week, led by communication services, utilities, energy and offset by consumer staples, real estate, health care.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Air China, QHD Port, Datang Intl, Wuxi Apptec, PetroChina, CGN Power.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 123.2% as of Mar 15th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.1ppt week-on-week, led by communication services, utilities, energy and offset by consumer staples, real estate, health care.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Air China, QHD Port, Datang Intl, Wuxi Apptec, PetroChina, CGN Power.


A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 15th): Air China, QHD Port, Datang Intl, Wuxi Apptec, PetroChina, CGN Power

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 8th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Zijin Mining, Techtronic Ind, CNOOC, Kuaishou, HSBC, Trip.Com.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 8th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Zijin Mining, Techtronic Ind, CNOOC, Kuaishou, HSBC, Trip.Com.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Zijin Mining, Techtronic Ind, CNOOC, Kuaishou, HSBC, Trip.Com

China

China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation produces and trades petroleum and petrochemical products. The Company offers gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, kerosene, ethylene, synthetic fibers, synthetic rubber, synthetic resins, and chemical fertilizers. China Petroleum & Chemical markets its products throughout China.

China Shenhua Energy Company Limited is an integrated coal-based energy company focusing on the coal and power businesses in China. The Company also owns and operates an integrated coal transportation network consisting of dedicated rail lines and port facilities.

PetroChina Company Limited operates as an oil and gas company. The Company offers crude oil and oil products exploration, development, production and marketing. PetroChina also markets petrochemical products and derivative chemicals.

Shaanxi Coal Industry Company Limited produces, sells and transports coal. The Company offers coal used by the power, chemical, and metallurgical industries.

Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited operates coal businesses. The Company produces fine coal, blown coal, power coal, and coal chemical products. Yankuang Energy Group also conducts power generation, railway transport, machinery manufacturing, and heating businesses.

China Coal Energy Company Limited mines and processes coal products. The Company produces thermal coal and coking coal products. China Coal Energy also conducts coal chemicals production, coal mining equipment manufacturing, pit mouth power generation, and coal mine design businesses.

China Merchants Energy Shipping Co., Ltd. mainly engages in the Ocean Shipping of Crude Oil and other energy sources such as Coal and Iron Ore. Through its subsidiary CLNG, the Company also provides the Ocean Shipping service of Liquefied Natural Gas.

Huolinhe Opencut Coal Industry Corporation Limited of Inner Mongolia is mainly involved in the production and selling of coal in China.

Huolinhe Opencut Coal Ind Corp Ltd. (002128 CH)

Shanxi Xishan Coal & Electricity Power Co., Ltd. mines and processes coal. The Company also generates electric power.

Guanghui Energy Co., Ltd. is principally engaged in energy development, automotive services and real estate property leasing. The Company is in the business of coal mining and related coal chemical manufacturing. The Company is also engaged in the processing and distributing of granite materials and trading of general merchandise such as plastic doors and windows.

TOTAL S.A. explores for, produces, refines, transports, and markets oil and natural gas. The Company also operates a chemical division which produces polypropylene, polyethylene, polystyrene, rubber, paint, ink, adhesives, and resins. TOTAL operates gasoline filling stations in Europe, the United States, and Africa.

Phillips 66 is a downstream energy company.  The Company's operations include oil refining, marketing and transportation.  Phillips 66's operations also include chemical manufacturing and power generation.

Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited specializes in the exploration and production of crude oil and gas. The Company has joint ventures in oil fields in Vietnam, Norway, Egypt, Tunisia, Iran and Australia. The Group's other activities include deep sea explorations on the east and west coasts of India, and the exploration of coal bed methane.

Marathon Petroleum Corporation refines, transports, and markets petroleum products. The Company sells its products to resellers and consumers in the mid-west, gulf coast, and southeast United States.

Pioneer Natural Resources Company is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company. The Company engages in onshore oil and gas drilling, exploration and production in the United States.

EOG Resources, Inc. explores for, develops, produces and markets natural gas and crude oil. The Company operates in major producing basins in the United States, Canada, Trinidad, the United Kingdom North Sea, China and, from time to time, select other international areas.

Valero Energy Corporation is an independent petroleum refining and marketing company that owns and operates refineries in the United States, Canada, and Aruba.  The Company produces conventional gasolines, distillates, jet fuel, asphalt, petrochemicals, lubricants, and other refined products as well as diesel fuel, low-sulfur and ultra-low-sulfur diesel fuel, and oxygenates.

Hess Corporation is a global independent energy company engaged in the exploration and production of crude oil and natural gas.

Kinder Morgan, Inc. of Delaware operates as a pipeline transportation and energy storage company. The Company owns and operates pipelines that transport natural gas, gasoline, crude oil, carbon dioxide, and other products, as well as terminals that store petroleum products and chemicals and handle bulk materials like coal and petroleum coke.

Occidental Petroleum Corporation explores for, develops, produces, and markets crude oil and natural gas.  The Company also manufactures and markets a variety of basic chemicals, vinyls and performance chemicals. Occidental also gathers, treats, processes, transports, stores, trades and markets crude oil, natural gas, NGLs, condensate and carbon dioxide (CO2) and generates and markets power.

CNOOC Limited, through its subsidiaries, explores, develops, produces, and sells crude oil and natural gas. The Company focuses in the areas such as Bohai, Western South China Sea, Eastern South China Sea and East China Sea in offshore China. Internationally, the Group has oil and gas assets in Asia, Africa, North America, South America, and Oceania.

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CNOOC Ltd (883 HK)

Global Easing Combined with a Resumption of Industrial Growth Is a Good Set-Up for Commodities

Central banks shifting towards easing despite rising inflation, sets the stage for the next inflationary wave. Commodity Prices and stocks...

Rikki Malik

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 22 Mar 2024); Strong Net Buying on Tencent and ETFs

HUGE inflows into HK stocks by HK SOUTHBOUND Connect led by Tencent and the Tracker Fund. High-div SOEs were the main target before. Still seeing...

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Mar 15th): BOC, Tencent, CNOOC, Zto Express, Kuaishou, Anta Sports

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Bank Of China, Tencent, CNOOC, Zto Express, Kuaishou, Anta...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 15th): Air China, QHD Port, Datang Intl, Wuxi Apptec, PetroChina, CGN Power

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Air China, QHD Port, Datang Intl, Wuxi Apptec, PetroChina,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Zijin Mining, Techtronic Ind, CNOOC, Kuaishou, HSBC, Trip.Com

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 8th and highlight short interest changes in Zijin Mining, Techtronic...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Global Easing Combined with a Resumption of Industrial Growth Is a Good Set-Up for Commodities

​Central banks shifting towards easing despite rising inflation, sets the stage for the next inflationary wave. Commodity Prices and stocks...

Rikki Malik

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 22 Mar 2024); Strong Net Buying on Tencent and ETFs

HUGE inflows into HK stocks by HK SOUTHBOUND Connect led by Tencent and the Tracker Fund. High-div SOEs were the main target before. Still seeing...

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Mar 15th): BOC, Tencent, CNOOC, Zto Express, Kuaishou, Anta Sports

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Bank Of China, Tencent, CNOOC, Zto Express, Kuaishou, Anta...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 15th): Air China, QHD Port, Datang Intl, Wuxi Apptec, PetroChina, CGN Power

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Air China, QHD Port, Datang Intl, Wuxi Apptec, PetroChina,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Zijin Mining, Techtronic Ind, CNOOC, Kuaishou, HSBC, Trip.Com

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 8th and highlight short interest changes in Zijin Mining, Techtronic...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Central banks shifting towards easing despite rising inflation, sets the stage for the next inflationary wave. Commodity Prices and stocks...