Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Marriott International / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>While we are not yet out of the woods, we are seeing several encouraging signals that indicate improving risk appetites.</li>
<li>Additionally, we are starting to see improvement within the Consumer Discretionary (hotels/resorts, casinos, leisure, cruises), Transportation (airlines), and Materials (metals/mining) Sectors -- we highlight several attractive stocks to buy.</li>
<li>The fact that more areas are becoming attractive (and not just Energy and Financials) is a step in the right direction for bulls.</li>
</ul>


While we are not yet out of the woods, we are seeing several encouraging signals that indicate improving risk appetites.
Additionally, we are starting to see improvement within the Consumer Discretionary (hotels/resorts, casinos, leisure, cruises), Transportation (airlines), and Materials (metals/mining) Sectors -- we highlight several attractive stocks to buy.
The fact that more areas are becoming attractive (and not just Energy and Financials) is a step in the right direction for bulls.


Risk Appetites Improving; Buying Cyclicals (Hotels/Resorts/Casinos, Metals/Mining)

As the broad market takes a breather, the weight of the evidence continues to support our belief that we are in the early stages of a broad-based advance. As long as there are no significant negative market developments, a buy-the-dip mentality is warranted. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary, Health Care, and Transportation: Hotels &amp; Resorts, Large/Mid-Cap, Hospitals, and Vehicle Rentals/Leasing.

As the broad market takes a breather, the weight of the evidence continues to support our belief that we are in the early stages of a broad-based advance. As long as there are no significant negative market developments, a buy-the-dip mentality is warranted. In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Discretionary, Health Care, and Transportation: Hotels &amp; Resorts, Large/Mid-Cap, Hospitals, and Vehicle Rentals/Leasing.

We first began highlighting Group CD-20 Hotels &amp; Resorts, Large/Mid-Cap in our 2/20/19 Compass, noting that the Group displayed bottoming price and RS and that it was a timely opportunity to add exposure. The Group has only improved since and, with this sustained price and RS improvement, we have been waiting for an attractive pullback opportunity in order to take advantage of what we believe is just the beginning of a much larger upside move. We believe that attractive pullback opportunity is now. In today’s report we highlight four of our favorite setups within the Group -- add exposure. Stocks highlighted include: Marriott International (MAR), Hilton Worldwide (HLT), Wyndham Hotels &amp; Resorts (WH), and Choice Hotels (CHH).

We first began highlighting Group CD-20 Hotels &amp; Resorts, Large/Mid-Cap in our 2/20/19 Compass, noting that the Group displayed bottoming price and RS and that it was a timely opportunity to add exposure. The Group has only improved since and, with this sustained price and RS improvement, we have been waiting for an attractive pullback opportunity in order to take advantage of what we believe is just the beginning of a much larger upside move. We believe that attractive pullback opportunity is now. In today’s report we highlight four of our favorite setups within the Group -- add exposure. Stocks highlighted include: Marriott International (MAR), Hilton Worldwide (HLT), Wyndham Hotels &amp; Resorts (WH), and Choice Hotels (CHH).

Actionable Pullback Opportunities Within Hotels & Resorts; It’s Time to Check In.

While the S&amp;P 500 has hit marginal new highs, price action of the S&amp;P 500 and the price and RS of several Sectors/subsectors is similar to the periods leading up to the October 2018 and May 2019 breakdowns. We draw several similarities in today’s report, and we continue to believe upside is likely to be muted from here barring additional positive developments.

While the S&amp;P 500 has hit marginal new highs, price action of the S&amp;P 500 and the price and RS of several Sectors/subsectors is similar to the periods leading up to the October 2018 and May 2019 breakdowns. We draw several similarities in today’s report, and we continue to believe upside is likely to be muted from here barring additional positive developments.

U.S. Equities: Mixed Signals Punctuate Muted Outlook

Complete top-down and bottom-up technical analysis of the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector.  Charts highlighted:  AMZN, NFLX, COLM, PVH, UAA, FOSL, GOOS, GIII, TJX, BURL, AEO, ANF, BBY, M, URBN, RL, LUXTY, LE, NKE, WWW, DECK, SHOO, CROX, RCKY, WEYS, MAR, HLT, LQ, ILG, CHH, H, IHG, WYNN, LVS, MLCO, BYD, PNK, YUM, DPZ, TXRH, CAKE, NDLS, and DNKN.

Complete top-down and bottom-up technical analysis of the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector.  Charts highlighted:  AMZN, NFLX, COLM, PVH, UAA, FOSL, GOOS, GIII, TJX, BURL, AEO, ANF, BBY, M, URBN, RL, LUXTY, LE, NKE, WWW, DECK, SHOO, CROX, RCKY, WEYS, MAR, HLT, LQ, ILG, CHH, H, IHG, WYNN, LVS, MLCO, BYD, PNK, YUM, DPZ, TXRH, CAKE, NDLS, and DNKN.

U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector: Complete Technical Analysis

United States

Choice Hotels International, Inc. franchises hotel properties.  The Company franchises hotels throughout the United States, Puerto Rico, and the District of Columbia, as well as other countries.  Choice Hotels' properties operate under the Comfort, Quality, Clarion, Sleep, Rodeway, Econo Lodge, and MainStay brand names.

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Choice Hotels Intl (CHH US)

Risk Appetites Improving; Buying Cyclicals (Hotels/Resorts/Casinos, Metals/Mining)

We are seeing encouraging signals that indicate improving risk appetites, including improvement within the Discretionary, Transports, and Materials...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Taking a Breather

As the broad market takes a breather, the weight of the evidence continues to support our belief that we are in the early stages of a broad-based...

Vermilion Research

Actionable Pullback Opportunities Within Hotels & Resorts; It’s Time to Check In.

We first began highlighting Group CD-20 Hotels & Resorts, Large/Mid-Cap in our 2/20/19 Compass, noting that the Group displayed bottoming price...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equities: Mixed Signals Punctuate Muted Outlook

While the S&P 500 has hit marginal new highs, price action of the S&P 500 and the price and RS of several Sectors/subsectors is similar to...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector: Complete Technical Analysis

Complete top-down and bottom-up technical analysis of the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector. Charts highlighted: AMZN, NFLX, COLM, PVH,...

Vermilion Research

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