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China Treasury (CHINA GOVT)

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bullishMacroeconomics
09 Apr 2020 21:58

Pakistan: Shaken, Not Stirred

We are bullish about Pakistan’s future even though the short-to-medium term economic outlook is clouded by the pandemic. Globally, the coronavirus...

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bearishMacroeconomics
03 Apr 2020 20:19

India & Covid-19 – Modi’s Knee Jerk Reaction Costs the Poor and Businesses

The prospects of an outright recession are very real. Mr Modi’s 21-day lockdown was ill-conceived and has left India’s already enfeebled economy in...

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bullishMacroeconomics
28 Mar 2020 00:16

Costs of and Response to COVID-19

As the epicentre of the coronavirus pandemic shifts from Europe to the US and the number of deaths and infection cases reach new highs, the costs...

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bearishMacroeconomics
25 Mar 2020 16:52

China's Vicious Stagflation Likely to Morph into Recession and Financial Crisis

We estimate an 8% YoY decline in real GDP in 1Q 2020, and -2% YoY in 2Q 2020 (as steel, for instance, first sees excess stockpiles in 1Q and a...

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bearishMacroeconomics
13 Mar 2020 22:13

Virus Fallout - Corporate Asia's Foreign Debt

Panic has replaced complacency as the number of new coronavirus cases outside China soar. If the worst-case scenario of a global profit-led...

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