Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Nearing the end of the review period for the March rebalance, we see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-shenhua-energy-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:382:1" rel="noopener">China Shenhua Energy Co H (1088 HK)</a> replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-feihe-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24413:1" rel="noopener">China Feihe (6186 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI INDEX</a>.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 1.64% resulting in a one-way trade of HK$1.02bn with passives needing to buy 1x ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-shenhua-energy-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:382:1" rel="noopener">China Shenhua Energy</a> and selling 1.7x ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-feihe-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24413:1" rel="noopener">China Feihe</a>.</li>
<li>The change will lead to an increase in the fair value of the HSCEI 2023 dividend futures by over 3 DIPS. Could be more if <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-shenhua-energy-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:382:1" rel="noopener">China Shenhua</a> pays a special.</li>
</ul>


Nearing the end of the review period for the March rebalance, we see China Shenhua Energy Co H (1088 HK) replacing China Feihe (6186 HK) in the HSCEI INDEX.
Estimated one-way turnover is 1.64% resulting in a one-way trade of HK$1.02bn with passives needing to buy 1x ADV on China Shenhua Energy and selling 1.7x ADV on China Feihe.
The change will lead to an increase in the fair value of the HSCEI 2023 dividend futures by over 3 DIPS. Could be more if China Shenhua pays a special.


HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Shenhua Energy (1088) Could Replace China Feihe (6186)

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 2nd.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$3,984.1 million, led by information technology, consumer discretionary, industrials sectors, and offset by utilities, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Wuliangye, CATL, Shenzhen Mindray, Longi Green.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 2nd.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$3,984.1 million, led by information technology, consumer discretionary, industrials sectors, and offset by utilities, energy.
We highlight flows for Wuliangye, CATL, Shenzhen Mindray, Longi Green.


Northbound Flows (Dec 2nd): Wuliangye, CATL, Mindray, Longi Green

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Monthly inflows of $9bn was led by Financials (inflows of $2,658 million), Materials (inflows of $2,286 million), Consumer Discretionary (inflows of $1,779 million). </li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Midea, Zijin Mining, Ping An Insurance, Moutai, Mindray, and outflows from Yangtze Power, Yunnan Energy New Material, Poly Developments, Wingtec, Shenhua.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Monthly inflows of $9bn was led by Financials (inflows of $2,658 million), Materials (inflows of $2,286 million), Consumer Discretionary (inflows of $1,779 million). 
We highlight inflows into Midea, Zijin Mining, Ping An Insurance, Moutai, Mindray, and outflows from Yangtze Power, Yunnan Energy New Material, Poly Developments, Wingtec, Shenhua.


Northbound Flows Monthly: $9bn Inflows in November

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 18th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Tencent (700 HK), HKEx (388 HK), Innovent (1801 HK). </li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 18th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Tencent (700 HK), HKEx (388 HK), Innovent (1801 HK). 


HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, HKEx, Innovent

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.</li>
<li>Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~HK$0.67bn, split (+HK$0.1bn) for Shanghai and (+HK$0.57bn) for Shenzhen.</li>
<li>The largest inflows were in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK)</a>. The largest outflows were in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-ning-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6047:1" rel="noopener">Li Ning (2331 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.
Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~HK$0.67bn, split (+HK$0.1bn) for Shanghai and (+HK$0.57bn) for Shenzhen.
The largest inflows were in Tencent (700 HK) and Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK). The largest outflows were in Meituan (3690 HK) and Li Ning (2331 HK).


Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (25 November 2022)

China

China Shenhua Energy Company Limited is an integrated coal-based energy company focusing on the coal and power businesses in China.  The Company also owns and operates an integrated coal transportation network consisting of dedicated rail lines and port facilities.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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China Shenhua Energy Co H (1088 HK)

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Shenhua Energy (1088) Could Replace China Feihe (6186)

China Shenhua could replace China Feihe in March. Short interest has been dropping on both stocks and passives need to trade 1-2x ADV on the...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows (Dec 2nd): Wuliangye, CATL, Mindray, Longi Green

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Wuliangye, CATL, Mindray, Longi Green.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows Monthly: $9bn Inflows in November

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for November and highlight flows for Midea, Zijin Mining, Ping An Insurance, Moutai, Mindray,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, HKEx, Innovent

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 18th and highlight short interest changes in Tencent, HKEx, Innovent...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (25 November 2022)

Inside is a recap of movements in the Shanghai/Shenzhen-HK Connect. Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~HK$0.67bn, split (+HK$0.1bn)...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HSCEI Index Rebalance Preview: Shenhua Energy (1088) Could Replace China Feihe (6186)

China Shenhua could replace China Feihe in March. Short interest has been dropping on both stocks and passives need to trade 1-2x ADV on the...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows (Dec 2nd): Wuliangye, CATL, Mindray, Longi Green

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Wuliangye, CATL, Mindray, Longi Green.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows Monthly: $9bn Inflows in November

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for November and highlight flows for Midea, Zijin Mining, Ping An Insurance, Moutai, Mindray,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, HKEx, Innovent

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 18th and highlight short interest changes in Tencent, HKEx, Innovent...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (25 November 2022)

Inside is a recap of movements in the Shanghai/Shenzhen-HK Connect. Overall, the net inflow over the past week was ~HK$0.67bn, split (+HK$0.1bn)...

David Blennerhassett

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (25 November 2022)