Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 109.6% as of Feb 17th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.3ppt week on week, led by consumer discretionary, health care, energy and offset by communication services, consumer staples, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Shenhua, PetroChina, GWM, First Tractor.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 109.6% as of Feb 17th.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.3ppt week on week, led by consumer discretionary, health care, energy and offset by communication services, consumer staples, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for China Shenhua, PetroChina, GWM, First Tractor.


A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 17th): China Shenhua, PetroChina, GWM, First Tractor

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 3rd.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$5,078.8 million, led by industrials, financials, information technology sectors, and offset by utilities, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, CMB, Longi Green, Ping An Insurance, Byd, Kweichow Moutai.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 3rd.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$5,078.8 million, led by industrials, financials, information technology sectors, and offset by utilities, real estate.
We highlight flows for CATL, CMB, Longi Green, Ping An Insurance, Byd, Kweichow Moutai.


Northbound Flows (Feb 3rd): CATL, CMB, Longi Green, Ping An Insurance, Byd, Kweichow Moutai

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Active funds head in to 2023 overweight Industrials and Staples versus underweight Financials and Communication Services</li>
<li>Energy stocks are still only owned by 51% of funds yet captured the largest increase in ownership through 2022.  </li>
<li>China Banks are a key underweight.  Only 11% of funds are positioned ahead of the iShares MSCI China ETF benchmark.  Airlines, Casinos/Gaming and Airfreight/Couriers were the winners in 2022.</li>
</ul>


Active funds head in to 2023 overweight Industrials and Staples versus underweight Financials and Communication Services
Energy stocks are still only owned by 51% of funds yet captured the largest increase in ownership through 2022.  
China Banks are a key underweight.  Only 11% of funds are positioned ahead of the iShares MSCI China ETF benchmark.  Airlines, Casinos/Gaming and Airfreight/Couriers were the winners in 2022.


Active China Funds:  Top-Down Positioning Update, 2023

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes and the resultant capping flows for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a> in March 2023.</li>
<li>According to our estimation, there could be one change for the HSCEI in March 2023 and there could be one-way index flows of US$440mn.</li>
<li>The final index changes along with indicative capping and index weights could be published in Mid/Late-February 2023 and implemented in early-March 2023.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes and the resultant capping flows for the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX) in March 2023.
According to our estimation, there could be one change for the HSCEI in March 2023 and there could be one-way index flows of US$440mn.
The final index changes along with indicative capping and index weights could be published in Mid/Late-February 2023 and implemented in early-March 2023.


Quiddity Flow Expectations HSCEI Mar 23: One Change + Caps for Meituan, Alibaba, and Tencent

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 106.3% as of Jan 20th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.6ppt week on week, led by financials, consumer staples, energy and offset by health care.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Haier Smart Home, Weichai Power, Fuyao Glass, China Shenhua, CSSC Offshore, Huaxin Cement, China Oilfield, CICC, China Life.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 106.3% as of Jan 20th.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.6ppt week on week, led by financials, consumer staples, energy and offset by health care.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Haier Smart Home, Weichai Power, Fuyao Glass, China Shenhua, CSSC Offshore, Huaxin Cement, China Oilfield, CICC, China Life.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 20th): Haier Smart Home, Weichai Power, Fuyao Glass, China Shenhua

China

China Shenhua Energy Company Limited is an integrated coal-based energy company focusing on the coal and power businesses in China.  The Company also owns and operates an integrated coal transportation network consisting of dedicated rail lines and port facilities.

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China Shenhua Energy Co H (1088 HK)

A-H Premium Weekly (Feb 17th): China Shenhua, PetroChina, GWM, First Tractor

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for China Shenhua, PetroChina, GWM, First Tractor

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Feb 3rd): CATL, CMB, Longi Green, Ping An Insurance, Byd, Kweichow Moutai

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CATL, CMB, Longi Green, Ping An Insurance, Byd,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Active China Funds: Top-Down Positioning Update, 2023

Our analysis of 119 active China strategies reveals the key sector and industry positions among China equity managers for the upcoming year.

Steven Holden

Quiddity Flow Expectations HSCEI Mar 23: One Change + Caps for Meituan, Alibaba, and Tencent

In terms of days-to-trade, only the Expected ADD China Shenhua Energy Co H (1088 HK) with 1.75 days to buy and Expected DEL China Feihe (6186 HK)...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 20th): Haier Smart Home, Weichai Power, Fuyao Glass, China Shenhua

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Haier Smart Home, Weichai Power, Fuyao Glass, China Shenhua.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)