Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

China Resources Beverage / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We visited convenience stores to look for China Resources Beverage products.</li>
<li>The company is in a price war with Nongfu Spring, for both drinkable water and beverages.</li>
<li>Some CRB products, such as plum syrup, do not have any competitors in physical stores.</li>
</ul>


We visited convenience stores to look for China Resources Beverage products.
The company is in a price war with Nongfu Spring, for both drinkable water and beverages.
Some CRB products, such as plum syrup, do not have any competitors in physical stores.


China Resources Beverage (华润饮料) Pre-IPO: A Visit to Convenience Stores

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see 32 potential and close adds and 44 potential and close deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index in March. Some of the stocks are close on market cap/liquidity.</li>
<li>We expect 29 stocks to be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the rebalance while 31 stocks could be deleted from the trading link and become Sell-only.</li>
<li>There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.</li>
</ul>


We see 32 potential and close adds and 44 potential and close deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index in March. Some of the stocks are close on market cap/liquidity.
We expect 29 stocks to be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the rebalance while 31 stocks could be deleted from the trading link and become Sell-only.
There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in March 2025

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

China Resources Beverage / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Over 92% of CR Beverage’s revenue is from packaged drinking water products, but YoY growth this business is already below industry CAGR, raising concerns about whether future growth will stall.</li>
<li>The revenue scale/profitability of CR Beverage are far inferior to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nongfu-spring-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28955:1" rel="noopener">Nongfu Spring</a>. In terms of cost control, operational efficiency and the strength of supply chain, CR Beverage is lagging behind.</li>
<li>For low-priced packaging water, the nationwide expansion is not a simple task, which will lead to significant cash outflow. Valuation of CR Beverage should be lower than that of peers. </li>
</ul>


Over 92% of CR Beverage’s revenue is from packaged drinking water products, but YoY growth this business is already below industry CAGR, raising concerns about whether future growth will stall.
The revenue scale/profitability of CR Beverage are far inferior to Nongfu Spring. In terms of cost control, operational efficiency and the strength of supply chain, CR Beverage is lagging behind.
For low-priced packaging water, the nationwide expansion is not a simple task, which will lead to significant cash outflow. Valuation of CR Beverage should be lower than that of peers. 


Pre-IPO China Resources Beverage - Here Are the Concerns and the Risks Behind

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beverage" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41984:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beverage</a> is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



China Resources Beverage is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Remains a Minnow in Other Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beverage" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41984:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beverage</a> is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



China Resources Beverage is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
China Resources Beverage manufactures and sells packaged drinking water and RTD soft beverages in China.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO - The Positives - Strong Position in Its Main Market

China

China Resources Beverage (Holdings) Company Limited manufactures and distributes drink products. The Company produces drinking water, lemon tea, chrysanthemum tea, sour plum soups, oolong tea, fruit tea, milk tea, and other products. China Resources Beverage (Holdings) markets its products throughout Hong Kong.

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China Resources Beverage (2460 HK)

China Resources Beverage (华润饮料) Pre-IPO: A Visit to Convenience Stores

We visited convenience stores for China Resources Beverage products (CRB). The company is in a price war with Nongfu Spring. CRB plum syrup, do not...

Ming Lu

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in March 2025

There could be 78 changes for the HSCI in March. That could result in 57 changes to the Southbound Stock Connect list and also have implications...

Brian Freitas

Pre-IPO China Resources Beverage - Here Are the Concerns and the Risks Behind

CR Beverage is growing steadily but the momentum/profitability far inferior to peers. Growth rate of packaged water business is lower than the...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Remains a Minnow in Other Markets

China Resources Beverage is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the...

Sumeet Singh

China Resources Beverage Pre-IPO - The Positives - Strong Position in Its Main Market

China Resources Beverage is looking to raise US$1bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this ntoe, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)