Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

China International Capital Corporation / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND's buy streak was interrupted again this past week, but they still net bought, as did NORTHBOUND. HK stocks continued bouncing VERY hard. Hs outperformed As very strongly.</li>
<li>As had a chance to catch up. Did not. Liquid Hs outperformed their As by 4.8% from 30-April through 10-May. Wide premia narrowed more than narrow premia.</li>
</ul>


The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
SOUTHBOUND's buy streak was interrupted again this past week, but they still net bought, as did NORTHBOUND. HK stocks continued bouncing VERY hard. Hs outperformed As very strongly.
As had a chance to catch up. Did not. Liquid Hs outperformed their As by 4.8% from 30-April through 10-May. Wide premia narrowed more than narrow premia.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 10 May 2024):  Excellent Quiddity Portfolio Gains as Hs Rally Huge Vs As

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Hollysys Automation Technologies / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I have received several questions from readers on Ascendent’s binding proposal for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a> in the context of the current gross spread of 12.1%. </li>
<li>The questions primarily concerned the Capital Forum article, NSR approvals, timelines, auditor resignation and deal break risks. </li>
<li>Most of the questions concerned regulatory approval risk. The delay in closing is mainly procedural (government red tape) rather than an indication that regulators will block the deal. </li>
</ul>


I have received several questions from readers on Ascendent’s binding proposal for Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US) in the context of the current gross spread of 12.1%. 
The questions primarily concerned the Capital Forum article, NSR approvals, timelines, auditor resignation and deal break risks. 
Most of the questions concerned regulatory approval risk. The delay in closing is mainly procedural (government red tape) rather than an indication that regulators will block the deal. 


Hollysys (HOLI US): Further Thoughts on the Widening Spread

<ul>
<li>On 15 April, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a> issued a <a href="https://app.quotemedia.com/data/downloadFiling?webmasterId=101533&amp;ref=318235388&amp;type=PDF&amp;symbol=HOLI&amp;cdn=8f7c9a3e128d3526709fdad9f029dff5&amp;companyName=Hollysys+Automation+Technologies+Ltd.&amp;formType=6-K&amp;dateFiled=2024-04-15" target="_blank" rel="noopener">6-K filing</a> stating that Ascendent remains in the process of obtaining regulatory approvals. </li>
<li>The gross spread has widened to 8% as the closing date has slipped from the end of March guidance, and an updated timeline is lacking. </li>
<li>A delay in securing regulatory approvals is not uncommon. However, regulatory approvals should be forthcoming as the transaction involves Chinese entities (including a SASAC entity) acquiring a Chinese-focused company. </li>
</ul>


On 15 April, Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US) issued a 6-K filing stating that Ascendent remains in the process of obtaining regulatory approvals. 
The gross spread has widened to 8% as the closing date has slipped from the end of March guidance, and an updated timeline is lacking. 
A delay in securing regulatory approvals is not uncommon. However, regulatory approvals should be forthcoming as the transaction involves Chinese entities (including a SASAC entity) acquiring a Chinese-focused company. 


Hollysys (HOLI US): Keep Calm as Closing Date Slips

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Xinjiang Tianshan Cement A / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market capitalization and liquidity from the entire universe of Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges. CSI 500 represents the next largest 500 names.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 and CSI 500 rebalance in June 2024.</li>
<li>There are some changes to the list of expected ADDs/DELs since I published my last insight on this roughly a month ago.</li>
</ul>


CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market capitalization and liquidity from the entire universe of Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges. CSI 500 represents the next largest 500 names.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 and CSI 500 rebalance in June 2024.
There are some changes to the list of expected ADDs/DELs since I published my last insight on this roughly a month ago.


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Jun 24: Exp. One-Way Flow Tops US$3bn Due to Passive AUM Surge

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 123.2% as of Mar 8th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.4ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, industrials, financials and offset by information technology, consumer discretionary, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CNOOC, Air China, China Southern Air, Guangzhou Auto.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 123.2% as of Mar 8th.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.4ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, industrials, financials and offset by information technology, consumer discretionary, energy.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for CNOOC, Air China, China Southern Air, Guangzhou Auto.


A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 8th): CNOOC, Air China, China Southern Air, Guangzhou Auto

China

Ningbo Yunsheng (Group) Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets rare earth permanent magnet, music boxes, and electrical and textile machinery. The Company also operates import and export business.  The Company markets its products worldwide under the Yunsheng brand name.

Nanjing Huadong Electronics Information & Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures fluorescent lamps, crystal resonators, oscilloscope tubes, and energy conservation lights.  The Company also provides power services.

CPT Technology Group Co., Ltd. mainly engaged in new flat panel display and liquid crystal display modules design, manufacturing, sales and after-sales services.

Goldenmax International Technology Limited develops, produces and sells copper-clad laminates products (CCL), which are used for making printed circuit boards. The Company's main products are CCL products which are of FR-4 and CEM-3 standards.

Goldenmax International Technology (002636 CH)

Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd. provides and integrates train-borne electrical systems for the PRC Railway industry.  The Company also develops, manufactures, and sells train power converters, auxiliary power supply equipment and control systems for trains for urban rail systems

Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd. (3898 HK)

Henan Pinggao Electric Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets electrical equipment. The Company produces high pressure plates, high voltage equipment, circuit breakers, switches, insulated switchgears, and other products. Henan Pinggao Electric also operates import and export businesses.

China XD Electric Co., Ltd. designs, produces, sells and tests power transmission, distribution and control equipment. The company's products include high voltage switchgear substation, transformer, inductor, capacitor, instrument transformer, and insulator.

COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation Co., Ltd. offers marine shipping services. The Company provides refined oil transportation, crude oil transportation, and other services. COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation also ships iron ores, dry bulks, coal, and other products.

Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co. Ltd. (H) (1138 HK)

Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation Co. Ltd. (H)

China Eastern Airlines Corporation Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates in the civil aviation industry. It offers passenger, cargo, mail delivery, ground, cargo handling, and other extended transportation services.

Zhejiang Expressway Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, designs, constructs, operates, and manages high grade roads, as well as develops and operates certain ancillary services, such as technical consultation, advertising, automobile servicing, and fuel facilities.

Kyosan Electric Manufacturing Co., Ltd. produces railway signals, road traffic control systems, and semiconductor products.  The Company's products include Automatic Train Control (ATC), signals, traffic information displays, and uninterruptible power supply (UPS).

SurplusGLOBAL, Inc. markets and focuses on secondary semiconductor equipment markets. The Company distributes semiconductor front-end, back-end, display, light-emitting diode (LED), and solar equipment. SurplusGLOBAL serves customers globally.

Sterlite Technologies Limited, created via a spin-off of the telecom business of Sterlite Industries, provides optical fiber, cable and jelly filled telecom cable products.

PowerNet Technologies Corporation manufactures electrical components. The Company produces and sells switching mode power supplies, connectors, asymmetric digital subscriber line and cable modems, earphone jacks, inverters, adapters, and other related products. PowerNet Technologies markets its products in Korea and China.

Yamato Holdings Co., Ltd. mainly provides door-to-door parcel delivery services. The Company has developed a nationwide delivery system specializing in time-specified delivery. Yamato Holdings offers moving services and other comprehensive transportation services including logistics services for both domestic and overseas customers as well as financial and autoworks services.

Seatrium Ltd offers engineering solutions for the offshore, marine, and energy industries. The Company provides rigs and floaters, repairs and upgrades, offshore platforms, and specialized shipbuilding. Seatrium serves customers worldwide.

Malaysia Airports Holdings Berhad is an investment holding company.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides management, maintenance, and operation of designated airports.  Malaysia Airports also operates duty-free and non-duty free stores as well as provides food and beverage outlets at the airports.

Seibu Holdings Inc. offers diversified operation. The Company through its subsidiary companies operates transportation, construction, hotel, leisure facilities, and real estate business. Seibu Holdings provides group enterprises strategy planning, operation management, asset management and supply, and business promotions.

Samsung Engineering Co., Ltd. provides engineering construction and project management services in the domestic and international markets. The Company constructs refinery plants, petrochemical plants, gas plants, hydrocarbon upstream, power plants, metallurgy plant, industrial plants, and water treatment facilities.

Seek Limited operates an Internet website.  The Company offers online employment advertisements and online training in Australia and New Zealand, and offers online employment advertisements in the United Kingdom targeted at Australian and New Zealand job seekers.

China Railway Signal & Communication Corporation Limited manufactures rail transit related systems. The Company researches, develops, designs, manufactures, sells and installs rail transit communication and signal systems. China Railway Signal & Communication also provides consulting, design and supervision work for urban transit projects and mainline railway projects.

China Railway Signal & Communication (3969 HK)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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China Railway Signal & Communication (3969 HK)

A/H Premium Tracker (To 10 May 2024): Excellent Quiddity Portfolio Gains as Hs Rally Huge Vs As

AH Premia narrowed significantly. As an average, they are down near 52wk lows, with most of the move having taken place in the last 3 weeks. Some...

Travis Lundy

Hollysys (HOLI US): Further Thoughts on the Widening Spread

Readers have asked me several questions about the widening spread. This piece outlines my answers to these questions. It remains a case of when,...

Arun George

Hollysys (HOLI US): Keep Calm as Closing Date Slips

The spread has widened to 8% due to regulatory approval concerns. Regulatory approval should be forthcoming as the transaction involves Chinese...

Arun George

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Jun 24: Exp. One-Way Flow Tops US$3bn Due to Passive AUM Surge

Significant amounts of new passive money has flowed into the CSI 300 and CSI 500 index resulting in a sharp increase in our one-way flow...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 8th): CNOOC, Air China, China Southern Air, Guangzhou Auto

Analysis of A-H premium changes on 146 stocks shows average premium of 123.2% on Mar 8th, with a -1.4ppt. We highlight changes for for CNOOC, Air...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

A/H Premium Tracker (To 10 May 2024): Excellent Quiddity Portfolio Gains as Hs Rally Huge Vs As

AH Premia narrowed significantly. As an average, they are down near 52wk lows, with most of the move having taken place in the last 3 weeks. Some...

Travis Lundy

Hollysys (HOLI US): Further Thoughts on the Widening Spread

Readers have asked me several questions about the widening spread. This piece outlines my answers to these questions. It remains a case of when,...

Arun George

Hollysys (HOLI US): Keep Calm as Closing Date Slips

The spread has widened to 8% due to regulatory approval concerns. Regulatory approval should be forthcoming as the transaction involves Chinese...

Arun George

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Jun 24: Exp. One-Way Flow Tops US$3bn Due to Passive AUM Surge

Significant amounts of new passive money has flowed into the CSI 300 and CSI 500 index resulting in a sharp increase in our one-way flow...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 8th): CNOOC, Air China, China Southern Air, Guangzhou Auto

​Analysis of A-H premium changes on 146 stocks shows average premium of 123.2% on Mar 8th, with a -1.4ppt. We highlight changes for for CNOOC, Air...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Jun 24: Exp. One-Way Flow Tops US$3bn Due to Passive AUM Surge

Analysis of A-H premium changes on 146 stocks shows average premium of 123.2% on Mar 8th, with a -1.4ppt. We highlight changes for for CNOOC, Air...