HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

Shanghai Electric Group Company / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-electric-group-company-limited-d542164d-4d5a-4ce0-b33e-5fe6bc34722c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8777:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Electric Group Company (2727 HK)</a> (SEC) has more than doubled since Oct, riding on the Fanuc Robots acquisition and speculation of a backdoor listing of SMEE.</li>
<li>The Fanuc acquisition is very earnings accretive. The SMEE backdoor listing, if happens, will allow SEC to enter the extremely strategic and lucrative EUV lithography machine sector.</li>
<li>SEC's 3Q24 result has some improvements, but with profitability and ROE still low, there will be more newsflow on asset optimisation and restructuring. </li>
</ul>



Shanghai Electric Group Company (2727 HK) (SEC) has more than doubled since Oct, riding on the Fanuc Robots acquisition and speculation of a backdoor listing of SMEE.
The Fanuc acquisition is very earnings accretive. The SMEE backdoor listing, if happens, will allow SEC to enter the extremely strategic and lucrative EUV lithography machine sector.
SEC's 3Q24 result has some improvements, but with profitability and ROE still low, there will be more newsflow on asset optimisation and restructuring. 


Shanghai Electric (2727 HK): What Is Driving It Crazy?

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong Long-Only portfolio launched on October 1st with objective to generate alpha in the Hong Kong market.</li>
<li>Stocks are chosen from single stock insights as well as sector and weekly publications.</li>
<li>Positions will be adjusted once a month and the cash position will vary based on market conditions.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong Long-Only portfolio launched on October 1st with objective to generate alpha in the Hong Kong market.
Stocks are chosen from single stock insights as well as sector and weekly publications.
Positions will be adjusted once a month and the cash position will vary based on market conditions.


Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Shanghai Electric Group Company / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500 names.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in June 2025.</li>
<li>Currently, we see 6 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 index and 50 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 500 index.</li>
</ul>


CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500 names.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in June 2025.
Currently, we see 6 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 index and 50 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 500 index.


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Jun 25: Large Flows; Some Inflow Names Could Outperform Index

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>On average, companies under our coverage are forecast to see a 47.3% YoY growth in net profit in 1Q25. Their results should be a pointer for the outlook in 2025. </li>
<li>Good results are expected at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-electric-group-company-limited-d542164d-4d5a-4ce0-b33e-5fe6bc34722c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8777:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Electric Group (2727 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anhui-conch-cement-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:159:1" rel="noopener">Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-cosco-holdings-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:286:1" rel="noopener">COSCO Shipping Hldgs (1919 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/air-china-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8239:1" rel="noopener">Air China Ltd (753 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-national-building-ma-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:184:1" rel="noopener">CNBM (3323 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-expressway-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2875:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Expressway (548 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trip-com-group-ltd-23a341d0-4f63-4175-a8c5-ee990906cacd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36424:1" rel="noopener">Trip.com Group (9961 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xinhua-winshare-publishing-media-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15072:1" rel="noopener">Xinhua Winshare (811 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cosco-shipping-energy-tran-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:646:1" rel="noopener">Cosco Shipping Energy Transp. (1138 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-longyuan-power-group-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14215:1" rel="noopener">China Longyuan Power (916 HK)</a> will see weaker 1Q25.</li>
</ul>


On average, companies under our coverage are forecast to see a 47.3% YoY growth in net profit in 1Q25. Their results should be a pointer for the outlook in 2025. 
Good results are expected at Shanghai Electric Group (2727 HK), Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK), COSCO Shipping Hldgs (1919 HK), Air China Ltd (753 HK), and CNBM (3323 HK). 

Shenzhen Expressway (548 HK), Trip.com Group (9961 HK), Xinhua Winshare (811 HK), Cosco Shipping Energy Transp. (1138 HK), and China Longyuan Power (916 HK) will see weaker 1Q25.


China & HK Strategy: 1Q25 Preview - The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly

<ul>
<li>CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in June 2025.</li>
<li>Currently, we see 6 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 index and 50 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 500 index.</li>
</ul>


CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in June 2025.
Currently, we see 6 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 index and 50 ADDs/DELs for the CSI 500 index.


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Jun 25: ~US$5.9bn Collective One-Way Flows

China

Shanghai Electric Group Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, sells, and services a wide range of products and services in the power equipment, electromechanical equipment, transportation equipment and environmental system industries.

Shanghai Electric Group Company (2727 HK)

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Shanghai Electric Group Company (2727 HK)

Shanghai Electric (2727 HK): What Is Driving It Crazy?

SEC's stock surges on Fanuc Robots acquisition and potential backdoor listing of SMEE, allowing an entry into EUV lithography machine sector. Low...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO - Introduction

We have launched a Hong Kong portfolio with the aim to outperform HK indexes and generate alpha. Stocks are chosen from those highlighted in our...

David Mudd

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Jun 25: Large Flows; Some Inflow Names Could Outperform Index

We expect US$2.1bn one-way flow for CSI 300 and US$3.5bn one-way flow for CSI 500 index rebalance events in June 2025. Some CSI 500 ADDs could...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

China & HK Strategy: 1Q25 Preview - The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly

Earnings for the companies under our coverage are expected to grow by 47.3% in 1Q25, with Shanghai Electric Group, Anhui Conch, COSCO Shipping...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Jun 25: ~US$5.9bn Collective One-Way Flows

We expect 6 ADDs/DELs for CSI 300 and 50 ADDs/DELs for CSI 500 based on the latest data. There could be US$2.1bn and US$3.8bn one-way flows for CSI...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Shanghai Electric (2727 HK): What Is Driving It Crazy?

SEC's stock surges on Fanuc Robots acquisition and potential backdoor listing of SMEE, allowing an entry into EUV lithography machine sector. Low...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO - Introduction

We have launched a Hong Kong portfolio with the aim to outperform HK indexes and generate alpha. Stocks are chosen from those highlighted in our...

David Mudd

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Jun 25: Large Flows; Some Inflow Names Could Outperform Index

We expect US$2.1bn one-way flow for CSI 300 and US$3.5bn one-way flow for CSI 500 index rebalance events in June 2025. Some CSI 500 ADDs could...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

China & HK Strategy: 1Q25 Preview - The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly

Earnings for the companies under our coverage are expected to grow by 47.3% in 1Q25, with Shanghai Electric Group, Anhui Conch, COSCO Shipping...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Jun 25: ~US$5.9bn Collective One-Way Flows

We expect 6 ADDs/DELs for CSI 300 and 50 ADDs/DELs for CSI 500 based on the latest data. There could be US$2.1bn and US$3.8bn one-way flows for CSI...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Jun 25: Large Flows; Some Inflow Names Could Outperform Index

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Jun 25: ~US$5.9bn Collective One-Way Flows