Fintech & EM-focused Analyst, KT Capital Group

Alec Tseung

Fintech & EM-focused Analyst

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

Equity Bottom-Up

PICC Property & Casualty H / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>China's motor insurance has been showing signs of growth after years of decline due to deregulations and reforms in the sector.</li>
<li>Motor insurance tailwind will benefit large players the most. Bullish on PICC P&amp;C since it's the largest player in motor insurance and to likely benefit the most from the tailwind.</li>
<li>Bearish on CPIC since its P&amp;C business is much smaller than PICC P&amp;C and Ping An P&amp;C, while its L&amp;H growth continues to be under pressure.  </li>
</ul>


China's motor insurance has been showing signs of growth after years of decline due to deregulations and reforms in the sector.
Motor insurance tailwind will benefit large players the most. Bullish on PICC P&amp;C since it's the largest player in motor insurance and to likely benefit the most from the tailwind.
Bearish on CPIC since its P&amp;C business is much smaller than PICC P&amp;C and Ping An P&amp;C, while its L&amp;H growth continues to be under pressure.  


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND inflow continues, albeit smaller. Banks remain a big net buy. SOEs prominent in low overall SOUTHBOUND volume. </li>
<li>Wide spreads (high AH premium) saw H outperform, but narrow spreads saw Hs underperform quite significantly.</li>
</ul>


The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
SOUTHBOUND inflow continues, albeit smaller. Banks remain a big net buy. SOEs prominent in low overall SOUTHBOUND volume. 
Wide spreads (high AH premium) saw H outperform, but narrow spreads saw Hs underperform quite significantly.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 28 Jun 2024):  AH Premia Still Rebounding But Wide Spreads Narrowing

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China listed insurers reported monthly premiums in May, showing resilience of top life peers despite a high base under the pricing interest rate (PIR) cut last year.</li><li>P&amp;C growth marginally improved thanks to a sequential rebound in auto and certain lines’ recovery in non-auto segment.</li><li>Chinese regulator recently guided some insurance companies to lower the upper limit of PIR of increasing sum assured whole life plans (IWLPs) to 2.75% (vs now: 3.0%) with an intention to further reduce the cost of liabilities of the insurance industry. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China listed insurers reported monthly premiums in May, showing resilience of top life peers despite a high base under the pricing interest rate (PIR) cut last year.P&amp;C growth marginally improved thanks to a sequential rebound in auto and certain lines’ recovery in non-auto segment.Chinese regulator recently guided some insurance companies to lower the upper limit of PIR of increasing sum assured whole life plans (IWLPs) to 2.75% (vs now: 3.0%) with an intention to further reduce the cost of liabilities of the insurance industry. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Insurance - 5M24 Monthly: Life Growth Stayed Resilient

<ul><li>Listed insurers reported 4M24 premiums with resilience shown among six life peers, of which the total premiums grew by +0.4% YoY to RMB 854.1bn swinging to a positive reading after three consecutive months in first quarter (Fig.1).</li><li>In Apr, total premiums of six listed life peers rose by +7.9% YoY to RMB 107.2bn (vs +3.0%/+6.6% YoY in Feb/Mar), despite a high base due to the PIR cut in 2Q23.</li><li>For life peers, we see divergence in growth, and regard it as progression in channel and product mix enhancement after the outpaced 1Q24 results. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Listed insurers reported 4M24 premiums with resilience shown among six life peers, of which the total premiums grew by +0.4% YoY to RMB 854.1bn swinging to a positive reading after three consecutive months in first quarter (Fig.1).In Apr, total premiums of six listed life peers rose by +7.9% YoY to RMB 107.2bn (vs +3.0%/+6.6% YoY in Feb/Mar), despite a high base due to the PIR cut in 2Q23.For life peers, we see divergence in growth, and regard it as progression in channel and product mix enhancement after the outpaced 1Q24 results. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Insurance - 4M24 Life Diverged in Face of High Base

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oversea-chinese-banking-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:114:1" rel="noopener">OCBC (OCBC SP)</a> has announced a voluntary unconditional general offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-eastern-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13993:1" rel="noopener">Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP)</a> at S$25.60 per share, a 36.90% premium to the undisturbed price.</li>
<li>OCBC aims to privatise Great Eastern by delisting resolutions or exercising compulsory acquisition rights. The offer has not been declared final.</li>
<li>While the offer is reasonable, it is not a knockout bid which would comfortably allow OCBC to privatise through either option. A bump is highly likely.   </li>
</ul>



OCBC (OCBC SP) has announced a voluntary unconditional general offer for Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP) at S$25.60 per share, a 36.90% premium to the undisturbed price.
OCBC aims to privatise Great Eastern by delisting resolutions or exercising compulsory acquisition rights. The offer has not been declared final.
While the offer is reasonable, it is not a knockout bid which would comfortably allow OCBC to privatise through either option. A bump is highly likely.   


Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP): OCBC’s Offer Needs a Bump to Achieve Privatisation Ambitions

China

China Pacific Insurance (Group) Company, Ltd. is an integrated insurance services provider. The Company offers life and property insurance products through its subsidiaries.

China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co., (601601 CH)

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China Pacific Insurance (Group) Co., (601601 CH)

China Insurance: PICC P&C Vs. CPIC

Bullish on PICC P&C outlook as it's expected to benefit the most from China's motor insurance recovery. Bearish on CPIC's because its P&C is much...

Alec Tseung

A/H Premium Tracker (To 28 Jun 2024): AH Premia Still Rebounding But Wide Spreads Narrowing

AH Premia continue to gently rise, but the very wide spreads are seeing Hs outperform As. This "twist" is still a good strategy in my book. The...

Travis Lundy

China Insurance - 5M24 Monthly: Life Growth Stayed Resilient

China listed insurers reported monthly premiums in May, showing resilience of top life peers despite a high base under the pricing interest rate...

CMB International

China Insurance - 4M24 Life Diverged in Face of High Base

In Apr, total premiums of six listed life peers rose by +7.9% YoY to RMB 107.2bn (vs +3.0%/+6.6% YoY in Feb/Mar), despite a high base due to the...

CMB International

Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP): OCBC’s Offer Needs a Bump to Achieve Privatisation Ambitions

While the offer is reasonable, it is not a knockout bid which would comfortably allow OCBC to privatise Great Eastern. Shares are trading slightly...

Arun George

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