Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>End December was the end of the review cutoff for a lot of indices that will rebalance within the next couple of months.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pexa-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34716:1" rel="noopener">PEXA Group (PXA AU)</a> replaces <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pendal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15795:1" rel="noopener">Pendal Group (PDL AU)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> at the close on 12 January.</li>
<li>There were big outflows from Hong Kong and China focused ETFs led by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


End December was the end of the review cutoff for a lot of indices that will rebalance within the next couple of months.

PEXA Group (PXA AU) replaces Pendal Group (PDL AU) in the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) at the close on 12 January.
There were big outflows from Hong Kong and China focused ETFs led by Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK) and Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK).


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCEI, HSTECH, HSI, HSCI, KS200, KQ150, CSI300, SENSEX, LQ45, PSEi

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-grp-co-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12880:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK)</a> has outperformed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-group-co-of-china" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24682:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (601318 CH)</a> by 38% since our last Insight. With the AH premium near parity, we take profit.</li>
<li>We also reverse the position and go long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-group-co-of-china" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24682:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (601318 CH)</a> and short <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-grp-co-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12880:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK)</a> to play the premium expansion trade.</li>
<li>Northbound holding of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-group-co-of-china" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24682:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (601318 CH)</a> has increased over the last couple of months while Southbound holding of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-grp-co-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12880:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK)</a> has decreased.</li>
</ul>



Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK) has outperformed Ping An Insurance (601318 CH) by 38% since our last Insight. With the AH premium near parity, we take profit.
We also reverse the position and go long Ping An Insurance (601318 CH) and short Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK) to play the premium expansion trade.
Northbound holding of Ping An Insurance (601318 CH) has increased over the last couple of months while Southbound holding of Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK) has decreased.


Ping An A/H Premium: Buy the A's, Sell the H's

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Meituan, HKEX, China Unicom, Shenzhou Intl, Sensetime, and outflows from Xiaomi, HSBC, Anta Sports, China Pacific.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight inflows into Meituan, HKEX, China Unicom, Shenzhou Intl, Sensetime, and outflows from Xiaomi, HSBC, Anta Sports, China Pacific.


Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: 12 Months of Inflows

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Sunshine Insurance Group  Lt / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunshine-insurance-group-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36464:1" rel="noopener">Sunshine Insurance (6963 HK)</a> priced its IPO at HK$5.83 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$6.4 billion (US$824 million). The shares will start trading tomorrow.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sunshine-insurance-group-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:85205" rel="noopener">Sunshine Insurance Group IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sunshine-insurance-group-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:85253" rel="noopener">Sunshine Insurance Group IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sunshine-insurance-group-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:85356" rel="noopener">Sunshine Insurance Group IPO: Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>Peers have modestly re-rated and the IPO price continues to imply a premium to the median peer CY2022 P/EV and P/B multiples. Therefore, the IPO price remains unattractive.</li>
</ul>



Sunshine Insurance (6963 HK) priced its IPO at HK$5.83 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$6.4 billion (US$824 million). The shares will start trading tomorrow.
We previously discussed the IPO in Sunshine Insurance Group IPO: The Bull Case, Sunshine Insurance Group IPO: The Bear Case and Sunshine Insurance Group IPO: Valuation Insights. 
Peers have modestly re-rated and the IPO price continues to imply a premium to the median peer CY2022 P/EV and P/B multiples. Therefore, the IPO price remains unattractive.


Sunshine Insurance Group IPO: Trading Debut

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>Sunshine Insurance Group (SIG), a life, health and P&amp;C insurance company, raised around US$850m in its HK IPO.</li>
<li>SIG is an integrated insurance provider which offers both life and health (L&amp;H) and property and casualty (P&amp;C) insurance in China.</li>
<li>We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>


Sunshine Insurance Group (SIG), a life, health and P&amp;C insurance company, raised around US$850m in its HK IPO.
SIG is an integrated insurance provider which offers both life and health (L&amp;H) and property and casualty (P&amp;C) insurance in China.
We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.


Sunshine Insurance Group IPO Trading - No Demand - Still Needs to Correct by 50%

China

China Life Insurance Company Ltd. offers a wide range of life, accident, and health insurance products and services.

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China Life Insurance Co H (2628 HK)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCEI, HSTECH, HSI, HSCI, KS200, KQ150, CSI300, SENSEX, LQ45, PSEi

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Ping An A/H Premium: Buy the A's, Sell the H's

The A/H premium on Ping An has dropped from 24% to parity over the last 2 months. We expect the A's to trade at a premium to the H's as...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: 12 Months of Inflows

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for December and highlight flows for Meituan, HKEX, China Unicom, Shenzhou Intl, Sensetime, Xiaomi, HSBC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Sunshine Insurance Group IPO: Trading Debut

Peers have modestly re-rated and the IPO price continues to imply a premium to the median peer CY2022 P/EV and P/B multiples. Therefore, the IPO...

Arun George

Sunshine Insurance Group IPO Trading - No Demand - Still Needs to Correct by 50%

Sunshine Insurance Group (SIG), a life, health and P&C insurance company, raised around US$850m in its HK IPO. In this note, we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

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52-week Range

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