Founder of Antler Capital

Stanley Tsai, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

China Life Insurance Co H / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The Chinese insurance sector has mounted a strong turnaround on hopes that it will be an early beneficiary of the pivot towards reopening. China Life-H has led the rally.</li>
<li>We have seen some resistance at HKD15/share, but there is still potential for a 30% gain in a blue-sky scenario. We also expect its A/H premium to narrow further.</li>
<li>That said, we believe HKD19/share is as far as the stock will go this year, as credit risks in the insurer's investment portfolio are back in the spotlight. </li>
</ul>


The Chinese insurance sector has mounted a strong turnaround on hopes that it will be an early beneficiary of the pivot towards reopening. China Life-H has led the rally.
We have seen some resistance at HKD15/share, but there is still potential for a 30% gain in a blue-sky scenario. We also expect its A/H premium to narrow further.
That said, we believe HKD19/share is as far as the stock will go this year, as credit risks in the insurer's investment portfolio are back in the spotlight. 


China Life (2628 HK): Rally to Top Out at HKD19/Share as Credit Risks Loom Large

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 6th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Tencent, Baba, Cm Bank, Bidu, Meituan, HSBC, Differ Gp Auto, Li Auto-W.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 6th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Tencent, Baba, Cm Bank, Bidu, Meituan, HSBC, Differ Gp Auto, Li Auto-W.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, Baba, CMB, Bidu, Meituan, HSBC, Differ, Li Auto

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 30th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in China Life, Alibaba, 3SBio, JD.com.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 30th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in China Life, Alibaba, 3SBio, JD.com.


HK Short Interest Weekly: China Life, Alibaba, 3SBio, JD.com

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 109.2% as of Jan 6th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.6ppt week on week, led by utilities, real estate, financials and offset by health care, consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Weichai Power, Tigermed, Pharmaron, Minsheng, Junshi, YOFC, Huaneng Power, China Longyuan.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 109.2% as of Jan 6th.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.6ppt week on week, led by utilities, real estate, financials and offset by health care, consumer discretionary.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Weichai Power, Tigermed, Pharmaron, Minsheng, Junshi, YOFC, Huaneng Power, China Longyuan.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 6th): Weichai Power, Tigermed, Pharmaron, Minsheng, Junshi, YOFC

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 6th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent, China Mobile, Wuxi Biologics, Kuaishou Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 6th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent, China Mobile, Wuxi Biologics, Kuaishou Technology.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jan 6th): Tencent, China Mobile, Wuxi Biologics, Kuaishou

China

China Life Insurance Company Ltd. offers a wide range of life, accident, and health insurance products and services.

Price Gauge
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China Life Insurance Co H (2628 HK)

HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, Baba, CMB, Bidu, Meituan, HSBC, Differ, Li Auto

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 6th and highlight short interest changes in Tencent, Baba, CMB, Bidu,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: China Life, Alibaba, 3SBio, JD.com

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 30th and highlight short interest changes in China Life, Alibaba,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 6th): Weichai Power, Tigermed, Pharmaron, Minsheng, Junshi, YOFC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Weichai Power, Tigermed, Pharmaron, Minsheng, Junshi, YOFC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jan 6th): Tencent, China Mobile, Wuxi Biologics, Kuaishou

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Tencent, China Mobile, Wuxi Biologics, Kuaishou.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Life (2628 HK): Rally to Top Out at HKD19/Share as Credit Risks Loom Large

China Life has been a star as investors embrace the reopening trade. We believe the rally still has legs, but as the dust settles, it may remain a...

Stanley Tsai, CFA

HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, Baba, CMB, Bidu, Meituan, HSBC, Differ, Li Auto

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jan 6th and highlight short interest changes in Tencent, Baba, CMB, Bidu,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: China Life, Alibaba, 3SBio, JD.com

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 30th and highlight short interest changes in China Life, Alibaba,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 6th): Weichai Power, Tigermed, Pharmaron, Minsheng, Junshi, YOFC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Weichai Power, Tigermed, Pharmaron, Minsheng, Junshi, YOFC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jan 6th): Tencent, China Mobile, Wuxi Biologics, Kuaishou

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Tencent, China Mobile, Wuxi Biologics, Kuaishou.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM