Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Cashed-Up <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)</a> doubles its buyback program. Separately, the appraisal rights proceedings for dissenting shareholders of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-strategic-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15081" rel="noopener">Jardine Strategic (JS SP)</a> are now underway in Bermuda's Supreme Court. </li>
<li>The PBOC, CBIRC, and CSRC appear to have thrown <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-evergrande-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:479:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande (3333 HK)</a> management under the bus with simultaneous statements that Evergrande's case is an individual one due to "reckless expansion."</li>
<li>The ACCC approval, a key condition to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sydney-airport" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19063" rel="noopener">Sydney Airport (SYD AU)</a> proposal completing, has been obtained.</li>
</ul>


Cashed-Up Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP) doubles its buyback program. Separately, the appraisal rights proceedings for dissenting shareholders of Jardine Strategic (JS SP) are now underway in Bermuda's Supreme Court. 
The PBOC, CBIRC, and CSRC appear to have thrown Evergrande (3333 HK) management under the bus with simultaneous statements that Evergrande's case is an individual one due to "reckless expansion."
The ACCC approval, a key condition to the Sydney Airport (SYD AU) proposal completing, has been obtained.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Jardine Matheson, Evergrande, Sydney Airports, Shinsei Bank, Kansai Super

Equity Research in HK and Mainland China

Li Tang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Quality developers are said to be supported by NAFMII to issue M&amp;A bonds with a long maturity to acquire real estate projects from troubled developers</li>
<li>This adds further fuel to the rumour that financing for M&amp;A activity will be outside of the three red lines</li>
<li>The Politburo December meeting provided a positive signal for property policy that is expected to be echoed in the Central Economic Work Conference statement this week</li>
</ul>


Quality developers are said to be supported by NAFMII to issue M&amp;A bonds with a long maturity to acquire real estate projects from troubled developers
This adds further fuel to the rumour that financing for M&amp;A activity will be outside of the three red lines
The Politburo December meeting provided a positive signal for property policy that is expected to be echoed in the Central Economic Work Conference statement this week


China State-Owned Developer Plans to Issue M&A Bonds on Interbank Market

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:<ol><li><a href='/entities/china-evergrande-group' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Evergrande</a></li><li><a href='/entities/china-sce-group-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>China SCE</a></li><li><a href='/entities/sunac-china-holdings-ltd' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Sunac China Holdings</a></li><li><a href='/entities/fantasia-holdings-group-co' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Fantasia Holdings Group Co</a></li><li><a href='/entities/country-garden-holdings-co' target='_blank' rel='noopener'>Country Garden Holdings Co</a></li></ol>and more...

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and also showcase a list of the most-read reports.In this Insight:EvergrandeChina SCESunac China HoldingsFantasia Holdings Group CoCountry Garden Holdings Coand more...

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.<ul><li><a href='#lucror-entity-2036'>Central China Securities</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-479'>Evergrande</a></li><li><a href='#lucror-entity-6159'>China SCE</a></li></ul>

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.Central China SecuritiesEvergrandeChina SCE

Morning Views Asia: Central China Securities, Evergrande, China SCE

Forensic Analyst

Jason Yap, CFA

Forensic Accounting

<ul>
<li>On 6 December 2021, Evergrande failed to make a crucial coupon payment after expiry of 30 day grace period, triggering default concerns.</li>
<li>Fitch described, and Bloomberg concurred, that this was a "restricted default". We discuss why this distinction might not be relevant for evaluating an investment interest in Evergrande's shares or bonds. </li>
<li>We also discuss the sector outlook and highlight why a contrarian long term play on well capitalised property developers might be quietly unfolding.</li>
</ul>


On 6 December 2021, Evergrande failed to make a crucial coupon payment after expiry of 30 day grace period, triggering default concerns.
Fitch described, and Bloomberg concurred, that this was a "restricted default". We discuss why this distinction might not be relevant for evaluating an investment interest in Evergrande's shares or bonds. 
We also discuss the sector outlook and highlight why a contrarian long term play on well capitalised property developers might be quietly unfolding.


Evergrande (3333 HK)'s "Restricted" Default - Just Semantics?

China

China Evergrande Group is an integrated residential property developer. The Company, through its subsidiaries, operates in property development, investment, management, finance, internet, health, culture, and tourism markets.

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Evergrande (3333 HK)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Jardine Matheson, Evergrande, Sydney Airports, Shinsei Bank, Kansai Super

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

China State-Owned Developer Plans to Issue M&A Bonds on Interbank Market

The new move adds further fuel to the rumour that financing for M&A activity will be outside of the three red lines,This is a crucial development...

Li Tang

Weekly Wrap - 10 Dec 2021

Lucror Analytics Weekly Wraps provide an overview of all Morning Views comments and reports published by our analyst team in the past week, and...

Lucror Analytics

Morning Views Asia: Central China Securities, Evergrande, China SCE

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Evergrande (3333 HK)'s "Restricted" Default - Just Semantics?

On 6 Dec 2021, Evergrande failed to make a crucial coupon payment. Fitch called it a "restricted default". We discuss why this distinction might...

Jason Yap, CFA

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