Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Here's a puzzle. How come the NBS metrics show an accelerating house price growth in October when you hear all the news and anecdotes about discounted prices, the "coming winter" for the housing market and a surge in financing costs?

Here's a puzzle. How come the NBS metrics show an accelerating house price growth in October when you hear all the news and anecdotes about discounted prices, the "coming winter" for the housing market and a surge in financing costs?

China Housing: The Puzzling Price Growth - October NBS Data

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar. 

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia - 20 Nov 2018

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia - 19 Nov 2018

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/479" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:479:1">Evergrande Real Estate Group (3333 HK)</a> is set to slide into our preferred buy support that will set up a fresh rally cycle to press on outlined resistance targets.Evergrande shows potential to act as a beta proxy for any China-US trade deal or positive outcome near/before year-end.Brewing bull divergence sets a more positive tone as sellers are squeezed out.Sell volumes are diminishing as buy volumes on rally days starting to show early positive signals.Macro trend remains down barring a move above 25. We outline the expected rise and fade cycle into 2019 with key macro bull/bear support.

Evergrande Real Estate Group (3333 HK) is set to slide into our preferred buy support that will set up a fresh rally cycle to press on outlined resistance targets.Evergrande shows potential to act as a beta proxy for any China-US trade deal or positive outcome near/before year-end.Brewing bull divergence sets a more positive tone as sellers are squeezed out.Sell volumes are diminishing as buy volumes on rally days starting to show early positive signals.Macro trend remains down barring a move above 25. We outline the expected rise and fade cycle into 2019 with key macro bull/bear support.

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released today the key China data for October, related to property sales and investments by developers at a national level, showing the decelerating growth of new home sales volumes (residential gross floor area for "commercial residential" property). This was expected, though the weekly data for 12 major cities indicates more positive growth in November.

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released today the key China data for October, related to property sales and investments by developers at a national level, showing the decelerating growth of new home sales volumes (residential gross floor area for "commercial residential" property). This was expected, though the weekly data for 12 major cities indicates more positive growth in November. 

China Housing: Sales Volume Growth Slows Down In October But Weekly November Data More Positive

China

China Evergrande Group is an integrated residential property developer. The Company, through its subsidiaries, operates in property development, investment, management, finance, internet, health, culture, and tourism markets.

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Evergrande (3333 HK)

China Housing: The Puzzling Price Growth - October NBS Data

Here's a puzzle. How come the NBS metrics show an accelerating house price growth in October when you hear all the news and anecdotes about...

Robert Ciemniak

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia - 20 Nov 2018

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia - 19 Nov 2018

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region,...

Lucror Analytics

Evergrande Pocket Buy Level

Evergrande Real Estate Group (3333 HK) is set to slide into our preferred buy support that will set up a fresh rally cycle to press on outlined...

Thomas Schroeder

China Housing: Sales Volume Growth Slows Down In October But Weekly November Data More Positive

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released today the key China data for October, related to property sales and investments by developers at a...

Robert Ciemniak

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