Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-conch-venture-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19943:1" rel="noopener">China Conch Venture Holdings (586 HK)</a></strong> / <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anhui-conch-cement-co-ltd-094855ab-abec-4b71-956b-5bfc85e22fdd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:389:1" rel="noopener">Anhui Conch Cement (600585 CH)</a></strong> ratio is at an all-time low. The implied stub is re-testing its all-time low.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on China Conch/Anhui are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. </li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>


The China Conch Venture Holdings (586 HK) / Anhui Conch Cement (600585 CH) ratio is at an all-time low. The implied stub is re-testing its all-time low.
Preceding my comments on China Conch/Anhui are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. 
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: China Conch Trades Cheap. As Does Anhui

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

China Everbright Environment / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Plunge in net profit, high gearing and slowdown in new projects are market concerns, but should have well reflected in its share price. Its 3.6x PER is just too cheap. </li>
<li>FY23 will see profit recovery, backed by decent project pipeline and lack of one-offs like impairment and exchange losses. Consensus forecast of 15% profit growth is too conservative.</li>
<li>Cash flow will improve over the next two years as collection of national subsidies accelerates, capex moderates and contribution from operating projects increases. </li>
</ul>


Plunge in net profit, high gearing and slowdown in new projects are market concerns, but should have well reflected in its share price. Its 3.6x PER is just too cheap. 
FY23 will see profit recovery, backed by decent project pipeline and lack of one-offs like impairment and exchange losses. Consensus forecast of 15% profit growth is too conservative.
Cash flow will improve over the next two years as collection of national subsidies accelerates, capex moderates and contribution from operating projects increases. 


China Everbright Environment (257 HK): The Dust Should Have Settled

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 21st.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in BYD, Conch Venture, Shandong Weigao.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 21st.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in BYD, Conch Venture, Shandong Weigao.


HK Short Interest Weekly: BYD, Conch Venture, Shandong Weigao.

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/moya-holdings-asia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2293:1" rel="noopener">Moya Holdings Asia (MHAL SP)</a> received a delisting proposal from Tamaris Infrastructure (a 72.84% shareholder) at S$0.092 per share, a 41.5% premium to the undisturbed price (8 September).</li>
<li>The key condition is shareholder approval. Gateway Partners, which holds a blocking stake, will likely use the offer as an opportunity to exit an underperforming investment.</li>
<li>The offer price is attractive. At the last close price, the gross and annualised spread for a year-end effective date is 3.4% and 11.5%, respectively.</li>
</ul>



Moya Holdings Asia (MHAL SP) received a delisting proposal from Tamaris Infrastructure (a 72.84% shareholder) at S$0.092 per share, a 41.5% premium to the undisturbed price (8 September).
The key condition is shareholder approval. Gateway Partners, which holds a blocking stake, will likely use the offer as an opportunity to exit an underperforming investment.
The offer price is attractive. At the last close price, the gross and annualised spread for a year-end effective date is 3.4% and 11.5%, respectively.


Canvest Environmental Protection Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The 25.6% increase in net profit for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canvest-environmental-protection-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:100:1" rel="noopener">Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK)</a> in 1H22 is a resilient show given cost inflation and pandemic/lockdowns in the period.</li>
<li>Good pipeline should support growth for the next two years as projects under construction/planning accounted for 54% of the existing capacity in Aug.</li>
<li>Canvest's expectation that gearing has peaked suggests that it will start deleverage in next year. This is a positive message in an industry traditionally with weak cashflow.</li>
</ul>


The 25.6% increase in net profit for Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK) in 1H22 is a resilient show given cost inflation and pandemic/lockdowns in the period.
Good pipeline should support growth for the next two years as projects under construction/planning accounted for 54% of the existing capacity in Aug.
Canvest's expectation that gearing has peaked suggests that it will start deleverage in next year. This is a positive message in an industry traditionally with weak cashflow.


Canvest Env (1381 HK): Streaming Ahead Despite Tough Time

China

China Conch Venture Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides energy preservation and environmental protection solutions and offers environment-friendly building materials.

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China Conch Venture Holdings (586 HK)

StubWorld: China Conch Trades Cheap. As Does Anhui

Anhui appears inexpensive to peers. And with the As trading slightly "richer" to the Hs here - plus the Hs carry a 7.5% yield, I'd be inclined to...

David Blennerhassett

China Everbright Environment (257 HK): The Dust Should Have Settled

FY23 outlook has brightened as it will be supported by healthy project pipeline and lack of one-off items. There is potential for financial...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Short Interest Weekly: BYD, Conch Venture, Shandong Weigao.

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of {} and highlight short interest changes in BYD, Conch Venture, Shandong...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Moya Holding’s S$0.092 Delisting Offer

The offer price is attractive. At the last close price, the gross and annualised spread for a year-end effective date is 3.4% and 11.5%, respectively.

Arun George

Canvest Env (1381 HK): Streaming Ahead Despite Tough Time

After a good start in 1H22, we think there is room for Canvest's earnings to further improve in 2H22. Its improved cash flow and potential to...

Osbert Tang, CFA

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