HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

China Communications Construction / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-communications-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:265:1" rel="noopener">China Communications Construction (1800 HK)</a> saw stronger new contract growth in 2Q23, increasing by 15.5% YoY. Sharp pick-up in domestic contracts is the key driver.</li>
<li>We estimate its backlog at end-1H23 at Rmb3.9trn, up 15% from end-FY22. This equals 5.1x the projected FY23 revenue, indicating very comfortable forward coverage.</li>
<li>Despite a 22.5% share price increase YTD, it trades on just 0.21x P/B. Compared with an ROE of 7-8%, it is inexpensive. Upside will come from asset value realisation.</li>
</ul>



China Communications Construction (1800 HK) saw stronger new contract growth in 2Q23, increasing by 15.5% YoY. Sharp pick-up in domestic contracts is the key driver.
We estimate its backlog at end-1H23 at Rmb3.9trn, up 15% from end-FY22. This equals 5.1x the projected FY23 revenue, indicating very comfortable forward coverage.
Despite a 22.5% share price increase YTD, it trades on just 0.21x P/B. Compared with an ROE of 7-8%, it is inexpensive. Upside will come from asset value realisation.


China Comm Const (1800 HK): New Contract Growth Accelerated

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 119.0% as of Jun 23rd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 4.9ppt week on week, led by information technology, health care, industrials and offset by communication services, financials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for BYD, CMOC, China Southern, Cansino Biologics, Xinjiang Gold.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 119.0% as of Jun 23rd.
The average A-H premium changed by 4.9ppt week on week, led by information technology, health care, industrials and offset by communication services, financials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for BYD, CMOC, China Southern, Cansino Biologics, Xinjiang Gold.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 23rd): BYD, CMOC, China Southern, Cansino Biologics, Xinjiang Gold

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Both the State Council and NDRC reiterated last week the importance of introducing economic stimulus measures. These measures should benefit the infrastructure construction companies.</li>
<li>1Q23 new contract growth, ranging between 6.3% and 15.8%, is healthy. With issuance of special purpose bonds up 16.5% in 4M23, new contract momentum looks to accelerate.</li>
<li>We view <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-communications-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:265:1" rel="noopener">China Communications Construction (1800 HK)</a> most positively, given its diversified sub-segment coverage, highest overseas exposure, and best forward pipeline.</li>
</ul>


Both the State Council and NDRC reiterated last week the importance of introducing economic stimulus measures. These measures should benefit the infrastructure construction companies.
1Q23 new contract growth, ranging between 6.3% and 15.8%, is healthy. With issuance of special purpose bonds up 16.5% in 4M23, new contract momentum looks to accelerate.
We view China Communications Construction (1800 HK) most positively, given its diversified sub-segment coverage, highest overseas exposure, and best forward pipeline.


China Stimulus: Benefiting China Infrastructure Construction Sector

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 113.9% as of Jun 9th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.9ppt week on week, led by consumer discretionary, materials, industrials and offset by consumer staples, information technology, communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for BYD Co Ltd and China Construction Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 143 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 113.9% as of Jun 9th.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.9ppt week on week, led by consumer discretionary, materials, industrials and offset by consumer staples, information technology, communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for BYD Co Ltd and China Construction Bank.


China Railway Signal & Communication / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-railway-signal-communication-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:613:1" rel="noopener">China Railway Signal &amp; Communication (3969 HK)</a> (CRSC) has achieved good share price performance YTD, but we think there is more room to go for the rest of the year.</li>
<li>We like its steady domestic growth, exposure to overseas recovery, strong order backlog, and net cash position. 1Q23 new contracts reached Rmb13.7bn, an impressive 35.8% YoY growth.</li>
<li>Unlike the highly-geared infrastructure construction peers, CRSC's net cash equals 52% of the share price. On such basis, its P/B of 0.7x relative to ROE of 9-10% is inexpensive.</li>
</ul>



China Railway Signal &amp; Communication (3969 HK) (CRSC) has achieved good share price performance YTD, but we think there is more room to go for the rest of the year.
We like its steady domestic growth, exposure to overseas recovery, strong order backlog, and net cash position. 1Q23 new contracts reached Rmb13.7bn, an impressive 35.8% YoY growth.
Unlike the highly-geared infrastructure construction peers, CRSC's net cash equals 52% of the share price. On such basis, its P/B of 0.7x relative to ROE of 9-10% is inexpensive.


China CRSC (3969 HK): Uniquely Positioned with Strong Financials

China

China Communications Construction Company Ltd. is a transportation infrastructure group.  The Company is involved in infrastructure construction, infrastructure design, dredging, and port machinery manufacturing.  China Communications has operations worldwide.

China Communications Construction (1800 HK)

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China Communications Construction (1800 HK)

China Comm Const (1800 HK): New Contract Growth Accelerated

New contract growth accelerated to 15.5% in 2Q23, and we estimate its end-1H23 backlog is enough to cover 5.1x the projected FY23 revenue. Relative...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 23rd): BYD, CMOC, China Southern, Cansino Biologics, Xinjiang Gold

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for BYD, CMOC, China Southern, Cansino Biologics, Xinjiang Gold.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Stimulus: Benefiting China Infrastructure Construction Sector

We anticipate a new round of government stimulus measures and believe CCCC is the most benefited given its diversified segment coverage, highest...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Jun 9th): BYD, CCB

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for BYD Co Ltd, and China Construction Bank.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China CRSC (3969 HK): Uniquely Positioned with Strong Financials

CRSC's strengths lie in its steady domestic growth, overseas recovery exposure, strong order backlog, and net cash position. It is undemanding at...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)