Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Cheerwin is a strong turnaround story with significant earnings growth in 2023 with solid dividend yield. It is the number one player in the inspect repellent sector in China. </li>
<li>Cheerwin's current price is 79% lower than the IPO  price. However, Cheerwin's shares are up 35% YTD, sharply outperforming Hang Seng index which is up 13.6% YTD.</li>
<li>We found Cheerwin (6601 HK) using Smartkarma's Smart Score Screener system. We used the following screening methodology: Market cap - More than $300 million Dividends = 5 only.</li>
</ul>


Cheerwin is a strong turnaround story with significant earnings growth in 2023 with solid dividend yield. It is the number one player in the inspect repellent sector in China. 
Cheerwin's current price is 79% lower than the IPO  price. However, Cheerwin's shares are up 35% YTD, sharply outperforming Hang Seng index which is up 13.6% YTD.
We found Cheerwin (6601 HK) using Smartkarma's Smart Score Screener system. We used the following screening methodology: Market cap - More than $300 million Dividends = 5 only.


Asian Dividend Gems: Cheerwin - Number One Provider of Mosquito Repellents in China

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong dollar is strengthening as demand picks up and the carry trade unwinds quickly.  Put/Call Skew declines for HSTech Index as traders sentiment reverses.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hengan-international-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29:1" rel="noopener">Hengan International Group (1044 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/galaxy-entertainment-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:806:1" rel="noopener">Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK)</a> had breakouts from declining wedge patterns and have now formed new uptrends.
</li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23679:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK)</a> had a breakout reversal from a U-shaped pattern indicating more upside.  The stock's 200 DMA may provide little resistance to further re-rating.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong dollar is strengthening as demand picks up and the carry trade unwinds quickly.  Put/Call Skew declines for HSTech Index as traders sentiment reverses.

Hengan International Group (1044 HK) and Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK) had breakouts from declining wedge patterns and have now formed new uptrends.

Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK) had a breakout reversal from a U-shaped pattern indicating more upside.  The stock's 200 DMA may provide little resistance to further re-rating.


Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 30)

Hengan International Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong Conglomerate Sector is showing renewed strength with Materials and Energy under pressure.  HK market 30 day volatility at 5 year low as market continues to de-risk.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hengan-international-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29:1" rel="noopener">Hengan International Group (1044 HK)</a> chart broke down from its Descending Triangle pattern after reporting its 1H24 results. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-t-global-express-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36819:1" rel="noopener">J&amp;T Global Express (1519 HK)</a> broke down from its double bottom pattern.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-galaxy-securities-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:165:1" rel="noopener">China Galaxy Securities (H) (6881 HK)</a> price relative to the MSCI China index broke to a new high.  The company reported good results in a difficult environment for China brokers.
</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong Conglomerate Sector is showing renewed strength with Materials and Energy under pressure.  HK market 30 day volatility at 5 year low as market continues to de-risk.

Hengan International Group (1044 HK) chart broke down from its Descending Triangle pattern after reporting its 1H24 results. J&amp;T Global Express (1519 HK) broke down from its double bottom pattern.


China Galaxy Securities (H) (6881 HK) price relative to the MSCI China index broke to a new high.  The company reported good results in a difficult environment for China brokers.



Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 13)

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/i-tail-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36428:1" rel="noopener">I-Tail (ITC TB)</a> priced its IPO at THB32 per share, the top-end of the price range, to raise gross proceeds of THB21,120m (US$608m). The shares will start trading tomorrow.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/i-tail-corporation-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:83568" rel="noopener">I-Tail Corporation IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/i-tail-corporation-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:83629" rel="noopener">I-Tail Corporation IPO: The Bear Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/i-tail-corporation-ipo-a-strong-3q-results-update" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:84125" rel="noopener">I-Tail Corporation IPO: A Strong 3Q Results Update</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/i-tail-corporation-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:84288" rel="noopener">I-Tail Corporation IPO: Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>Peers have re-rated and the IPO price continues to imply a discount to the median peer CY2023 P/E multiple. Therefore, the IPO price remains attractive.</li>
</ul>



I-Tail (ITC TB) priced its IPO at THB32 per share, the top-end of the price range, to raise gross proceeds of THB21,120m (US$608m). The shares will start trading tomorrow.
We previously discussed the IPO  I-Tail Corporation IPO: The Bull Case, I-Tail Corporation IPO: The Bear Case, I-Tail Corporation IPO: A Strong 3Q Results Update, I-Tail Corporation IPO: Valuation Insights. 
Peers have re-rated and the IPO price continues to imply a discount to the median peer CY2023 P/E multiple. Therefore, the IPO price remains attractive.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/i-tail-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36428:1" rel="noopener">I-Tail (ITC TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-union-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:161:1" rel="noopener">Thai Union Group (TU TB)</a>’s pet care division, has launched its SET listing at THB30-32 per share to raise up to US$593 million.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/i-tail-corporation-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:83568" rel="noopener">I-Tail Corporation IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/i-tail-corporation-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:83629" rel="noopener">I-Tail Corporation IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/i-tail-corporation-ipo-a-strong-3q-results-update" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:84125" rel="noopener">I-Tail Corporation IPO: A Strong 3Q Results Update</a>. </li>
<li>I-Tail is attractively valued at the IPO price range. We would participate. Pricing will be announced on 28 November.</li>
</ul>



I-Tail (ITC TB), Thai Union Group (TU TB)’s pet care division, has launched its SET listing at THB30-32 per share to raise up to US$593 million.
We previously discussed the IPO in I-Tail Corporation IPO: The Bull Case, I-Tail Corporation IPO: The Bear Case and I-Tail Corporation IPO: A Strong 3Q Results Update. 
I-Tail is attractively valued at the IPO price range. We would participate. Pricing will be announced on 28 November.


I-Tail Corporation IPO: Valuation Insights

China

Cheerwin Group Limited manufactures and distributes personal care products. The Company produces household care products, pet care products, and other products. Cheerwin Group provides its services throughout Hong Kong.

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Cheerwin (6601 HK)

Asian Dividend Gems: Cheerwin - Number One Provider of Mosquito Repellents in China

Cheerwin is a strong turnaround story with significant earnings growth in 2023 with solid dividend yield. It is the number one player in the...

Douglas Kim

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 30)

Hong Kong dollar strengthens to the strong end of the band. Hengan and Galaxy share prices have both broken out of Falling Wedge patterns. Wuxi...

David Mudd

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 13)

Hong Kong conglomerate sector shows increased momentum. Hengan and J&T technical patterns broke down. J&T fell to new lows since its listing last...

David Mudd

I-Tail Corporation IPO: Trading Debut

Peers have re-rated and the IPO price continues to imply a discount to the median peer CY2023 P/E multiple. Therefore, the IPO price remains...

Arun George

I-Tail Corporation IPO: Valuation Insights

I-Tail is attractively valued at the IPO price range of THB30-32 per share. We would participate. Pricing will be announced on 28 November.

Arun George

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