Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The index changes for the T50/100 index family and the TDIV index were confirmed after market close on Friday 7th June 2024.</li>
<li>While the T50 and T100 index changes were perfectly in line with our expectations there were some surprises among the TDIV index changes.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's final flow expectations for the June 2024 index rebal event and potential trade ideas based on the flow dynamics.</li>
</ul>


The index changes for the T50/100 index family and the TDIV index were confirmed after market close on Friday 7th June 2024.
While the T50 and T100 index changes were perfectly in line with our expectations there were some surprises among the TDIV index changes.
In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's final flow expectations for the June 2024 index rebal event and potential trade ideas based on the flow dynamics.


Quiddity TDIV/50/100 Jun 24 Rebal: 15/18 Hits; Updated Flow Expectations and Trade Ideas

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 31st which has an aggregated holding worth USD4,207.5bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD14,520mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Realtek Semi, Mediatek, Synnex Tech Intl, Asustek Computer, Tripod Tech, TSMC, Hon Hai, Yang Ming Marine, Novatek, Evergreen Marine.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 31st which has an aggregated holding worth USD4,207.5bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD14,520mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Realtek Semi, Mediatek, Synnex Tech Intl, Asustek Computer, Tripod Tech, TSMC, Hon Hai, Yang Ming Marine, Novatek, Evergreen Marine.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 31st): TSMC, Hon Hai, Yang Ming Marine, Novatek, Evergreen Marine

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>With the review period now complete, there could be 5 changes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June.</li>
<li>Price changes and changes to dividend estimates have led to names dropping off the list of potential adds and deletes over the last week.</li>
<li>Constituent changes, capping and funding flows will lead to a one-way turnover of 12.7% and a one-way trade of US$1.17bn. There are 12 stocks with over 4x ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


With the review period now complete, there could be 5 changes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June.
Price changes and changes to dividend estimates have led to names dropping off the list of potential adds and deletes over the last week.
Constituent changes, capping and funding flows will lead to a one-way turnover of 12.7% and a one-way trade of US$1.17bn. There are 12 stocks with over 4x ADV to trade.


Yuanta Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 5 Changes as Names Move Around; US$2.35bn Round-Trip Trade

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the June 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Today is the base date for the June 2024 index review. We expect five changes and some of these names are different from our previous set of expected ADDs/DELs.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way flow to be around US$1.3bn which translates to a turnover of around 20%.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the June 2024 index rebal event.
Today is the base date for the June 2024 index review. We expect five changes and some of these names are different from our previous set of expected ADDs/DELs.
We estimate one-way flow to be around US$1.3bn which translates to a turnover of around 20%.


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun 24: Five Changes Likely; US$1.3bn One-Way

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 24th which has an aggregated holding worth USD4,408.0bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD5,709mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Lite-On Tech, Umc, Hon Hai, Mediatek, E.Sun Financial, Eva Airways, Ctbc Financial, Novatek, Sinopac Fncl.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of May 24th which has an aggregated holding worth USD4,408.0bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD5,709mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Lite-On Tech, Umc, Hon Hai, Mediatek, E.Sun Financial, Eva Airways, Ctbc Financial, Novatek, Sinopac Fncl.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 24th): TSMC, Lite-On Tech, Umc, Hon Hai, Mediatek, E.Sun Financial

Taiwan

Chailease Holding Co Ltd provides financing services such as leasing, installment sale, import/export factoring and direct financing.

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Chailease Holding (5871 TT)

Quiddity TDIV/50/100 Jun 24 Rebal: 15/18 Hits; Updated Flow Expectations and Trade Ideas

We estimate one-way flow for the TDIV June 2024 rebal to be around US$1.08bn which translates to a turnover of 17%. We expect the top outflow names...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 31st): TSMC, Hon Hai, Yang Ming Marine, Novatek, Evergreen Marine

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Hon Hai, Yang Ming Marine, Novatek,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Yuanta Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: 5 Changes as Names Move Around; US$2.35bn Round-Trip Trade

There should be 5 changes in June. Constituent changes, capping and funding flows will lead to a 1-way turnover of 12.7% and a 1-way trade of...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun 24: Five Changes Likely; US$1.3bn One-Way

Based on current estimates, there could be five inflow names and six outflow names with more than five days of volume to trade during the June 2024...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (May 24th): TSMC, Lite-On Tech, Umc, Hon Hai, Mediatek, E.Sun Financial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Lite-On Tech, Umc, Hon Hai, Mediatek,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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