Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Chailease is facing pressure in all of its markets, Taiwan, China and Asean, with no signs of easing.</li>
<li>High frequency data (HFD) from Chailease gives us April monthly numbers, with double digit  net profit decline and a greater EPS decline</li>
<li>Credit costs are now elevated at peak levels since early FY19 for the past two quarters, and we wonder if FY24 will see far higher figures, given economic weaknesses?</li>
</ul>


Chailease is facing pressure in all of its markets, Taiwan, China and Asean, with no signs of easing.
High frequency data (HFD) from Chailease gives us April monthly numbers, with double digit  net profit decline and a greater EPS decline
Credit costs are now elevated at peak levels since early FY19 for the past two quarters, and we wonder if FY24 will see far higher figures, given economic weaknesses?


Chailease - ROA Grinding Lower on Elevated Credit Costs

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 1st which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,018.3bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD778mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, United Microelectronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 1st which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,018.3bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD778mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, United Microelectronics.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 1st): TSMC, United Microelectronics

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 25th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,046.5bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,128mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Wistron, Quanta Computer, Evergreen Marine Corp Taiwan, United Microelectronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 25th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,046.5bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,128mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Wistron, Quanta Computer, Evergreen Marine Corp Taiwan, United Microelectronics.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 25th): TSMC, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Wistron, Quanta Computer

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 18th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,053.9bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,488mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Hon Hai Precision Industry, TSMC, Quanta Computer, Delta Electronics, Fubon Financial, United Microelectronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 18th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,053.9bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,488mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Hon Hai Precision Industry, TSMC, Quanta Computer, Delta Electronics, Fubon Financial, United Microelectronics.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 18th): Hon Hai Precision Industry, TSMC, Quanta Computer

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 11th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,014.8bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,158mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Fubon Financial, Quanta Computer, Wistron.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 11th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,014.8bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,158mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Fubon Financial, Quanta Computer, Wistron.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 11th): TSMC, Fubon Financial, Quanta Computer, Wistron

Taiwan

Chailease Holding Co Ltd provides financing services such as leasing, installment sale, import/export factoring and direct financing.

Price Gauge
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Chailease Holding (5871 TT)

Chailease - ROA Grinding Lower on Elevated Credit Costs

Chailease shows major stresses in net profit in China and Asean, with declines also in Taiwan. Credit costs are incredibly elevated for past 2...

Daniel Tabbush

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 1st): TSMC, United Microelectronics

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, United Microelectronics.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 25th): TSMC, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Wistron, Quanta Computer

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Wistron,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 18th): Hon Hai Precision Industry, TSMC, Quanta Computer

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Hon Hai Precision Industry, TSMC, Quanta...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 11th): TSMC, Fubon Financial, Quanta Computer, Wistron

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Fubon Financial, Quanta Computer, Wistron.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)