Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Chailease offers an alternative view on China lending than the large mainstream banks there</li>
<li>Data through 9M24 shows very high growth of its China impairment costs at +62% YoY</li>
<li>Its lending in China is slowing sharply, often a reaction to worsening credit metrics</li>
</ul>


Chailease offers an alternative view on China lending than the large mainstream banks there
Data through 9M24 shows very high growth of its China impairment costs at +62% YoY
Its lending in China is slowing sharply, often a reaction to worsening credit metrics


Chailease - A Window on China Lending, +62% Impairment Costs, Decelerating Loan Growth in China

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 20th which has an aggregated holding worth USD993.3bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,219mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Alchip Technologies, TSMC, Asia Optical, Elite Material, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Yang Ming Marine, Quanta Computer, Asia Vital Components.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 20th which has an aggregated holding worth USD993.3bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,219mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Alchip Technologies, TSMC, Asia Optical, Elite Material, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Yang Ming Marine, Quanta Computer, Asia Vital Components.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 20th): Alchip Technologies, TSMC, Asia Optical, Elite Material

<ul>
<li>Chailease is facing pressure in all of its markets, Taiwan, China and Asean, with no signs of easing.</li>
<li>High frequency data (HFD) from Chailease gives us April monthly numbers, with double digit  net profit decline and a greater EPS decline</li>
<li>Credit costs are now elevated at peak levels since early FY19 for the past two quarters, and we wonder if FY24 will see far higher figures, given economic weaknesses?</li>
</ul>


Chailease is facing pressure in all of its markets, Taiwan, China and Asean, with no signs of easing.
High frequency data (HFD) from Chailease gives us April monthly numbers, with double digit  net profit decline and a greater EPS decline
Credit costs are now elevated at peak levels since early FY19 for the past two quarters, and we wonder if FY24 will see far higher figures, given economic weaknesses?


Chailease - ROA Grinding Lower on Elevated Credit Costs

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 13th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,021.0bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD704mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Mediatek, Alchip Technologies, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Quanta Computer, TSMC, Accton Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 13th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,021.0bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD704mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Mediatek, Alchip Technologies, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Quanta Computer, TSMC, Accton Technology.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 13th): Mediatek, Alchip Technologies, Hon Hai Precision Industry

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 6th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,025.5bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,710mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Asia Vital Components, Mediatek, Elite Material, China Airlines, Accton Technology, Hon Hai Precision Industry.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 6th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,025.5bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,710mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Asia Vital Components, Mediatek, Elite Material, China Airlines, Accton Technology, Hon Hai Precision Industry.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 6th): TSMC, Asia Vital Components, Mediatek, Elite Material

Taiwan

Chailease Holding Co Ltd provides financing services such as leasing, installment sale, import/export factoring and direct financing.

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Chailease Holding (5871 TT)

Chailease - A Window on China Lending, +62% Impairment Costs, Decelerating Loan Growth in China

Chailease offers an alternative view on China lending, where its loan growth is slowing sharply, where credit costs to loans are rising...

Daniel Tabbush

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 20th): Alchip Technologies, TSMC, Asia Optical, Elite Material

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Alchip Technologies, TSMC, Asia Optical, Elite...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Chailease - ROA Grinding Lower on Elevated Credit Costs

Chailease shows major stresses in net profit in China and Asean, with declines also in Taiwan. Credit costs are incredibly elevated for past 2...

Daniel Tabbush

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 13th): Mediatek, Alchip Technologies, Hon Hai Precision Industry

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Mediatek, Alchip Technologies, Hon Hai Precision...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 6th): TSMC, Asia Vital Components, Mediatek, Elite Material

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Asia Vital Components, Mediatek, Elite...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)