Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are now new changes forecast for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December for a total of 8 inclusions and 7 deletions.</li>
<li>Constituent changes along with capping changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 21.8% and in a one-way trade of TWD 75.8bn (US$2.33bn).</li>
<li>The potential changes had a big one-day move yesterday and we expect similar moves over the next couple of days.</li>
</ul>


There are now new changes forecast for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December for a total of 8 inclusions and 7 deletions.
Constituent changes along with capping changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 21.8% and in a one-way trade of TWD 75.8bn (US$2.33bn).
The potential changes had a big one-day move yesterday and we expect similar moves over the next couple of days.


Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Last-Second Changes to the Last-Minute Changes

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

Teco Electric & Machinery / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Teco Electric &amp; Machinery (1504 TT) is one of the leading companies in Taiwan that specialize in electrical machinery and industrial automation.</li>
<li>Teco Electric &amp; Machinery provides high dividend payout and solid dividend yield. From 2020 to 2023, the company's dividend payout and dividend yield averaged 72.9% and 4.6%, respectively.</li>
<li>The company is one of the beneficiaries from the need to upgrade the global energy distribution and storage networks to support the higher usage of AI in the coming years. </li>
</ul>


Teco Electric &amp; Machinery (1504 TT) is one of the leading companies in Taiwan that specialize in electrical machinery and industrial automation.
Teco Electric &amp; Machinery provides high dividend payout and solid dividend yield. From 2020 to 2023, the company's dividend payout and dividend yield averaged 72.9% and 4.6%, respectively.
The company is one of the beneficiaries from the need to upgrade the global energy distribution and storage networks to support the higher usage of AI in the coming years. 


Asian Dividend Gems: Teco Electric & Machinery

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 27th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD21.7bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Yang Ming Marine, Shanghai Commercial &amp; Savings Bank, Asia Vital Components, Alchip Technologies, Far Eastern New Century, Wiwynn, Walsin Lihwa.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Dec 27th which has an aggregated short interest worth USD21.7bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Yang Ming Marine, Shanghai Commercial &amp; Savings Bank, Asia Vital Components, Alchip Technologies, Far Eastern New Century, Wiwynn, Walsin Lihwa.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 27th): Evergreen Marine, Yang Ming Marine, SCSB, Asia Vital

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Hua Nan Financial Holdings Co Ltd. / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The index changes for the T50/100 index family and the TDIV index were confirmed after market close on Friday 6th December 2024.</li>
<li>There will be one ADD/DEL for T50, five ADDs/DELs for T100, and 8 ADDs/7 DELs for TDIV. All of these are perfectly in line with our final expectations. </li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's final flow expectations for the December 2024 index rebal event and potential trade ideas based on the flow dynamics.</li>
</ul>


The index changes for the T50/100 index family and the TDIV index were confirmed after market close on Friday 6th December 2024.
There will be one ADD/DEL for T50, five ADDs/DELs for T100, and 8 ADDs/7 DELs for TDIV. All of these are perfectly in line with our final expectations. 
In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's final flow expectations for the December 2024 index rebal event and potential trade ideas based on the flow dynamics.


Quiddity TDIV/50/100 Dec 24 Results: 100% Hit Rate; 20x+ ADV for Many Names; US$2.3bn One-Way

Hua Nan Financial Holdings Co Ltd. / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 8 adds and 7 deletes for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December. We had a 100% hit rate on our forecasts.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 22.1% resulting in a one-way trade of TWD 78.8bn (US$2.4bn). There are 16 stocks with over 5 days of ADV to trade.</li>
<li>There has been a big increase in short interest on some of the deletions and there could be some short covering the stocks closer to implementation date.</li>
</ul>


There are 8 adds and 7 deletes for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in December. We had a 100% hit rate on our forecasts.
Estimated one-way turnover is 22.1% resulting in a one-way trade of TWD 78.8bn (US$2.4bn). There are 16 stocks with over 5 days of ADV to trade.
There has been a big increase in short interest on some of the deletions and there could be some short covering the stocks closer to implementation date.


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: 15 Changes, 44% Turnover, US$4.8bn Trade, BIG Impact

Taiwan

Teco Electric & Machinery Co., Ltd. manufactures household appliances, industrial motors, and smart cards.  The Company produces air conditioners, refrigerators, washing machines, televisions, dryers, single-phase motors, three-phase motors, inverters, rotary compressors, stepping motors, gear motors, and generators.

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Teco Electric & Machinery (1504 TT)

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Last-Second Changes to the Last-Minute Changes

There could now be 8 adds and 7 deletes for the ETF in December leading to one-way turnover of 21.8% and in a one-way trade of TWD 75.8bn...

Brian Freitas

Asian Dividend Gems: Teco Electric & Machinery

Teco Electric & Machinery (1504 TT) is one of the beneficiaries from the need to upgrade the global energy distribution and storage networks to...

Douglas Kim

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 27th): Evergreen Marine, Yang Ming Marine, SCSB, Asia Vital

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Yang Ming Marine, SCSB, Asia...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity TDIV/50/100 Dec 24 Results: 100% Hit Rate; 20x+ ADV for Many Names; US$2.3bn One-Way

The TDIV Inclusions/Exclusions will be equally-distributed over five trading days from 20th December 2024 to 26th December 2024. It is a good time...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: 15 Changes, 44% Turnover, US$4.8bn Trade, BIG Impact

There are 8 adds/7 deletes for the Yuanta Taiwan Divi+ ETF. Estimated one-way turnover is 22.1% and one-way trade is TWD 78.8bn (US$2.4bn). There...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance Preview: Last-Second Changes to the Last-Minute Changes

There could now be 8 adds and 7 deletes for the ETF in December leading to one-way turnover of 21.8% and in a one-way trade of TWD 75.8bn...

Brian Freitas

Asian Dividend Gems: Teco Electric & Machinery

Teco Electric & Machinery (1504 TT) is one of the beneficiaries from the need to upgrade the global energy distribution and storage networks to...

Douglas Kim

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Dec 27th): Evergreen Marine, Yang Ming Marine, SCSB, Asia Vital

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Evergreen Marine, Yang Ming Marine, SCSB, Asia...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity TDIV/50/100 Dec 24 Results: 100% Hit Rate; 20x+ ADV for Many Names; US$2.3bn One-Way

The TDIV Inclusions/Exclusions will be equally-distributed over five trading days from 20th December 2024 to 26th December 2024. It is a good time...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: 15 Changes, 44% Turnover, US$4.8bn Trade, BIG Impact

There are 8 adds/7 deletes for the Yuanta Taiwan Divi+ ETF. Estimated one-way turnover is 22.1% and one-way trade is TWD 78.8bn (US$2.4bn). There...

Brian Freitas

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Div+ ETF Rebalance: 15 Changes, 44% Turnover, US$4.8bn Trade, BIG Impact