Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The swap prices, ₩148,853 for Celltrion Inc and ₩66,874 for Celltrion Healthcare, specified below are not tentative prices but confirmed prices. So, the merger ratio has been determined as 1:0.4492620.</li>
<li>The key focus now is the appraisal rights exercise. Both offer attractive spreads. Yet, the ₩1T combined ceiling might seem restricted considering potential dissenting Celltrion Inc shareholders exceeding expectations.</li>
<li>Nonetheless, considering the strong determination of the company towards this merger, we should consider a strategy of approaching this spread aggressively while keeping the cancellation risk in mind.</li>
</ul>


The swap prices, ₩148,853 for Celltrion Inc and ₩66,874 for Celltrion Healthcare, specified below are not tentative prices but confirmed prices. So, the merger ratio has been determined as 1:0.4492620.
The key focus now is the appraisal rights exercise. Both offer attractive spreads. Yet, the ₩1T combined ceiling might seem restricted considering potential dissenting Celltrion Inc shareholders exceeding expectations.
Nonetheless, considering the strong determination of the company towards this merger, we should consider a strategy of approaching this spread aggressively while keeping the cancellation risk in mind.


Celltrion Merger Swap: Conditions & Schedule

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>According to Invest Chosun, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)</a> plans to submit a merger registration statement to the KRX in July, with Mirae Asset Securities acting as the lead underwriter.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a> investors are in a conundrum. The stock is doing well. With one quarter to go, the company just raised its full-year EPS target by 8.3%.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canon-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1:1" rel="noopener">Canon (7751 JP)</a>'s most recent buyback should be done now-ish. They have been ~15-20% of volume over the past month. The Trade would be short Canon vs <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ricoh-company-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15359:1" rel="noopener">Ricoh (7752 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


According to Invest Chosun, Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) plans to submit a merger registration statement to the KRX in July, with Mirae Asset Securities acting as the lead underwriter.

Fast Retailing (9983 JP) investors are in a conundrum. The stock is doing well. With one quarter to go, the company just raised its full-year EPS target by 8.3%.

Canon (7751 JP)'s most recent buyback should be done now-ish. They have been ~15-20% of volume over the past month. The Trade would be short Canon vs Ricoh (7752 JP).


Last Week in Event SPACE: Celltrion, Fast Retailing, Canon, Costa, Chindata

<ul>
<li>According to Invest Chosun, Celltrion plans to submit a merger registration statement to the KRX in July, with Mirae Asset Securities acting as the lead underwriter.</li>
<li>Given that the approximate timing of the merger registration statement submission has already been exposed to the market, we can track the difference between the spot and exercise prices.</li>
<li>Celltrion Inc will likely attempt to minimize the appraisal rights price. We can consider capitalizing on this possibility by shorting Celltrion Inc while going long on the other two companies.</li>
</ul>


According to Invest Chosun, Celltrion plans to submit a merger registration statement to the KRX in July, with Mirae Asset Securities acting as the lead underwriter.
Given that the approximate timing of the merger registration statement submission has already been exposed to the market, we can track the difference between the spot and exercise prices.
Celltrion Inc will likely attempt to minimize the appraisal rights price. We can consider capitalizing on this possibility by shorting Celltrion Inc while going long on the other two companies.


Celltrion Merger Announcement in July: Trading Angles Utilizing Appraisal Rights Exercise Dynamics

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>Invest Chosun recently reported that the three Celltrion Group companies including Celltrion Inc, Celltrion Healthcare, and Celltrion Pharm are close to announcing a merger in July.</li>
<li>Although Celltrion was not included this time as suppliers of Humira biosimilar products by OptumRX, there is still a potential for Cigna Express Scripts to include Celltrion's product this year.</li>
<li>We think Celltrion Inc and Celltrion Healthcare's share prices are oversold. </li>
</ul>


Invest Chosun recently reported that the three Celltrion Group companies including Celltrion Inc, Celltrion Healthcare, and Celltrion Pharm are close to announcing a merger in July.
Although Celltrion was not included this time as suppliers of Humira biosimilar products by OptumRX, there is still a potential for Cigna Express Scripts to include Celltrion's product this year.
We think Celltrion Inc and Celltrion Healthcare's share prices are oversold. 


Celltrion Group Merger Announcement in July & Oversold Post Disappointing Exclusion by OptumRX?

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Celltrion Healthcare   / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-healthcare" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23641:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Healthcare (091990 KS)</a> is expected to launch Humira biosimilar, Yuflyma, in the U.S. market in July 2023. Despite heavy competition, as high-concentration citrate-free formulation, Yuflyma has competitive edge.</li>
<li>In April 2023, Celltrion has launched bevacizumab biosimilar, Vegzelma in the U.S. Vegzelma will be the first product that the company will be directly selling in the U.S.</li>
<li>Through portfolio expansion, Celltrion increased target market size to $53.7B in 2023 from $20.6B in 2020, representing 161% growth. For 2024, the target market is expected to increase to $91.3B.</li>
</ul>



Celltrion Healthcare (091990 KS) is expected to launch Humira biosimilar, Yuflyma, in the U.S. market in July 2023. Despite heavy competition, as high-concentration citrate-free formulation, Yuflyma has competitive edge.
In April 2023, Celltrion has launched bevacizumab biosimilar, Vegzelma in the U.S. Vegzelma will be the first product that the company will be directly selling in the U.S.
Through portfolio expansion, Celltrion increased target market size to $53.7B in 2023 from $20.6B in 2020, representing 161% growth. For 2024, the target market is expected to increase to $91.3B.


Celltrion Healthcare (091990 KS): Portfolio Enhancement to Drive Business Growth

South Korea

Celltrion Pharm Inc. manufactures and sells pharmaceutical products.  The Company products inclue drugs for for hepatic diseases, digestion, diabetes, cold and fever, anti-inflammatory, and veterinary medical products.  Celltrion also provides pharmaceutical raw materials.

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Celltrion Pharm (068760 KS)

Celltrion Merger Swap: Conditions & Schedule

This post details the Celltrion merger swap event, announced just now after the market closed. It provides detailed conditions and schedules along...

Sanghyun Park

Last Week in Event SPACE: Celltrion, Fast Retailing, Canon, Costa, Chindata

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Celltrion Merger Announcement in July: Trading Angles Utilizing Appraisal Rights Exercise Dynamics

Following the news that Celltrion has chosen Mirae Asset Securities as the primary underwriter for its merger plans, there has been a notable surge...

Sanghyun Park

Celltrion Group Merger Announcement in July & Oversold Post Disappointing Exclusion by OptumRX?

All three Celltrion Group companies' share prices rallied strongly yesterday after Chairman Seo of Celltrion mentioned a decision on the merger can...

Douglas Kim

Celltrion Healthcare (091990 KS): Portfolio Enhancement to Drive Business Growth

Celltrion Healthcare is expected to launch Humira biosimilar in US in July 2023. Through portfolio expansion, Celltrion aims to increase target...

Tina Banerjee

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