Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)'s deletion seems pretty much a foregone conclusion as its average float-adjusted market cap on May 3-19 is way below the next one in line.</li>
<li>Shinhan Financial (055550 KS) is the one to replace Celltrion based on the numbers so far. There is close to a ₩1T gap with the next one, POSCO (005490 KS).</li>
<li>In this rebalancing, the flow impact of the addition/deletion is even more significant. So, their share price fluctuations on June 10 will likely be more substantial than last time.</li>
</ul>


Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)'s deletion seems pretty much a foregone conclusion as its average float-adjusted market cap on May 3-19 is way below the next one in line.
Shinhan Financial (055550 KS) is the one to replace Celltrion based on the numbers so far. There is close to a ₩1T gap with the next one, POSCO (005490 KS).
In this rebalancing, the flow impact of the addition/deletion is even more significant. So, their share price fluctuations on June 10 will likely be more substantial than last time.


FnGuide Top 10 Rebalancing on June 10: More Substantial Flow Impact than Last Time

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)</a> reported muted Q1 results, with revenue, operating profit, and net profit declining quarter-over-quarter. Its biosimilar products in the EU are facing price competition.</li>
<li>Celltrion has recalled its COVID-19 rapid antigen test kits in the U.S. in April, which marks its third such recall in less than two months.</li>
<li>Celltrion shares plunged 15% since I published bearish insight on the company on March 8. Bear thesis of biosimilar competition still holds good for the company.</li>
</ul>



Celltrion Inc (068270 KS) reported muted Q1 results, with revenue, operating profit, and net profit declining quarter-over-quarter. Its biosimilar products in the EU are facing price competition.
Celltrion has recalled its COVID-19 rapid antigen test kits in the U.S. in April, which marks its third such recall in less than two months.
Celltrion shares plunged 15% since I published bearish insight on the company on March 8. Bear thesis of biosimilar competition still holds good for the company.


Celltrion (068270 KS): Muted Q1 2022 Performance Reflects Continuing Biosimilars Pricing Pressure

<ul>
<li>The FnGuide Top 10 (TIGER ETF) currently has an AUM of ₩1.18T, and the next rebalancing will be on June 13, and the rebalancing trading on June 10.</li>
<li>If we perform the screening based on the current stock prices and the FnGuide-concluded index float rates, the possibility that Shinhan Financial will replace Celltrion is relatively high.</li>
<li>If Shinhan replaces Celltrion, the passive flow size seems more significant than the previous rebalancing. Shinhan will face a passive inflow of 1.17x ADTV, while Celltrion will face -0.61x ADTV.</li>
</ul>


The FnGuide Top 10 (TIGER ETF) currently has an AUM of ₩1.18T, and the next rebalancing will be on June 13, and the rebalancing trading on June 10.
If we perform the screening based on the current stock prices and the FnGuide-concluded index float rates, the possibility that Shinhan Financial will replace Celltrion is relatively high.
If Shinhan replaces Celltrion, the passive flow size seems more significant than the previous rebalancing. Shinhan will face a passive inflow of 1.17x ADTV, while Celltrion will face -0.61x ADTV.


FnGuide Top 10 (TIGER ETF) Rebalancing Preview: Shinhan Financial IN & Celltrion OUT

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

JD.com Inc (ADR) / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>Placements were back with a bang this week with multiple blocks across the region. All eyes will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> in the coming week.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/farm-fresh-berhad" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34617:1" rel="noopener">Farm Fresh Berhad (FF MY)</a>'s IPO got off to a good start, while Hong Kong IPOs continue to be lackluster.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
Placements were back with a bang this week with multiple blocks across the region. All eyes will be on JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) in the coming week.

Farm Fresh Berhad (FF MY)'s IPO got off to a good start, while Hong Kong IPOs continue to be lackluster.


ECM Weekly (27th Mar 2022) - JD, Tencent, Prosus, Ferretti, Recbio, Nomura, Navi, Samsung, Celltrion

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>After the market close today, it was announced that ION Investment will partially sell its stakes in Celltrion and Celltrion Healthcare for about 560 billion won in a block deal.</li>
<li>The block deal price ranges are at 6 to 9 percent discount to current prices of Celltrion and Celltrion Healthcare.</li>
<li>We would take this take this deal due to settling of the accounting issue, more reasonable valuations, and sizeable block deal discount range. </li>
</ul>


After the market close today, it was announced that ION Investment will partially sell its stakes in Celltrion and Celltrion Healthcare for about 560 billion won in a block deal.
The block deal price ranges are at 6 to 9 percent discount to current prices of Celltrion and Celltrion Healthcare.
We would take this take this deal due to settling of the accounting issue, more reasonable valuations, and sizeable block deal discount range. 


Block Deal Sale of Celltrion & Celltrion Healthcare by ION Investment

South Korea

Celltrion Inc. produces and sells biosimilar products and also provides consignm ent processing service for other companies.  The Company's main product is Abata cept which is for arthritis treatment

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Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)

FnGuide Top 10 Rebalancing on June 10: More Substantial Flow Impact than Last Time

This post looks at the current status of the FnGuide Top 10 Index rebalancing as we are halfway through the completion of the review period.

Sanghyun Park

Celltrion (068270 KS): Muted Q1 2022 Performance Reflects Continuing Biosimilars Pricing Pressure

Celltrion reported weak Q1 results, with its operating and net profit declining y/y as well as q/q. Biosimilar selling price continues to erode due...

Tina Banerjee

FnGuide Top 10 (TIGER ETF) Rebalancing Preview: Shinhan Financial IN & Celltrion OUT

This post previews the semi-annual rebalancing of the FnGuide Top 10 Theme Index (TIGER ETF), which will occur on June 10.

Sanghyun Park

ECM Weekly (27th Mar 2022) - JD, Tencent, Prosus, Ferretti, Recbio, Nomura, Navi, Samsung, Celltrion

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Block Deal Sale of Celltrion & Celltrion Healthcare by ION Investment

It was announced that ION Investment will partially sell its stakes in Celltrion and Celltrion Healthcare for about 560 billion won in a block...

Douglas Kim

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