Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

Zydus Lifesciences Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zydus-lifesciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12914:1" rel="noopener">Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN)</a> earns more than 40% revenue from the U.S. This business is under continued pricing pressure, which is squeezing the gross profit margin of the company.</li>
<li>The company has received approval for COVID-19 vaccine in India, which seems to have limited visibility and revenue potential, amid competition and uncertain COVID-19 outlook.  </li>
<li>Zydus has launched one new drug and received approval for another in India. However, its innovation portfolio has to go a long way to become a significant growth contributor.</li>
</ul>



Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN) earns more than 40% revenue from the U.S. This business is under continued pricing pressure, which is squeezing the gross profit margin of the company.
The company has received approval for COVID-19 vaccine in India, which seems to have limited visibility and revenue potential, amid competition and uncertain COVID-19 outlook.  
Zydus has launched one new drug and received approval for another in India. However, its innovation portfolio has to go a long way to become a significant growth contributor.


Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIF IN): U.S. Business Is Cloudy; Innovative Portfolio Has A Long Way To Go

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Two-Thirds of the way through the review period, we see 7 stocks migrating from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks from LargeCap to MidCap, and 1 new listing added to LargeCap.</li>
<li>Post listing, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/life-insurance-corp-of-india-lic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28829:1" rel="noopener">Life Insurance Corp of India (LIC) (1248Z IN)</a> should be added to the LargeCap segment while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delhivery-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33471:1" rel="noopener">Delhivery (1058656D IN)</a> should be added to the MidCap segment.</li>
<li>On average, stocks expected to migrate from Mid Cap to Large Cap have outperformed. Stocks expected to migrate from the Large Cap to Mid Cap segment have performed the worst.</li>
</ul>


Two-Thirds of the way through the review period, we see 7 stocks migrating from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks from LargeCap to MidCap, and 1 new listing added to LargeCap.
Post listing, Life Insurance Corp of India (LIC) (1248Z IN) should be added to the LargeCap segment while Delhivery (1058656D IN) should be added to the MidCap segment.
On average, stocks expected to migrate from Mid Cap to Large Cap have outperformed. Stocks expected to migrate from the Large Cap to Mid Cap segment have performed the worst.


India: Preview of Stock Reclassification for Active Funds

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aurobindo-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19974:1" rel="noopener">Aurobindo Pharma (ARBP IN)</a> shares have corrected more than 40% from peak and are trading at discount to peers. The company’s U.S. business is under pressure, resulting in deteriorating profitability.</li>
<li>We are not seeing any immediate respite in the U.S. formulation business. Hence, investors can avoid Aurobindo Pharma shares.  </li>
<li>However, value unlocking through stake sale in injectable business can be a near-term catalyst, resulting in relief rally in the stock.</li>
</ul>



Aurobindo Pharma (ARBP IN) shares have corrected more than 40% from peak and are trading at discount to peers. The company’s U.S. business is under pressure, resulting in deteriorating profitability.
We are not seeing any immediate respite in the U.S. formulation business. Hence, investors can avoid Aurobindo Pharma shares.  
However, value unlocking through stake sale in injectable business can be a near-term catalyst, resulting in relief rally in the stock.


Aurobindo Pharma (ARBP IN): Pain Continues in the U.S. Formulation Business

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<p>Cadila Healthcare (CDH) delivered lower-than-expected 3QFY22 earnings, weighed by lower Domestic Formulation (DF) / US / EM sales and increased operational costs. CDH continues its effort to build the product pipeline and niche launches (including g-Revlimid) for the US market. Even innovation-led products are advancing well in the respective clinical stages of development.</p><div><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Cadila Healthcare (CDH) delivered lower-than-expected 3QFY22 earnings, weighed by lower Domestic Formulation (DF) / US / EM sales and increased operational costs. CDH continues its effort to build the product pipeline and niche launches (including g-Revlimid) for the US market. Even innovation-led products are advancing well in the respective clinical stages of development.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Miss in 3Q; US / higher RM costs drag down earnings

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Prabhudas Lilladhar

Prabhudas Lilladhar

<p>trial of the vaccine on 28,000 volunteers, including 1400 subjects in the age group of 12-17 age group. With favorable and acceptable safety profile, the approval was unique as it allows ZyCoV-D to be administered (first time in India) with adolescent age group (12-17 yrs) along with adult population (18 yrs and above). CDH also applied for 2-dose vaccine which may take another 1-2 months for expert group of DCGI to evaluate its efficacy profile data. Thermo-stability (2-8degree temp. for storage) of the vaccine helps in easing storage and transportation costs.</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

trial of the vaccine on 28,000 volunteers, including 1400 subjects in the age group of 12-17 age group. With favorable and acceptable safety profile, the approval was unique as it allows ZyCoV-D to be administered (first time in India) with adolescent age group (12-17 yrs) along with adult population (18 yrs and above). CDH also applied for 2-dose vaccine which may take another 1-2 months for expert group of DCGI to evaluate its efficacy profile data. Thermo-stability (2-8degree temp. for storage) of the vaccine helps in easing storage and transportation costs.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Event Update - ZyCoV-D vaccine approved in increasingly competitive domestic market - BUY

India

Cadila Healthcare Ltd. manufactures, and markets healthcare solutions ranging from formulations, active pharmaceutical ingredients, vaccines, diagnostics, health and dietetic foods, animal healthcare to cosmeceuticals.  The Company's products are available in tablets, capsules, injections, liquids, dry syrups, powders, granules, and ointments.

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Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN)

Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIF IN): U.S. Business Is Cloudy; Innovative Portfolio Has A Long Way To Go

Despite launching India’s first NCE in 2013, Zydus is still predominantly a generic pharma company. Its U.S. generic business is reeling under...

Tina Banerjee

India: Preview of Stock Reclassification for Active Funds

Two-thirds of the way through the review period, we see quite a few changes to the Large/Mid/Small Cap classification for Indian stocks. The upward...

Brian Freitas

Aurobindo Pharma (ARBP IN): Pain Continues in the U.S. Formulation Business

Aurobindo’s U.S. formulation business is witnessing price erosion, which is impacting the revenue and margin. However, value unlocking in...

Tina Banerjee

Miss in 3Q; US / higher RM costs drag down earnings

Cadila Healthcare (CDH) delivered lower-than-expected 3QFY22 earnings, weighed by lower Domestic Formulation (DF) / US / EM sales and increased...

Motilal Oswal

Event Update - ZyCoV-D vaccine approved in increasingly competitive domestic market - BUY

trial of the vaccine on 28,000 volunteers, including 1400 subjects in the age group of 12-17 age group. With favorable and acceptable safety...

Prabhudas Lilladhar

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