Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mankind-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36389:1" rel="noopener">Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN)</a>, India’s fourth largest pharmaceutical company, has filed DRHP for INR55B IPO, which is comprised of an OFS of 40M shares by promoters and existing investors.  </li>
<li>Mankind has 36 pharma brands that have each achieved annual revenue of more than INR500M. 18 of its brands are among 300 top selling brands of the Indian pharma market.</li>
<li>During FY20–22, domestic sales of Mankind had a CAGR of ~16%, which is ~1.5 times that of the Indian pharma market, which grew at a CAGR of ~11%.</li>
</ul>



Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN), India’s fourth largest pharmaceutical company, has filed DRHP for INR55B IPO, which is comprised of an OFS of 40M shares by promoters and existing investors.  
Mankind has 36 pharma brands that have each achieved annual revenue of more than INR500M. 18 of its brands are among 300 top selling brands of the Indian pharma market.
During FY20–22, domestic sales of Mankind had a CAGR of ~16%, which is ~1.5 times that of the Indian pharma market, which grew at a CAGR of ~11%.


Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN) Pre-IPO: Solid India-Centric Growth Story Fueled by Marquee Brands

Equity Bottom-Up

Zydus Lifesciences Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In Q2FY23, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zydus-lifesciences-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12914:1" rel="noopener">Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN)</a> recorded 16% y/y and 10% q/q growth in the U.S. formulation business, mainly driven by new launches including gRevlimid.</li>
<li>India formulation business continued to progress well, with market share gain in key therapies including cardiovascular, gynecology, respiratory, and gastro intestinal on a y/y basis.</li>
<li>Zydus remains confident to achieve 20% plus EBITDA margin for the current fiscal, backed by growth visibility across key businesses, coupled with various cost optimization initiatives.</li>
</ul>


In Q2FY23, Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN) recorded 16% y/y and 10% q/q growth in the U.S. formulation business, mainly driven by new launches including gRevlimid.
India formulation business continued to progress well, with market share gain in key therapies including cardiovascular, gynecology, respiratory, and gastro intestinal on a y/y basis.
Zydus remains confident to achieve 20% plus EBITDA margin for the current fiscal, backed by growth visibility across key businesses, coupled with various cost optimization initiatives.


Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIF IN): New Launches Aid US Business; India Business Continued to Progress

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lotus-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20568:1" rel="noopener">Lotus Pharmaceutical (1795 TT)</a> reported record high quarterly revenue in 3Q22, majorly driven by the successful launch of oncology drug Lenalidomide in the US, which is its biggest ever launch.</li>
<li>Gross margin expanded to 67.9% in Q3 2022 from 45.3% in Q3 2021 and 47.4% Q2 2022, driven by increasing contribution from high-margin export business.</li>
<li>Exceeding the expectation, the company reported historic high third quarter EPS of NT$7.97 for Q3 2022, versus NT$1.34 in Q3 2021.</li>
</ul>



Lotus Pharmaceutical (1795 TT) reported record high quarterly revenue in 3Q22, majorly driven by the successful launch of oncology drug Lenalidomide in the US, which is its biggest ever launch.
Gross margin expanded to 67.9% in Q3 2022 from 45.3% in Q3 2021 and 47.4% Q2 2022, driven by increasing contribution from high-margin export business.
Exceeding the expectation, the company reported historic high third quarter EPS of NT$7.97 for Q3 2022, versus NT$1.34 in Q3 2021.


Lotus Pharmaceutical (1795 TT): 3Q22 Review- Best-Ever Quarter, Aided by Oncology Drug Launch in US

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ex US ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The bear market rally we have discussed since our Sept. 29 Int'l Compass has managed to surpass our price targets, which were the YTD downtrends on the ACWX-US and EFA-US.</li>
<li>As you will see below, many countries are reversing topside their 6.5-month to YTD downtrends.</li>
<li>As a result of these bullish reversals and breakdowns on the US dollar (DXY) and 10-year Treasury yield, we are upgrading our outlook to neutral. Buy on pullbacks.</li>
</ul>


The bear market rally we have discussed since our Sept. 29 Int'l Compass has managed to surpass our price targets, which were the YTD downtrends on the ACWX-US and EFA-US.
As you will see below, many countries are reversing topside their 6.5-month to YTD downtrends.
As a result of these bullish reversals and breakdowns on the US dollar (DXY) and 10-year Treasury yield, we are upgrading our outlook to neutral. Buy on pullbacks.


Positive Character Changes; MSCI ACWI Ex-US, EAFE, STOXX 50, Countless Others Reversing Downtrends

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cipla-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3918:1" rel="noopener">Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN)</a> is a strong play in Indian generic pharmaceutical industry, due to its niche and differentiated respiratory and peptide injectable portfolio, which has less competition.</li>
<li>The company has launched couple of complex respiratory products in the US market, which has accelerated its revenue growth. Multiple high-value launches are also lined up for this year.</li>
<li>Cipla’s India business is on a strong footing, led by core portfolio tailwind in prescription and trade generics businesses. Q2FY23 marked the sixth consecutive quarter of market beating growth.</li>
</ul>



Cipla Ltd (CIPLA IN) is a strong play in Indian generic pharmaceutical industry, due to its niche and differentiated respiratory and peptide injectable portfolio, which has less competition.
The company has launched couple of complex respiratory products in the US market, which has accelerated its revenue growth. Multiple high-value launches are also lined up for this year.
Cipla’s India business is on a strong footing, led by core portfolio tailwind in prescription and trade generics businesses. Q2FY23 marked the sixth consecutive quarter of market beating growth.


2023 High Conviction Idea: Cipla (CIPLA IN)- Complex Generics and India Business to Drive Growth

India

Cadila Healthcare Ltd. manufactures, and markets healthcare solutions ranging from formulations, active pharmaceutical ingredients, vaccines, diagnostics, health and dietetic foods, animal healthcare to cosmeceuticals.  The Company's products are available in tablets, capsules, injections, liquids, dry syrups, powders, granules, and ointments.

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Zydus Lifesciences Ltd (ZYDUSLIF IN)

Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN) Pre-IPO: Solid India-Centric Growth Story Fueled by Marquee Brands

Mankind Pharma has filed for INR55B IPO, which can be the second largest among Indian healthcare companies. Strong brand positioning is the key...

Tina Banerjee

Zydus Lifesciences (ZYDUSLIF IN): New Launches Aid US Business; India Business Continued to Progress

Zydus launched 10 new products in the US, including gRevlimid in Q2FY23. India formulation business outpaced the broader market growth. The company...

Tina Banerjee

Lotus Pharmaceutical (1795 TT): 3Q22 Review- Best-Ever Quarter, Aided by Oncology Drug Launch in US

In 3Q22, Lotus recorded 76% y/y and 85% q/q to NT$5.389 billion, driven by US launch of Lenalidomide capsules. Going ahead, growth will be mainly...

Tina Banerjee

Positive Character Changes; MSCI ACWI Ex-US, EAFE, STOXX 50, Countless Others Reversing Downtrends

MSCI ACWI ex-US $ACWX and EAFE $EFA reversing their YTD downtrends, with countless other countries doing the same. This is a clear character...

Vermilion Research

2023 High Conviction Idea: Cipla (CIPLA IN)- Complex Generics and India Business to Drive Growth

Cipla is a strong play on Indian pharma. Riding on a differentiated product portfolio and new launches gaining market share, Cipla is well...

Tina Banerjee

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