External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Apple reported a FY1Q (CY4Q22) with EPS of US$1.88 (-10% YoY) and revenue of US$117.2bn (-5% YoY), which are 3.1% and 3.3% below consensus, largely due to weak macro and iPhone 14 Pro/Max supply chain constraints on COVID-19 in China.</li><li>Looking into FY2Q23, mgmt. expected revenue to perform similarly to FY1Q23 (-5% YoY) with iPhone to accelerate and Mac/iPad to decline double digit YoY.</li><li>Given the challenging revenue outlook, we expect near-term profit taking on slower iPhone/Mac/iPad, but we remain positive on Apple supply chain over Android camp in 2H23E, given iPhone replacement cycle and share gain from Samsung/Android camp. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Apple reported a FY1Q (CY4Q22) with EPS of US$1.88 (-10% YoY) and revenue of US$117.2bn (-5% YoY), which are 3.1% and 3.3% below consensus, largely due to weak macro and iPhone 14 Pro/Max supply chain constraints on COVID-19 in China.Looking into FY2Q23, mgmt. expected revenue to perform similarly to FY1Q23 (-5% YoY) with iPhone to accelerate and Mac/iPad to decline double digit YoY.Given the challenging revenue outlook, we expect near-term profit taking on slower iPhone/Mac/iPad, but we remain positive on Apple supply chain over Android camp in 2H23E, given iPhone replacement cycle and share gain from Samsung/Android camp. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology Sector – Apple FY1Q23 Miss on Macro and Supply Chain Issues

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>2023 gameplan remains unchanged; we see limited upside from here for ACWI-US, and we expect a rangebound year of trading on ACWI-US with $93 capping upside and $75-77 capping downside</li>
<li>We also remain overweight Europe/UK, we want to add exposure on pullbacks to China/Hong Kong/EM, and overweight non-U.S. equities (MSCI ACWI ex-US) relative to MSCI ACWI</li>
<li>We highlight buy ideas within Technology, Communications, and Consumer Discretionary. The UK/Europe and Hong Kong/China continue to make up the majority of our buy recommendations</li>
</ul>


2023 gameplan remains unchanged; we see limited upside from here for ACWI-US, and we expect a rangebound year of trading on ACWI-US with $93 capping upside and $75-77 capping downside
We also remain overweight Europe/UK, we want to add exposure on pullbacks to China/Hong Kong/EM, and overweight non-U.S. equities (MSCI ACWI ex-US) relative to MSCI ACWI
We highlight buy ideas within Technology, Communications, and Consumer Discretionary. The UK/Europe and Hong Kong/China continue to make up the majority of our buy recommendations


Major Top on U.S. Dollar; Overweight Non-U.S. And Europe/UK; Buys in Tech, Comm., Discretionary

<ul><li>IDC released 4Q22 global smartphone shipment with 18% YoY decline (vs -9.3% in 3Q22), mainly due to weak consumer demand, rising inflation and China COVID-19 impact.</li><li>For 2022, global smartphone shipment fell 11% YoY to 1.21bn unit, marking the lowest annual shipment since 2013.</li><li>By brand, Apple/ Samsung/Xiaomi/Oppo/Vivo declined 15%/16%/26%/16%/19% YoY in 4Q22.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

IDC released 4Q22 global smartphone shipment with 18% YoY decline (vs -9.3% in 3Q22), mainly due to weak consumer demand, rising inflation and China COVID-19 impact.For 2022, global smartphone shipment fell 11% YoY to 1.21bn unit, marking the lowest annual shipment since 2013.By brand, Apple/ Samsung/Xiaomi/Oppo/Vivo declined 15%/16%/26%/16%/19% YoY in 4Q22.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology - 4Q22 Global Smartphone Shipment Down 18% YoY

<ul><li>Apple supply chain was under pressure (Luxshare/BYDE/Sunny Optical/Cowell) yesterday following report of order cuts for AirPods, Watch and MacBooks in 1Q23E due to a softer consumer backdrop.</li><li>While we are not surprised by order correction after a soft holiday season in Dec, we believe Apple supply chain will remain volatile in near term amid rising uncertainties on 1Q23 outlook and profit taking pressure after 30%+ rally since Nov.</li><li>We recommend to stay on the sidelines until more visibility on Apple’s earnings on 26 Jan. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Apple supply chain was under pressure (Luxshare/BYDE/Sunny Optical/Cowell) yesterday following report of order cuts for AirPods, Watch and MacBooks in 1Q23E due to a softer consumer backdrop.While we are not surprised by order correction after a soft holiday season in Dec, we believe Apple supply chain will remain volatile in near term amid rising uncertainties on 1Q23 outlook and profit taking pressure after 30%+ rally since Nov.We recommend to stay on the sidelines until more visibility on Apple’s earnings on 26 Jan. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Limited Surprise on Apple Order Cut

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We hosted an investor call with BYDE during our Corporate Day on 29 Nov.</li><li>Mmgt. guided 4Q revenue to grow QoQ backed by strong demand from Apple’s products, automobile and new smart products, while 4Q GPM will improve QoQ on better product mix and improving utilization (Android capacity converted into auto biz).</li><li>Looking into 2023, despite muted outlook on Android business, major growth drivers will come from 1) Apple share gain in OEM/components (ipad/ iphone/watch), 2) automobile segment expansion and 3) residential energy storage.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We hosted an investor call with BYDE during our Corporate Day on 29 Nov.Mmgt. guided 4Q revenue to grow QoQ backed by strong demand from Apple’s products, automobile and new smart products, while 4Q GPM will improve QoQ on better product mix and improving utilization (Android capacity converted into auto biz).Looking into 2023, despite muted outlook on Android business, major growth drivers will come from 1) Apple share gain in OEM/components (ipad/ iphone/watch), 2) automobile segment expansion and 3) residential energy storage.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BYDE (285 HK) – Corp Day Takeaways: 4Q Recovery to Continue

China

ZTE Corporation develops and markets switches, access servers, videoconferencing systems, mobile communication systems, data communication devices, and optical communication devices.  The Company also offers networking solutions for setup, refurbishment and optimization of networks.

Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. researches, develops, and distributes fiber optic components.

Yealink Network Technology Corporation Limited operates as a communication equipment manufacturer. The Company provides telephones, unified communication terminals, video conferencing systems, conference phones, and other accessories. Yealink Network Technology serves customers worldwide.

Yealink Network Technology Cor (300628 CH)

Hengtong Optic-electric Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes optical fiber and optical cables.

Guangzhou Haige Communications Group Inc Co develops and provides communication products and services.  The Company's products and services include digital communication system, internet communication system, and global positioning system navigation receiver.

Guangzhou Haige Cmncts Grp Inc Co (002465 CH)

China Zhenhua (Group) Science & Technology Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and markets electronic components, telecommunication equipment, and electric machines. The Company produces capacitors, integrated circuits, electric resistors, wireless phones, visual phones, and other products. China Zhenhua (Group) Science & Technology also invests in real estate businesses.

China Zhenhua (Group) Science & Tech (000733 CH)

Fiberhome Telecommunication Technologies Co., Ltd. designs and manufactures telecommunication products.  The Company's products include Integrated Broadband Access Systems (IBAS), fiber optics, fiber cables, wires, and products used in the DWDM (Dense Wavelength Division Multiplexing) systems.

Shenzhen Sunway Communication Co., Ltd is mainly engaged in the development, production, marketing and technical support of mobile terminal antenna systems. The company's core products mobile terminal antennas can be applied in portable communications equipment such as mobile phones, laptops and netbooks.

Beijing BDStar Navigation Co., Ltd. provides the location-based system integration, satellite navigation and positioning products and location-based information services.

Beijing Bdstar Navigation Co, Ltd. (002151 CH)

GCI Science & Technology Company Limited develops, designs, sells electronic and information products and provides related services. The Company's main products are communication system and integrated network engineering, network covering equipments, network access equipment and communication systems and equipments.

Ubiquiti Inc. provides wireless networking products and solutions. The Company offers radios, antennas, and management tools that have been designed to deliver carrier class performance for wireless networking and other applications in the unlicensed radio frequency. Ubiquiti operates in the State of New York.

Accton Technology Corporation researches, develops, manufactures, and markets computer network system products such as adapters, hubs, switches, routers, and bridges. The Company also manufactures network computers and network peripheral equipment.

Juniper Networks, Inc. provides Internet infrastructure solutions for Internet service providers and other telecommunications service providers.  The Company offers network infrastructure solutions that includes IP routing, Ethernet switching, security and application acceleration solutions.

F5 Networks, Inc. provides integrated Internet traffic management solutions designed to improve the availability and performance of mission-critical Internet-based servers and applications.  The Company's software-based solutions manage, control and optimize Internet traffic and content.  F5's solutions automatically deliver Internet content for service providers and e-businesses.

Ciena Corporation develops and markets communications network platforms and software, and offers professional services.  The Company's broadband access, data and optical networking platforms, software tools, and global network services support worldwide telecom and cable/MSO services providers, and enterprise and government networks.

EchoStar Corporation manufactures broadcast satellite receivers and antennas, and offers commercial satellite services.

ITI Limited manufactures telecommunications products, including electronic switching equipment, telephones and related devices, digital radio, open wire bags, optical fiber equipment and digital exchanges.   The Group's customers include defense, railways and oil companies.

InterDigital, Inc. develops technology for advanced digital wireless telecommunications applications.  The Company offers both time division multiple access and wide band code division multiple access proprietary and standards compliant digital wireless technology to customers, licensees, and companies.

Lumentum Holdings Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, supplies optical and photonic products. Lumentum Holdings serves data communications and telecommunications, networking, and life-sciences markets worldwide.

Wistron NeWeb Corporation manufactures wireless communication systems.  The Company's products include satellite communication, wireless networking, embedded antenna, and mobile handset products.

BYD Electronic International Co., Ltd. researches, develops, manufactures handset components such as handset casings and handset keypads and modules for handset manufacturers.  The Company also provides assembly services comprising assembly service and PCB assembly service to global handset manufacturers.

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BYD Electronics (285 HK)

China Technology Sector – Apple FY1Q23 Miss on Macro and Supply Chain Issues

Apple reported a FY1Q (CY4Q22) with EPS of US$1.88 (-10% YoY) and revenue of US$117.2bn (-5% YoY), which are 3.1% and 3.3% below consensus

CMB International

Major Top on U.S. Dollar; Overweight Non-U.S. And Europe/UK; Buys in Tech, Comm., Discretionary

The $DXY broke below 5-year support at $103, signaling a major top in place. This is bullish for risk assets, and is another sign suggesting the...

Vermilion Research

China Technology - 4Q22 Global Smartphone Shipment Down 18% YoY

IDC released 4Q22 global smartphone shipment with 18% YoY decline (vs -9.3% in 3Q22), mainly due to weak consumer demand, rising inflation and...

CMB International

China Technology – Limited Surprise on Apple Order Cut

Apple supply chain was under pressure (Luxshare/BYDE/Sunny Optical/Cowell) yesterday following report of order cuts for AirPods, Watch and MacBooks...

CMB International

BYDE (285 HK) – Corp Day Takeaways: 4Q Recovery to Continue

We hosted an investor call with BYDE during our Corporate Day on 29 Nov. Mmgt. guided 4Q revenue to grow QoQ backed by strong demand from Apple’s...

CMB International

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