External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>2Q23 global smartphone shipment posted 7.8% YoY decline, which narrowed from -14.6%/-18.3% YoY in 1Q23/4Q22, based on IDC.</li><li>Despite shipment weakness in 1H23, inventory level started to normalize in 2Q23, and we expect supply chain restocking will lead to positive YoY growth in 4Q23E.</li><li>In particular, China market outperformed in 2Q23 with -2.1% YoY (vs. -12.1%/-12.8% YoY in 1Q23/ 4Q22).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

2Q23 global smartphone shipment posted 7.8% YoY decline, which narrowed from -14.6%/-18.3% YoY in 1Q23/4Q22, based on IDC.Despite shipment weakness in 1H23, inventory level started to normalize in 2Q23, and we expect supply chain restocking will lead to positive YoY growth in 4Q23E.In particular, China market outperformed in 2Q23 with -2.1% YoY (vs. -12.1%/-12.8% YoY in 1Q23/ 4Q22).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – 2Q23 Global Smartphone Shipment Decline Narrowed

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We upgrade BYDE from Hold to BUY with new TP of HK$31.67, since we believe BYDE will deliver faster-than-expected NPM improvement from 2.7% in 2023E to 2.9%/3.1% in FY24/25E, backed by stabilized Android business, Apple share gain, fast-growing NEV/new intelligent products and improving utilization.</li><li>BYDE’s upbeat 1H23 NP preannouncement of 115-146% YoY growth is also 26%/27% above our/consensus estimates, due to better margin and faster business development.</li><li>We raised FY23-25E EPS by 11-13% to reflect 1H23 results and better GPM recovery. Our new SOTP-based TP of HK$31.67 implied 17.9x FY23E P/E. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We upgrade BYDE from Hold to BUY with new TP of HK$31.67, since we believe BYDE will deliver faster-than-expected NPM improvement from 2.7% in 2023E to 2.9%/3.1% in FY24/25E, backed by stabilized Android business, Apple share gain, fast-growing NEV/new intelligent products and improving utilization.BYDE’s upbeat 1H23 NP preannouncement of 115-146% YoY growth is also 26%/27% above our/consensus estimates, due to better margin and faster business development.We raised FY23-25E EPS by 11-13% to reflect 1H23 results and better GPM recovery. Our new SOTP-based TP of HK$31.67 implied 17.9x FY23E P/E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BYDE (285 HK) – Clear Path to Margin Recovery; Upgrade to BUY

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng has announced the conclusions of the market consultation. Primary-listed foreign stocks will be eligible for inclusion in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI INDEX</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH INDEX</a> from the December rebalance.</li>
<li>The coming week has the rebalances for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank Index</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">SENSEX Index</a> as a result of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank</a> merger.</li>
<li>There were inflows to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK)</a> and outflows from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK)</a> during the week.</li>
</ul>


Hang Seng has announced the conclusions of the market consultation. Primary-listed foreign stocks will be eligible for inclusion in the HSI INDEX and HSTECH INDEX from the December rebalance.
The coming week has the rebalances for the NIFTY Index, Nifty Next 50 Index, Nifty Bank Index and SENSEX Index as a result of the HDFC Limited/ HDFC Bank merger.
There were inflows to Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK) and outflows from Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK) during the week.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCI, HSCEI, HSI, CSI300, CSI500, SSE50, HDFC Bank, Sensex

<ul>
<li>The June rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a> indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights at 8%. This will lead to large flows.</li>
<li>The largest inflows will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-mining-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6358:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Mining (2899 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-a55ca720-5968-48f0-8194-ac94390d065c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trip-com-group-ltd-23a341d0-4f63-4175-a8c5-ee990906cacd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36424:1" rel="noopener">Trip.com (9961 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-logistics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31500:1" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (2618 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>The largest outflows will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hsbc-holdings-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:516:1" rel="noopener">HSBC Holdings (5 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-kuaishou-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-construction-bank-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45:1" rel="noopener">China Construction Bank H (939 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netease" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29030:1" rel="noopener">NetEase (9999 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The June rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI and HSTECH indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights at 8%. This will lead to large flows.
The largest inflows will be on Meituan (3690 HK), JD.com (9618 HK), Zijin Mining (2899 HK), Baidu (9888 HK), Trip.com (9961 HK) and JD Logistics (2618 HK). 
The largest outflows will be on HSBC Holdings (5 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK), Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK), China Construction Bank H (939 HK) and NetEase (9999 HK). 


HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: Rebalance Flows Post Capping (June 2023)

<ul><li>Apple reported FY2Q23 (CY1Q23) with EPS of US$1.53 (-1% YoY) and revenue of US$94.8bn (-3% YoY), which are 7% and 2% above consensus, mainly driven by strong iPhone sales in emerging markets and record revenue from Service, partially offset by FX headwinds and weak macro on Mac/iPad sales.</li><li>Looking into FY3Q23E, mgmt. expects revenue to perform similarly to FY2Q23 with macro/FX pressure.</li><li>Given resilient outlook and iPhone’s share gain during industry downcycle, we remain positive on Apple supply chain over Android camp in 2H23E with upcoming catalysts from MR device launch in WWDC in June. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Apple reported FY2Q23 (CY1Q23) with EPS of US$1.53 (-1% YoY) and revenue of US$94.8bn (-3% YoY), which are 7% and 2% above consensus, mainly driven by strong iPhone sales in emerging markets and record revenue from Service, partially offset by FX headwinds and weak macro on Mac/iPad sales.Looking into FY3Q23E, mgmt. expects revenue to perform similarly to FY2Q23 with macro/FX pressure.Given resilient outlook and iPhone’s share gain during industry downcycle, we remain positive on Apple supply chain over Android camp in 2H23E with upcoming catalysts from MR device launch in WWDC in June. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology Sector – Apple FY2Q23 Beat on Strong IPhone and EM

China

BYD Electronic International Co., Ltd. researches, develops, manufactures handset components such as handset casings and handset keypads and modules for handset manufacturers.  The Company also provides assembly services comprising assembly service and PCB assembly service to global handset manufacturers.

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BYD Electronics (285 HK)

China Technology – 2Q23 Global Smartphone Shipment Decline Narrowed

2Q23 global smartphone shipment posted 7.8% YoY decline, which narrowed from -14.6%/-18.3% YoY in 1Q23/4Q22, based on IDC.

CMB International

BYDE (285 HK) – Clear Path to Margin Recovery; Upgrade to BUY

We upgrade BYDE from Hold to BUY with new TP of HK$31.67, since we believe BYDE will deliver faster-than-expected NPM improvement from 2.7% in...

CMB International

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCI, HSCEI, HSI, CSI300, CSI500, SSE50, HDFC Bank, Sensex

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH: Rebalance Flows Post Capping (June 2023)

The June rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices will use todays closing prices for capping. The one-way trade across all stocks across the...

Brian Freitas

China Technology Sector – Apple FY2Q23 Beat on Strong IPhone and EM

Apple reported FY2Q23 (CY1Q23) with EPS of US$1.53 (-1% YoY) and revenue of US$94.8bn (-3% YoY), which are 7% and 2% above consensus

CMB International

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