Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The move from 80 index constituents to 100 could take most of next year (and possibly even the year after that) to manage turnover and add profitable companies.</li>
<li>Foreign companies will be eligible for inclusion in the index from the December rebalance. That makes <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsonite-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12790:1" rel="noopener">Samsonite (1910 HK)</a> a high probability inclusion candidate.</li>
<li>We highlight 8 potential inclusions to the index with passive trading impact varying from 1.6-4.3 days of ADV. There are large shorts on some of the stocks.</li>
</ul>


The move from 80 index constituents to 100 could take most of next year (and possibly even the year after that) to manage turnover and add profitable companies.
Foreign companies will be eligible for inclusion in the index from the December rebalance. That makes Samsonite (1910 HK) a high probability inclusion candidate.
We highlight 8 potential inclusions to the index with passive trading impact varying from 1.6-4.3 days of ADV. There are large shorts on some of the stocks.


Hang Seng Index Rebalance Preview: Foreign Companies Eligible from December

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Apple reported FY4Q23 (CY3Q23) with revenue of US$89.5bn (-0.7% YoY) and EPS of US$1.46 (+13% YoY), which are in line and 5% above consensus, mainly due to a favourable product mix and better leverage, partially offset by negative FX. Looking into FY1Q24E, mgmt. expected flattish revenue YoY due to the quarter being one-week shorter and iPhone 15 supply snags, while iPhone/Mac will increase YoY and iPad/Wearables will decline significantly QoQ due to timing of product launches.</li><li>Given better-than-feared China iPhone sales in CY3Q23, we remain positive on iPhone’s gradual share gains and better mix shift towards higher-end models, and we are cautious on near-term weakness for iPad/Watch/AirPods.</li><li>For stocks, we maintain BUY on Luxshare/BYDE/FIT Hon Teng for market share gains in Apple supply chain (high-end iPhone/casing/AirPods), and stay HOLD on Sunny Optical/AAC Tech mainly for fair valuation.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Apple reported FY4Q23 (CY3Q23) with revenue of US$89.5bn (-0.7% YoY) and EPS of US$1.46 (+13% YoY), which are in line and 5% above consensus, mainly due to a favourable product mix and better leverage, partially offset by negative FX. Looking into FY1Q24E, mgmt. expected flattish revenue YoY due to the quarter being one-week shorter and iPhone 15 supply snags, while iPhone/Mac will increase YoY and iPad/Wearables will decline significantly QoQ due to timing of product launches.Given better-than-feared China iPhone sales in CY3Q23, we remain positive on iPhone’s gradual share gains and better mix shift towards higher-end models, and we are cautious on near-term weakness for iPad/Watch/AirPods.For stocks, we maintain BUY on Luxshare/BYDE/FIT Hon Teng for market share gains in Apple supply chain (high-end iPhone/casing/AirPods), and stay HOLD on Sunny Optical/AAC Tech mainly for fair valuation.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology Sector – Apple FY4Q23 Beat on Margins

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Huawei / In Depth: Huawei’s EV partnership yields unexpected hit</li><li>Li Keqiang /: Reflecting on Li Keqiang’s visits to Hong Kong: Savoring sweet soup, speaking English, and respecting the market</li><li>Bonds /: Chinese local governments rush to launch infrastructure projects to tap into $137 billion of sovereign bonds</li></ul>

Huawei / In Depth: Huawei’s EV partnership yields unexpected hitLi Keqiang /: Reflecting on Li Keqiang’s visits to Hong Kong: Savoring sweet soup, speaking English, and respecting the marketBonds /: Chinese local governments rush to launch infrastructure projects to tap into $137 billion of sovereign bonds

CX Daily: Huawei’s EV Partnership Yields Unexpected Hit 

<ul><li>Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Oct 2023 sales volumes on 1 Nov 2023.</li><li>Sales volume of the 11 automakers combined rose 54% YoY (ranging from -33% to +302%) and 6% MoM (ranging from -20% to 112%) in Oct.</li><li>Seven out of the 11 automakers posted their all-time high sales volume in Oct.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Oct 2023 sales volumes on 1 Nov 2023.Sales volume of the 11 automakers combined rose 54% YoY (ranging from -33% to +302%) and 6% MoM (ranging from -20% to 112%) in Oct.Seven out of the 11 automakers posted their all-time high sales volume in Oct.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – NEV sales push at month-end leads to Oct beat

<ul>
<li>Texas Instruments (TI) reported in-line 3Q23 results but weaker 4Q23 guidance.</li>
<li>3Q revenue declined 14% YoY to US$4.5bn and EPS dropped 25% YoY, mainly due to weakness across segments except auto business.</li>
<li>Looking into 4Q23E, mgmt. expects industrial segment weakness to broaden and post-pandemic recovery in China is weaker-than-expected, while automotive growth will continue. </li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


Texas Instruments (TI) reported in-line 3Q23 results but weaker 4Q23 guidance.
3Q revenue declined 14% YoY to US$4.5bn and EPS dropped 25% YoY, mainly due to weakness across segments except auto business.
Looking into 4Q23E, mgmt. expects industrial segment weakness to broaden and post-pandemic recovery in China is weaker-than-expected, while automotive growth will continue. 

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Implications of Texas Instruments 3Q23: Weaker Industrial, Destocking and Slower China Recovery

China

ZTE Corporation develops and markets switches, access servers, videoconferencing systems, mobile communication systems, data communication devices, and optical communication devices.  The Company also offers networking solutions for setup, refurbishment and optimization of networks.

Suzhou TFC Optical Communication Co., Ltd. researches, develops, and distributes fiber optic components.

Yealink Network Technology Corporation Limited operates as a communication equipment manufacturer. The Company provides telephones, unified communication terminals, video conferencing systems, conference phones, and other accessories. Yealink Network Technology serves customers worldwide.

Yealink Network Technology Cor (300628 CH)

Hengtong Optic-electric Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes optical fiber and optical cables.

Guangzhou Haige Communications Group Inc Co develops and provides communication products and services.  The Company's products and services include digital communication system, internet communication system, and global positioning system navigation receiver.

Guangzhou Haige Cmncts Grp Inc Co (002465 CH)

China Zhenhua (Group) Science & Technology Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and markets electronic components, telecommunication equipment, and electric machines. The Company produces capacitors, integrated circuits, electric resistors, wireless phones, visual phones, and other products. China Zhenhua (Group) Science & Technology also invests in real estate businesses.

China Zhenhua (Group) Science & Tech (000733 CH)

Fiberhome Telecommunication Technologies Co., Ltd. designs and manufactures telecommunication products.  The Company's products include Integrated Broadband Access Systems (IBAS), fiber optics, fiber cables, wires, and products used in the DWDM (Dense Wavelength Division Multiplexing) systems.

Shenzhen Sunway Communication Co., Ltd is mainly engaged in the development, production, marketing and technical support of mobile terminal antenna systems. The company's core products mobile terminal antennas can be applied in portable communications equipment such as mobile phones, laptops and netbooks.

Beijing BDStar Navigation Co., Ltd. provides the location-based system integration, satellite navigation and positioning products and location-based information services.

Beijing Bdstar Navigation Co, Ltd. (002151 CH)

GCI Science & Technology Company Limited develops, designs, sells electronic and information products and provides related services. The Company's main products are communication system and integrated network engineering, network covering equipments, network access equipment and communication systems and equipments.

Ubiquiti Inc. provides wireless networking products and solutions. The Company offers radios, antennas, and management tools that have been designed to deliver carrier class performance for wireless networking and other applications in the unlicensed radio frequency. Ubiquiti operates in the State of New York.

Accton Technology Corporation researches, develops, manufactures, and markets computer network system products such as adapters, hubs, switches, routers, and bridges. The Company also manufactures network computers and network peripheral equipment.

Juniper Networks, Inc. provides Internet infrastructure solutions for Internet service providers and other telecommunications service providers.  The Company offers network infrastructure solutions that includes IP routing, Ethernet switching, security and application acceleration solutions.

F5 Networks, Inc. provides integrated Internet traffic management solutions designed to improve the availability and performance of mission-critical Internet-based servers and applications.  The Company's software-based solutions manage, control and optimize Internet traffic and content.  F5's solutions automatically deliver Internet content for service providers and e-businesses.

Ciena Corporation develops and markets communications network platforms and software, and offers professional services.  The Company's broadband access, data and optical networking platforms, software tools, and global network services support worldwide telecom and cable/MSO services providers, and enterprise and government networks.

EchoStar Corporation manufactures broadcast satellite receivers and antennas, and offers commercial satellite services.

ITI Limited manufactures telecommunications products, including electronic switching equipment, telephones and related devices, digital radio, open wire bags, optical fiber equipment and digital exchanges.   The Group's customers include defense, railways and oil companies.

InterDigital, Inc. develops technology for advanced digital wireless telecommunications applications.  The Company offers both time division multiple access and wide band code division multiple access proprietary and standards compliant digital wireless technology to customers, licensees, and companies.

Lumentum Holdings Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, supplies optical and photonic products. Lumentum Holdings serves data communications and telecommunications, networking, and life-sciences markets worldwide.

Wistron NeWeb Corporation manufactures wireless communication systems.  The Company's products include satellite communication, wireless networking, embedded antenna, and mobile handset products.

BYD Electronic International Co., Ltd. researches, develops, manufactures handset components such as handset casings and handset keypads and modules for handset manufacturers.  The Company also provides assembly services comprising assembly service and PCB assembly service to global handset manufacturers.

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BYD Electronics (285 HK)

Hang Seng Index Rebalance Preview: Foreign Companies Eligible from December

There are 8 trading days to the announcement of the December rebalance results. With foreign companies newly eligible, Samsonite is a high...

Brian Freitas

China Technology Sector – Apple FY4Q23 Beat on Margins

Apple reported FY4Q23 (CY3Q23) with revenue of US$89.5bn (-0.7% YoY) and EPS of US$1.46 (+13% YoY), which are in line and 5% above consensus

CMB International

CX Daily: Huawei’s EV Partnership Yields Unexpected Hit

Huawei / In Depth: Huawei’s EV partnership yields unexpected hit A new electric car co-developed by Huawei Technology Co. Ltd. and automaker Seres...

Caixin Global

China Auto Sector – NEV sales push at month-end leads to Oct beat

Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Oct 2023 sales...

CMB International

Implications of Texas Instruments 3Q23: Weaker Industrial, Destocking and Slower China Recovery

3Q revenue declined 14% YoY to US$4.5bn and EPS dropped 25% YoY, mainly due to weakness across segments except auto business.

CMB International

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