Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The new energy vehicle producers’ ranks changed a lot in April.</li>
<li>GAC began to sell batteries to outside new energy vehicle producers.</li>
<li>Kuaishou’s GMV (Gross Merchandise Value) increased by 420% YoY during the Labor Day.</li>
</ul>


The new energy vehicle producers’ ranks changed a lot in April.
GAC began to sell batteries to outside new energy vehicle producers.
Kuaishou’s GMV (Gross Merchandise Value) increased by 420% YoY during the Labor Day.


China Consumption Weekly (13 May 2024): Guangzhou Auto, NIO, CALT, Kuaishou, Trip.com, Seres

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 4.8bn of A-shares on high gross low net volume in the two days. NORTHBOUND bought Kweichow Moutai, banks, Haier Smarthome, etc.</li>
<li>HUGE week in H vs A (since the 30 April close). This may be colouring foreigner activity in As quite a bit. </li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net BUY RMB 4.8bn of A-shares on high gross low net volume in the two days. NORTHBOUND bought Kweichow Moutai, banks, Haier Smarthome, etc.
HUGE week in H vs A (since the 30 April close). This may be colouring foreigner activity in As quite a bit. 


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 10 May 2024): So-So Volumes, As Did Not Play Catchup

<ul>
<li>BYD’s revenue growth is lower than the estimate in our preview note.</li>
<li>However, the recovery of sales volume in March suggests a strong year.</li>
<li>We believe BYD will win the price war due to its homemade batteries.</li>
</ul>


BYD’s revenue growth is lower than the estimate in our preview note.
However, the recovery of sales volume in March suggests a strong year.
We believe BYD will win the price war due to its homemade batteries.


BYD (1211 HK): Low Growth in 1Q24, But March Sales and Homemade Batteries to Support a Strong Year

<ul>
<li>We believe the revenue growth will be slow in 1Q24, but it will still be rapid for the full year 2024.</li>
<li>We also believe the operating margin will hit the historical high in 1Q24, but it will be just stable for the year 2024.</li>
<li>We conclude the stock has an upside of 60% for the year end 2024. Buy.</li>
</ul>


We believe the revenue growth will be slow in 1Q24, but it will still be rapid for the full year 2024.
We also believe the operating margin will hit the historical high in 1Q24, but it will be just stable for the year 2024.
We conclude the stock has an upside of 60% for the year end 2024. Buy.


BYD (1211 HK) 1Q24 Preview: No Concern for Slow Quarter, To Achieve a Strong Year, 60% Upside

<ul>
<li>In March 2024, BYD’s Sales volume increased by 46% YoY and Li Auto’s sales volume increased by 39% YoY.</li>
<li>AliPay announced that foreigners’ consumption amount in China in March was ten times of last year.</li>
<li>Facing stagnancy and competition, Alibaba’s Taobao removed service charges from its retailers.</li>
</ul>


In March 2024, BYD’s Sales volume increased by 46% YoY and Li Auto’s sales volume increased by 39% YoY.
AliPay announced that foreigners’ consumption amount in China in March was ten times of last year.
Facing stagnancy and competition, Alibaba’s Taobao removed service charges from its retailers.


China Consumption Weekly (8 Apr 2024): BYD, Li Auto, Trip.com, Alibaba

China

BYD Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company also researches, develops, manufactures and sells batteries, which are applied on mobile phones, cordless phones, power tools and other kinds of portable electronic devices.

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BYD (1211 HK)

China Consumption Weekly (13 May 2024): Guangzhou Auto, NIO, CALT, Kuaishou, Trip.com, Seres

The NEV producers’ ranks changed a lot in April. GAC began to sell batteries to outside new energy vehicle producers. Kuaishou’s GMV increased by...

Ming Lu

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 10 May 2024): So-So Volumes, As Did Not Play Catchup

NORTHBOUND tried to rally flows to catch up to the HK move over the holiday and could not. After Monday, 3 of 4 days were outflows. Local investors...

Travis Lundy

BYD (1211 HK): Low Growth in 1Q24, But March Sales and Homemade Batteries to Support a Strong Year

BYD’s revenue growth is low. However, The recovery of sales volume in March suggests a strong year. We believe BYD will win the price war due to...

Ming Lu

BYD (1211 HK) 1Q24 Preview: No Concern for Slow Quarter, To Achieve a Strong Year, 60% Upside

We believe the revenue growth will be slow in 1Q24, but it will be still rapid for 2024. Also, the operating will hit the historical high in 1Q24,...

Ming Lu

China Consumption Weekly (8 Apr 2024): BYD, Li Auto, Trip.com, Alibaba

In March 2024, BYD’s Sales volume increased by 46% YoY and Li Auto increased by 39% YoY. AliPay announced foreigners’ consumption amount in China...

Ming Lu

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