Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Short notional in Hong Kong is HK$335bn and has been falling over the last 12 months due to a drop in the market.</li>
<li>In terms of short notional to marketcap, the Materials, Consumer Staples, Health Care, Utilities, Real Estate sectors are most shorted while the least shorted are Information Technology, Communication Services, Energy.</li>
<li>The largest shorts have been built on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xpeng-inc-4cc65854-d10c-4d20-bf7e-ca0e016715ff" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33772:1" rel="noopener">XPeng (9868)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industrial-and-commercial-bank-of-china-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1119:1" rel="noopener">ICBC (1398)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi (1810)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:872:1" rel="noopener">Link REIT (823)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wharf-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:51:1" rel="noopener">Wharf Holdings (4)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-world-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7037:1" rel="noopener">New World Development (17)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Short notional in Hong Kong is HK$335bn and has been falling over the last 12 months due to a drop in the market.
In terms of short notional to marketcap, the Materials, Consumer Staples, Health Care, Utilities, Real Estate sectors are most shorted while the least shorted are Information Technology, Communication Services, Energy.
The largest shorts have been built on BYD (1211), XPeng (9868), ICBC (1398), Xiaomi (1810), Link REIT (823), JD.com (9618), Wharf Holdings (4) and New World Development (17). 


Hong Kong: Where Could Shorts Be Covered?

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guming-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40622:1" rel="noopener">Guming Holdings (GUM HK)</a> (Guming) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Guming Holdings (Guming) is a maker of freshly-made beverages in China.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Guming Holdings (GUM HK) (Guming) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
Guming Holdings (Guming) is a maker of freshly-made beverages in China.
In this note, we will talk about the not so positive aspects of the deal.


Guming Holdings (Goodme) Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Growth Sustainability Remains a Question Mark

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>LKNCY: Luckin Coffee will launch Moutai flavored chocolate milk on next Monday, purposing at destocking(+)</li>
<li>MNSO: Takeaways from Miniso Investor Day, “IP” is the key term(+)</li>
<li>300750 CH: CATL's Shenxing Long Life took marke share from SVOLT to win NETA L series of Hozon(+)</li>
</ul>


LKNCY: Luckin Coffee will launch Moutai flavored chocolate milk on next Monday, purposing at destocking(+)
MNSO: Takeaways from Miniso Investor Day, “IP” is the key term(+)
300750 CH: CATL's Shenxing Long Life took marke share from SVOLT to win NETA L series of Hozon(+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]: LKNCY/MNSO/300750 CH/1211 HK

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guming-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40622:1" rel="noopener">Guming Holdings (GUM HK)</a> (Guming) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Guming Holdings (Guming) is a maker of freshly-made beverages in China.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Guming Holdings (GUM HK) (Guming) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
Guming Holdings (Guming) is a maker of freshly-made beverages in China.
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Guming Holdings (Goodme) Pre-IPO - The Positives - Benefited from Scaling Its Store Network

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 23.5bn of A-shares on strong average activity. Big net selling on Weds. National Team stepped in Thurs. NORTHBOUND stepped in to sell Friday.</li>
<li>Renewables were a bit more mixed this week but still a net sell by NORTHBOUND. It is not clear what stops persistent net selling. </li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 23.5bn of A-shares on strong average activity. Big net selling on Weds. National Team stepped in Thurs. NORTHBOUND stepped in to sell Friday.
Renewables were a bit more mixed this week but still a net sell by NORTHBOUND. It is not clear what stops persistent net selling. 


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 19 Jan 2024): BIG Net Sells, Again, Before National Team Buys

China

BYD Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company also researches, develops, manufactures and sells batteries, which are applied on mobile phones, cordless phones, power tools and other kinds of portable electronic devices.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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BYD (1211 HK)

Hong Kong: Where Could Shorts Be Covered?

HK Short notional HK$335bn and has been falling over the last year due to a drop in the market. There are stocks where shorts have risen over the...

Brian Freitas

Guming Holdings (Goodme) Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Growth Sustainability Remains a Question Mark

Guming Holdings (GUM HK) (Guming) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will talk about the not so positive...

Clarence Chu

[Blue Lotus Daily]: LKNCY/MNSO/300750 CH/1211 HK

Luckin Coffee will release Moutai flavored chocolate milk to reduce stock; Miniso emphasizes the importance of "IP" at Investor Day; CATL's...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Guming Holdings (Goodme) Pre-IPO - The Positives - Benefited from Scaling Its Store Network

Guming Holdings (GUM HK) (Guming) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects...

Clarence Chu

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 19 Jan 2024): BIG Net Sells, Again, Before National Team Buys

Mainland NORTHBOUND Connect saw large net selling this past week, reaching a crescendo on Wednesday, pausing on Thursday, then resuming on Friday...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Hong Kong: Where Could Shorts Be Covered?

HK Short notional HK$335bn and has been falling over the last year due to a drop in the market. There are stocks where shorts have risen over the...

Brian Freitas

Guming Holdings (Goodme) Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Growth Sustainability Remains a Question Mark

Guming Holdings (GUM HK) (Guming) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will talk about the not so positive...

Clarence Chu

[Blue Lotus Daily]: LKNCY/MNSO/300750 CH/1211 HK

​Luckin Coffee will release Moutai flavored chocolate milk to reduce stock; Miniso emphasizes the importance of "IP" at Investor Day; CATL's...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Guming Holdings (Goodme) Pre-IPO - The Positives - Benefited from Scaling Its Store Network

Guming Holdings (GUM HK) (Guming) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects...

Clarence Chu

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 19 Jan 2024): BIG Net Sells, Again, Before National Team Buys

Mainland NORTHBOUND Connect saw large net selling this past week, reaching a crescendo on Wednesday, pausing on Thursday, then resuming on Friday...

Travis Lundy

Luckin Coffee will release Moutai flavored chocolate milk to reduce stock; Miniso emphasizes the importance of "IP" at Investor Day; CATL's...