Investment Advisors, JL Warren Capital

Junheng Li

Investment Advisors

JL Warren Capital

JL Warren Capital LLC is a leading independent equity research firm focused on Chinese companies and listed multinationals in China. We employ a bottom-up research approach that takes great care to avoid the acquisition of material non-public information. Through investigative due diligence including channel surveys and interviews, our research helps clients to pinpoint the dislocations in the market.

Equity Bottom-Up

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/25485" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25485:1">Canada Goose Holdings Inc (GOOS US)</a> currently sells in China via two luxury department stores: Lane Crawford (one store in Shanghai, Beijing, and Chengdu respectively) and Galeries Lafayette (one store in Beijing).  The two combined sold ~5 mn in CAD (26 mn in RMB) in FY 2017 (ended March 31, 2017).  This number, however, underestimates the actual sales to mainland Chinese in and outside China. Due to its limited retail presence, unmet demand finds its way mostly onto the cross-border e-commerce…</p>

Canada Goose Holdings Inc (GOOS US) currently sells in China via two luxury department stores: Lane Crawford (one store in Shanghai, Beijing, and Chengdu respectively) and Galeries Lafayette (one store in Beijing).  The two combined sold ~5 mn in CAD (26 mn in RMB) in FY 2017 (ended March 31, 2017).  This number, however, underestimates the actual sales to mainland Chinese in and outside China. Due to its limited retail presence, unmet demand finds its way mostly onto the cross-border e-commerce…

A Coveted Novel Fashion Brand Calling for Expansion in China

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

<p>Bullish technicals continue to support our call to overweight EM. We highlight actionable themes, as well as pullback opportunities in Europe, European luxury/apparel, UK homebuilders, EM chemicals, Japanese chemicals, and Japanese tech stocks.</p>

Bullish technicals continue to support our call to overweight EM. We highlight actionable themes, as well as pullback opportunities in Europe, European luxury/apparel, UK homebuilders, EM chemicals, Japanese chemicals, and Japanese tech stocks.

Int'l Compass: Overweight EM; Actionable Themes in Europe and Japan

Making sense of the Global Market, Euromonitor International Ltd.

Yu Mitsuhashi

Making sense of the Global Market

Euromonitor International Ltd.

We are a global market research company focused on industries, countries, economies and consumers worldwide. Our cross-country comparable research helps your organisation identify opportunities and develop growth strategies in countries and regions across the globe. With offices around the world, 1,200 analysts in 100 countries and market research on every key trend and driver, we give you powerful access to the real story behind consumer change.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Headlines</h2><ul><li>Designer apparel and footwear (ready-to-wear) posts 2% value growth in 2016 to reach sales of JPY1,089.8 billion</li><li>Demand from the increasing number of foreign tourists remains relatively low compared to other luxury products</li><li>In 2016, women’s designer suits records the fastest growth at 7% in value terms</li><li>In 2015, global luxury brands continue to lead sales with Louis Vuitton ahead with a 12% category value share</li><li>Designer apparel and footwear (ready-to-wear) is expected to increase at a CAGR of 1% in value sales at constant 2016 prices over the forecast period to reach JPY1,171 billion in 2021</li></ul>

HeadlinesDesigner apparel and footwear (ready-to-wear) posts 2% value growth in 2016 to reach sales of JPY1,089.8 billionDemand from the increasing number of foreign tourists remains relatively low compared to other luxury productsIn 2016, women’s designer suits records the fastest growth at 7% in value termsIn 2015, global luxury brands continue to lead sales with Louis Vuitton ahead with a 12% category value shareDesigner apparel and footwear (ready-to-wear) is expected to increase at a CAGR of 1% in value sales at constant 2016 prices over the forecast period to reach JPY1,171 billion in 2021

Sector Capsule: Designer Apparel and Footwear (Ready-To-Wear) In Japan

<h2>Headlines</h2><ul>
<li>Marginal current value decline from 2015 to reach JPY3,416.8 billion in 2016</li>
<li>Women's office clothing benefits from growing number of women in the workforce</li>
<li>Women’s suits see fastest current value growth of 3% in 2016</li>
<li>Fast Retailing extends lead by half a percentage point from 2015 to reach almost 13% of value in 2016</li>
<li>8% value decline at constant 2016 prices expected for overall forecast period with sales dropping to JPY3,158.9 billion in 2021</li>
</ul><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img class="editor-image img-responsive" src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/021/796/original/market%20size%20womenswear%202011-2016.png?1488431244" data-smartkarma-image-id="21796"></figure><h2>Competitive Landscape</h2><ul><li>Fast Retailing remained…</li></ul>

Headlines
Marginal current value decline from 2015 to reach JPY3,416.8 billion in 2016
Women's office clothing benefits from growing number of women in the workforce
Women’s suits see fastest current value growth of 3% in 2016
Fast Retailing extends lead by half a percentage point from 2015 to reach almost 13% of value in 2016
8% value decline at constant 2016 prices expected for overall forecast period with sales dropping to JPY3,158.9 billion in 2021
Competitive LandscapeFast Retailing remained…

Asia Ex-J Consumer/ Transport analyst

Valerie Law, CFA

<p>It has been slightly over half a year since I joined this community, so here is a brief summary of stock calls that worked and stock calls that didn't work for me. </p><blockquote><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>But first, a note of thanks to the SK community</strong></p></blockquote><p>Besides doing an update, it is also an opportunity to thank everyone here at Smartkarma for your wonderful support (especially the Data Desk team) and collaborative work with fellow insight providers. Looking forward to a stellar year ahead together!</p><h2>Table showing IPO deals covered</h2><table class="table table-striped"><tbody>
<tr>
<td><strong>IPO</strong></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>…

It has been slightly over half a year since I joined this community, so here is a brief summary of stock calls that worked and stock calls that didn't work for me. But first, a note of thanks to the SK communityBesides doing an update, it is also an opportunity to thank everyone here at Smartkarma for your wonderful support (especially the Data Desk team) and collaborative work with fellow insight providers. Looking forward to a stellar year ahead together!Table showing IPO deals covered

IPO

…

United Kingdom

Coats Group plc manufactures industrial thread and consumer textile crafts. The Company offers value added products and services to the apparel and footwear industries, is developing products in new areas such as tracer threads, aramids and fibre optics and is extending its crafts offer into new markets and online.

Mulberry Group plc designs, manufactures and sells leather accessories, readyto-wear men's and women's clothing and an interior design collection.  The products are sold under the Mulberry brand name in the wholesale and retail markets in approximately 32 countries.  The Company sells its products through its own stores. In addition, it has a franchise operation.

Bellway p.l.c. is a holding company whose subsidiaries build residential houses and conduct associated trading activities. The subsidiaries build starter or first time buyer homes, featuring two and three bedroom semi-detached houses, apartments and terraced houses. The Company operates in England, Wales and Scotland.

Games Workshop Group Plc manufactures and retails tabletop war-game systems and associated miniatures. The Company operates approximately 250 stores and serves over 350 independent retailers in the United Kingdom. Games Workshop also has stores in North America, Continental Europe and Australia.

Crest Nicholson Holdings plc is a holding company and developer of sustainable housing and mixed-use communities.

ME Group International PLC manufactures, sells, and operates automated instant-service equipment. The Company offers coin-operated automatic photobooths, photographic development, and printing equipment, as well as operates copiers, express print services, and children's rides.

Henry Boot PLC is a construction and property development group.  The Group's activities include building and civil engineering, property development and investment, house building and plant hire.  Henry Boot also provides training services to the construction industry.  The Group operates throughout the United Kingdom.

MJ Gleeson plc is a construction operations company. The Company builds houses and housing complexes for housing associations and local authorities, in addition to providing electrical/mechanical engineering contracting, property investment, and residential and commercial development services.

DFS Furniture PLC operates as a retailer of upholstered furniture in the United Kingdom. The Company designs, manufactures, sells, delivers and installs a rang of upholstered and other furniture products.

Focusrite Plc develops, manufactures, and markets professional audio and electronic music products. It operates through Focusrite, Novation, and Distribution segments. The company provides audio interface and other products for audio recording musicians under the Focusrite brand name; and various products that allow its customers to make electronic music using synthesisers and computer-enabled technology under the Novation brand name. It also distributes third party branded products under the KRK speakers, Ableton, Stanton, Cerwin Vega, and Cakewalk brand names. The company primarily serves professional and amateur musicians worldwide. Focusrite Plc sells its products through resellers and distributors. The company was founded in 1985 and is based in High Wycombe, the United Kingdom.

GOLDWIN INC. manufactures and markets sportswear for skiing, snowboarding, soccer, tennis, swimming, and other outdoor activities.

Capri Holdings Limited retails apparel. The Company offers fashion luxury women's and men's accessories, footwear, apparel, watches, jewelry, eyewear, and fragrance products, as well as provides delivery services. Capri Holdings serves customers worldwide.

Bata India Limited manufactures a wide range of leather, rubber/canvas and plastic footwear products.  The Company also manufactures sports apparel and leather accessories.  Bata India sells its products through its chain of company owned retail stores in India, as well as to businesses in the USA, United Kingdom, Europe, the Middle East and the Far East.

Carter's, Inc. markets baby and young children's apparel in the United States. The Company's brands are sold to national department stores, chain and specialty stores, discount retailers, and its own retail stores.

Swan Energy Ltd., through a subsidiary, explores for or procures natural gas and liquefied natural gas for Gujarat.  The Company also develops the gas grid in Gujarat and distributes natural gas.

Relaxo Footwears Ltd. is the marketing company for Relaxo Group.  The Group manufactures Hawai and lightweight chappals.

Fujian Funeng Co., Ltd. manufactures a variety of textile including flannelette, cotton yarn, polyurethane synthetic leather, needling fabric, and water-jet bonding fabric.

KPR Mill Limited manufactures apparel products. The Company's products include carded and combed cotton and knitted fabrics.

Under Armour, Inc. develops, markets, and distributes branded performance products for men, women, and youth. The Company designs and sells a broad offering of apparel and accessories made of synthetic microfibers.

Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets athletic, athletic style leisure, and casual and outdoor footwear.

Burberry Group PLC is a global luxury brand with British heritage, core outerwear, and large leather goods base. The Company designs and sources apparel and accessories, selling through a diversified network of retail, digital, wholesale, and licensing channels worldwide.

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Burberry (BRBY LN)

A Coveted Novel Fashion Brand Calling for Expansion in China

Canada Goose Holdings Inc (GOOS US) currently sells in China via two luxury department stores: Lane Crawford (one store in Shanghai, Beijing, and...

JL Warren Capital

Int'l Compass: Overweight EM; Actionable Themes in Europe and Japan

Bullish technicals continue to support our call to overweight EM. We highlight actionable themes, as well as pullback opportunities in Europe,...

Vermilion Research

Sector Capsule: Designer Apparel and Footwear (Ready-To-Wear) In Japan

Headlines Designer apparel and footwear (ready-to-wear) posts 2% value growth in 2016 to reach sales of JPY1,089.8 billion Demand from the...

Euromonitor International Ltd.

Sector Capsule: Womenswear in Japan

Headlines Marginal current value decline from 2015 to reach JPY3,416.8 billion in 2016 Women's office clothing benefits from growing number of...

Euromonitor International Ltd.

A Summary of Stock Calls and Actions

It has been slightly over half a year since I joined this community, so here is a brief summary of stock calls that worked and stock calls that...

Valerie Law, CFA

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