Founder

Kemp Dolliver, CFA

Cherrystone Hill Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co / Equity Bottom-Up

Declines in international patient volumes weighed on the year-end results for both <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/883" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:883:1">Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co (BH TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/875" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:875:1">Bangkok Dusit Med Service (BDMS TB</a>). Middle Eastern governments' reductions in spending for medical care provided outside the region took effect in mid-2016, and will continue to bite through mid-2017. Both companies' efforts to increase international patient flow from new markets don't appear to be paying off quickly.  Shares of both companies likely will be range-bound until growth accelerates.

Declines in international patient volumes weighed on the year-end results for both Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co (BH TB) and Bangkok Dusit Med Service (BDMS TB). Middle Eastern governments' reductions in spending for medical care provided outside the region took effect in mid-2016, and will continue to bite through mid-2017. Both companies' efforts to increase international patient flow from new markets don't appear to be paying off quickly.  Shares of both companies likely will be range-bound until growth accelerates. 

Asean-focused. Ex-Head of Thai Research

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Over the past 20 years, Thailand faced two financial crisis, namely Tom Yum Goong in 1997 and Lehman in 2008. Discounting the political nonsense that is just part of life down here, we think there are five important lessons to take away, regarding: 1) the importance of investors; 2) liabilities-cash flow matching; 3) sticking to core competencies as well as avoiding : 4) currency pegs to dollars (or any currency); and 5) capital controls. No event in Thai business history has transformed the landscape more than the 1997 crisis. In this review, we highlight a few anecdotes of those who survived and those who didn't (at least not in their original forms).

Over the past 20 years, Thailand faced two financial crisis, namely Tom Yum Goong in 1997 and Lehman in 2008. Discounting the political nonsense that is just part of life down here, we think there are five important lessons to take away, regarding: 1) the importance of investors; 2) liabilities-cash flow matching; 3) sticking to core competencies as well as avoiding : 4) currency pegs to dollars (or any currency); and 5) capital controls. No event in Thai business history has transformed the landscape more than the 1997 crisis. In this review, we highlight a few anecdotes of those who survived and those who didn't (at least not in their original forms).

Five Biggest Lessons from Thai Financial Crisis

CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

<ul><li>Strong cash levels, share price is less volatile, and low price volatility versus the market relative to its sector</li><li>BH’s new focus is on Southeast Asia and with the AEC integration in 2015, Thailand should become a medical tourist destination and BH is set to benefit from the growing flow of patients from these countries</li><li>Further growth in Thai patients should be supported by BH’s new agreement with 36 community hospitals to refer complex cases to BH</li><li>Trades at premium 17CE* 8.4x PB, but offers above-sector ROE and has a solid net-cash position</li><li>Risks: Shortage in highly specialized medical staff might lead to an increase in salaries; harsh competition in private medical healthcare</li></ul>* Consensus Estimates

Strong cash levels, share price is less volatile, and low price volatility versus the market relative to its sectorBH’s new focus is on Southeast Asia and with the AEC integration in 2015, Thailand should become a medical tourist destination and BH is set to benefit from the growing flow of patients from these countriesFurther growth in Thai patients should be supported by BH’s new agreement with 36 community hospitals to refer complex cases to BHTrades at premium 17CE* 8.4x PB, but offers above-sector ROE and has a solid net-cash positionRisks: Shortage in highly specialized medical staff might lead to an increase in salaries; harsh competition in private medical healthcare* Consensus Estimates

BH: Medical Tourism Center Healing on Economies of Scale

Introducing Snippets.Snippets is a new product from MCorp Review with no expiry date. The idea is to update you on 3-5 events per snippet, when they come up. To us, these should be smaller events that would not merit their own standalone review on their own. Typically, because of the speed of events, they may not even have all the details out for us, but we will do our best to "guess" the implications to Thai equities (market or individual) based on limited info available yo. If you consider our…

Introducing Snippets.Snippets is a new product from MCorp Review with no expiry date. The idea is to update you on 3-5 events per snippet, when they come up. To us, these should be smaller events that would not merit their own standalone review on their own. Typically, because of the speed of events, they may not even have all the details out for us, but we will do our best to "guess" the implications to Thai equities (market or individual) based on limited info available yo. If you consider our…

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

<ul><li>From a demand perspective, Asia’s population is growing as is longevity. On the supply side, Asia’s number of doctors, nurses, hospitals and medical equipment diverge across the region, and still trail the per capita averages of the 34 OECD member countries. </li><li>For a shorter-term perspective, over the past five weeks, four Healthcare stocks (Cordlife Group, iX Biopharma, UG Healthcare Corporation &amp; Health Management International) have released Annual Reports whilst a secondary listing (Techcomp Holdings) has released an Interim Report.</li><li>Within these reports, there are examples of how the Healthcare Sector is adapting to Asia Pacific demographics, maintaining an ongoing focus on Research &amp; Development, monitoring pharmaceutical &amp; food regulation trends, collaborating with communities to build business channels, expansion of production lines and pursuing value chain management in manufacturing and distribution. </li></ul>

From a demand perspective, Asia’s population is growing as is longevity. On the supply side, Asia’s number of doctors, nurses, hospitals and medical equipment diverge across the region, and still trail the per capita averages of the 34 OECD member countries. For a shorter-term perspective, over the past five weeks, four Healthcare stocks (Cordlife Group, iX Biopharma, UG Healthcare Corporation &amp; Health Management International) have released Annual Reports whilst a secondary listing (Techcomp Holdings) has released an Interim Report.Within these reports, there are examples of how the Healthcare Sector is adapting to Asia Pacific demographics, maintaining an ongoing focus on Research &amp; Development, monitoring pharmaceutical &amp; food regulation trends, collaborating with communities to build business channels, expansion of production lines and pursuing value chain management in manufacturing and distribution. 

Thailand

Bumrungrad Hospital Public Company Limited, through its subsidiaries,  owns and operates the Bumrungrad Hospital. Located in Bangkok, the Hospital has capacity of international standard medical care with 554 beds for inpatients and approximately 125 clinic examination suites that can serve up to 3,000 outpatients daily.

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Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co (BH TB)

The Oil Slick Continues to Spread

Declines in international patient volumes weighed on the year-end results for both Bumrungrad Hospital Pub Co (BH TB) and Bangkok Dusit Med Service...

Kemp Dolliver, CFA

Five Biggest Lessons from Thai Financial Crisis

Over the past 20 years, Thailand faced two financial crisis, namely Tom Yum Goong in 1997 and Lehman in 2008. Discounting the political nonsense...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

BH: Medical Tourism Center Healing on Economies of Scale

Strong cash levels, share price is less volatile, and low price volatility versus the market relative to its sector BH’s new focus is on Southeast...

A. Stotz Investment Research

Snippets#1: Chickens Invade Poland!!

Introducing Snippets.Snippets is a new product from MCorp Review with no expiry date. The idea is to update you on 3-5 events per snippet, when...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Key Drivers of Asia's Healthcare Sector

From a demand perspective, Asia’s population is growing as is longevity. On the supply side, Asia’s number of doctors, nurses, hospitals and...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

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